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With the outright odds, we can calculate the probability that each team will win the 2026 World Cup.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
As of 10 May 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2026 World Cup is Spain, best priced at 5/1 with Ladbrokes.
The odds mean that the probability for Spain to be the winner of the World Cup is 16.67%.