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With the outright odds, we can calculate the probability that each team will win the 2026 World Cup.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 22/1 | 4.35% |
| | 35/1 | 2.78% |
| | 45/1 | 2.17% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 85/1 | 1.16% |
| | 85/1 | 1.16% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 160/1 | 0.62% |
| | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
As of 31 May 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2026 World Cup is France, best priced at 5/1 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for France to be the winner of the World Cup is 16.67%.