Premier League Top Scorer Odds
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Premier League Top Goalscorer Odds (2026/27)
Compare the latest odds from 30+ UK bookmakers for the 2026/27 Premier League top goalscorer race below.
Bet365 
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Planet Sport Bet 
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London Bet 
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The Favourites to Win the Golden Boot
- Erling Haaland with odds 1/3 on Bet365
- Joao Pedro with odds 9/1 on Betway
- Alexander Isak with odds 9/1 on Bet365
- Ollie Watkins with odds 28/1 on BetMGM
- Cole Palmer with odds 33/1 on Bet365
- Morgan Rogers with odds 40/1 on Bet365
- Igor Thiago with odds 50/1 on Betway
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin with odds 66/1 on Sky Bet
- Kai Havertz with odds 66/1 on Bet365
- Bryan Mbeumo with odds 66/1 on Coral
Probability to Win the Golden Boot
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Erling Haaland | 1/3 | 75.19% |
 Joao Pedro | 9/1 | 10.00% |
 Alexander Isak | 9/1 | 10.00% |
 Ollie Watkins | 28/1 | 3.45% |
 Cole Palmer | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Morgan Rogers | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Igor Thiago | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Kai Havertz | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Bryan Mbeumo | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Who is the Favourite to Win the Golden Boot?
As of 21 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2026/27 Golden Boot is Erling Haaland, best priced at 1/3 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Erling Haaland to win is 75.19%.
Premier League Top Scorer: 2026-27 Ante-Post Tips
It will be Erling Haaland barring a major shake-up. However, at 4/6, I'd rather try to get a bit of value out of the markets, as there is little to no point in waiting a year for those returns in my eyes.
With the second favourite in the market being 10/1, I think we have a great chance for a bit of value this season and I've got two picks.
Starting in London, I really like the look of Joao Pedro to be top scorer at 20/1 E/W. If he gets into the first four in the market, we'd see a place return of 5/1.
The Chelsea striker should play most of the minutes in the Premier League this season and hit 15 goals in 35 games last season, which is really quite respectable.
With the Blues strengthening heavily this summer, I think he'll have a great chance of goals this season.
For my other pick, I like Ollie Watkins at 22/1 E/W, which would return around 11/2 if he were to place. He's got 16 goals in his last two seasons and 19 in the one before that, so he offers somewhat of a guarantee for a high number of goals.
With Aston Villa not signing a striker, he will be the starter again this season and with the departure of Youri Tielemans and Morgan Rogers, he should be a guarantee for penalties this season too.
As a result, I think our chances look good here.
Outside of those two, I'd maybe be tempted by Bryan Mbuemo E/W at 66/1 and Kai Havertz E/W at 80/1. However, I wouldn't be backing either heavily, if at all.
Premier League Top Goalscorers
Here is a list of the top goalscorers in the last 10 Premier League seasons.
| Season | Top Scorer | Club | Number of Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/26 | Erling Haaland | Manchester City | 27 |
| 24/25 | Mohamed Salah | Liverpool | 29 |
| 23/24 | Erling Haaland | Man City | 27 |
| 22/23 | Erling Haaland | Man City | 36 |
| 21/22 | Heung-min Son and Mohamed Salah | Tottenham and Liverpool | 23 |
| 20/21 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 23 |
| 19/20 | Jamie Vardy | Leicester City | 23 |
| 18/19 | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Mohamed Salah & Sadio Mane | Arsenal and Liverpool | 22 |
| 17/18 | Mohamed Salah | Liverpool | 32 |
| 16/17 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 29 |
| 15/16 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 25 |
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