With the outright odds, we can calculate the probability that each team will win the 2026 World Cup.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| England | 13/2 | 13.33% |
| Argentina | 17/2 | 10.53% |
| Brazil | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| Portugal | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Germany | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Netherlands | 22/1 | 4.35% |
| Norway | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Belgium | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Colombia | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Japan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Morocco | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| USA | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Mexico | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Switzerland | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Uruguay | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Croatia | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ecuador | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Senegal | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Turkey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sweden | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Austria | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Canada | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Paraguay | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Scotland | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Czech Republic | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Egypt | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Ivory Coast | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Algeria | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Australia | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Ghana | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| South Korea | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tunisia | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Iran | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| DR Congo | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Qatar | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Saudi Arabia | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| South Africa | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| New Zealand | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Panama | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Cape Verde | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Iraq | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Uzbekistan | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Jordan | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Curacao | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Haiti | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| France | 46064/1 | 0.00% |
As of 20 April 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2026 World Cup is Spain, best priced at 11/2 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Spain to be the winner of the World Cup is 15.38%.