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Compare the latest odds from 30+ UK betting sites for the 2026/27 Premier League top 4 race below.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that a team will finish in the top 4 according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 1/8 | 88.50% |
| | 2/7 | 77.52% |
| | 7/10 | 58.82% |
| | 10/11 | 52.36% |
| | 1/1 | 50.00% |
| | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 75/1 | 1.32% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |

Starting in second, I've put Manchester City. The turnaround from Pep Guardiola to Enzo Maresca will be minimal I think, but there will still be a period of getting things right.
City pushed Arsenal far last season and they could well do the same this season, but with some big changes in the group, it could well be another year where they just fall short.
Then, I've got Chelsea. I really like the appointment of Xabi Alonso as the new head coach and cannot stress how crucial that is for the club. The Spaniard had a tough time dealing with the Real Madrid locker room and he succumbed to that task.
However, he's not a bad coach and I think there are very few coaches in the world who would actually succeed with that dressing room.
In the market, Chelsea also appear to be moving a bit differently, which is really welcomed. Signing Danny Welbeck and Jordan Henderson represents a willingness to step away from the multi-year project for youngsters and I'm a fan of that.
At around evens, I think you're getting a great price for the Blues, one which I'd take.
The final spot in the top four could go to several teams, but I'm siding with Liverpool here. Arne Slot's departure was needed long before he actually was sacked and the move for Andoni Iraola is a really smart one, I believe.
He will get the best out of the squad and players like Milos Kerkez and Jeremie Frimpong could excel under the Spaniard.
Then, I expect Florian Wirtz to come on this season after a year to adapt to the Premier League. Furthermore, the return of Alexander Isak should also be huge and it should make up for the loss of Mo Salah.


