Premier League Top Scorer Betting Odds (2026/27)

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Premier League Top Goalscorer Odds (2026/27)

Compare the latest odds from 30+ UK bookmakers for the 2026/27 Premier League top goalscorer race below.

The Favourites to Win the Golden Boot

Erling Haaland with odds 2/5 on Bet365
Alexander Isak with odds 7/1 on Betway
Joao Pedro with odds 9/1 on Bet365
Cole Palmer with odds 25/1 on Bet365
Ollie Watkins with odds 28/1 on BetMGM
Kai Havertz with odds 28/1 on Betway
Igor Thiago with odds 30/1 on Sky Bet
Dominic Calvert-Lewin with odds 40/1 on Bet365
Benjamin Sesko with odds 66/1 on Bet365
Bukayo Saka with odds 66/1 on Spreadex

Probability to Win the Golden Boot

Team	Odds	Probability
Erling Haaland	2/5	71.43%
Alexander Isak	7/1	12.50%
Joao Pedro	9/1	10.00%
Cole Palmer	25/1	3.85%
Ollie Watkins	28/1	3.45%
Kai Havertz	28/1	3.45%
Igor Thiago	30/1	3.23%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	40/1	2.44%
Benjamin Sesko	66/1	1.49%
Bukayo Saka	66/1	1.49%

Who is the Favourite to Win the Golden Boot?

As of 1 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2026/27 Golden Boot is Erling Haaland, best priced at 2/5 with Bet365.

The odds mean that the probability for Erling Haaland to win is 71.43%.

It will be Erling Haaland barring a major shake-up. However, at 4/6, I'd rather try to get a bit of value out of the markets, as there is little to no point in waiting a year for those returns in my eyes.

With the second favourite in the market being 10/1, I think we have a great chance for a bit of value this season and I've got two picks.

Starting in London, I really like the look of Joao Pedro to be top scorer at 20/1 E/W. If he gets into the first four in the market, we'd see a place return of 5/1.

The Chelsea striker should play most of the minutes in the Premier League this season and hit 15 goals in 35 games last season, which is really quite respectable.

With the Blues strengthening heavily this summer, I think he'll have a great chance of goals this season.

For my other pick, I like Ollie Watkins at 22/1 E/W, which would return around 11/2 if he were to place. He's got 16 goals in his last two seasons and 19 in the one before that, so he offers somewhat of a guarantee for a high number of goals.

With Aston Villa not signing a striker, he will be the starter again this season and with the departure of Youri Tielemans and Morgan Rogers, he should be a guarantee for penalties this season too.

As a result, I think our chances look good here.

Outside of those two, I'd maybe be tempted by Bryan Mbuemo E/W at 66/1 and Kai Havertz E/W at 80/1. However, I wouldn't be backing either heavily, if at all.

Here is a list of the top goalscorers in the last 10 Premier League seasons.

Season	Top Scorer	Club	Number of Goals
25/26	Erling Haaland	Manchester City	27
24/25	Mohamed Salah	Liverpool	29
23/24	Erling Haaland	Man City	27
22/23	Erling Haaland	Man City	36
21/22	Heung-min Son and Mohamed Salah	Tottenham and Liverpool	23
20/21	Harry Kane	Tottenham	23
19/20	Jamie Vardy	Leicester City	23
18/19	Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Mohamed Salah & Sadio Mane	Arsenal and Liverpool	22
17/18	Mohamed Salah	Liverpool	32
16/17	Harry Kane	Tottenham	29
15/16	Harry Kane	Tottenham	25