Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds
Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds (2024-25)
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The Favourites to Finish in the Top 4
- Liverpool with odds 1/100 on QuinnBet
- Arsenal with odds 1/50 on Betway
- Man City with odds 2/3 on bet365
- Nottingham Forest with odds 2/3 on BetVictor
- Chelsea with odds 13/10 on Spreadex Sports
- Newcastle with odds 9/4 on bet365
- Brighton with odds 10/1 on BetGoodwin
- Aston Villa with odds 25/1 on Betfred
- Bournemouth with odds 33/1 on BetGoodwin
- Fulham with odds 100/1 on bet365
Probability for a Top 4 Finish
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that a team will finish in the top 4 according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 1/100 | 99.01% |
 Arsenal | 1/50 | 98.04% |
 Man City | 2/3 | 60.00% |
 Nottingham Forest | 2/3 | 60.00% |
 Chelsea | 13/10 | 43.48% |
 Newcastle | 9/4 | 30.77% |
 Brighton | 10/1 | 9.09% |
 Aston Villa | 25/1 | 3.85% |
 Bournemouth | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Fulham | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Brentford | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Crystal Palace | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Man Utd | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Everton | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
 Tottenham | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
 West Ham | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Premier League Top 4 Finish Ante-Post Betting Predictions
If you have read our other betting previews, we have looked at teams to get promoted in these areas, but in the Premier League this is obviously not a possibility, but betting on 'Top 4' finishes is an available selection, and so let's dive into a few teams.
I already covered Arsenal and Manchester City in my full Premier League 24/25 preview, so there will probably only be two other teams to make up to the Top 4. However, several teams can put forward cases for finishing in the Champions League places.
Manchester United to finish within the Top 4 - 2/1 at Bet365
Looking to other teams, I think that Manchester United could be in with a chance of Champions League football. The Red Devils showed signs of brilliance in the latter parts of last season, and with trust in Erik ten Hag somewhat reinstalled from the management, I think they could push on this season.
Liverpool to finish within the Top 4 - 4/7 at Ladbrokes
Away from United, I then like the look of Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool. However, I have doubt about both. Spurs were fantastic at the start of last season, and showed glimpses throughout the rest of the season, but never reached the same levels, perhaps, they can be more consistent this year, especially if they land a new striker. Then, you cannot write off Liverpool, under Arne Slot there is potential for huge growth, but whether they can make that step immediately, is difficult to call.
Tottenham to finish within the Top 4 - 9/4 at BetVictor
Both teams have immense quality, but there are things about both which unsettle me, at least currently. However, I feel they are 'smarter' or 'safer' bets than some of the other teams.
The teams in question are Chelsea, Newcastle and Aston Villa. With the Blues, there are heaps of problems at Stamford Bridge, they have spent eye-watering amounts and we're still yet to see it fully come together, and I'm not sold on Enzo Maresca as a 'Top 4' coach, at least not yet.
Villa and Newcastle also present issues for me. Starting with Villa, they have recruited brilliantly, but I don't know if they will continue to progress, and the same can be said about the Magpies. After a step back last season, I'm unsure whether they can reclaim a Champions League spot.
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