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2026 World Cup Final Candidates Odds

01
France Compare odds (21) Show less (21)
Bet365 icon Bet365
8/11
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
8/11
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
8/11
William Hill square William Hill
8/13
BoyleSports new icon BOYLE Sports
8/13
QuinnBet square QuinnBet
8/13
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
8/13
Coral square Coral
8/13
betmgm square BetMGM
3/5
10bet icon 10bet
3/5
virgin bet square Virgin Bet
3/5
LeoVegas icon LeoVegas
3/5
livescorebetodds LiveScore Bet
3/5
unibet icon Unibet
7/12
Spreadex
4/7
Sporting Index square logo Sporting Index
4/7
BetTom icon BetTom
4/7
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
4/7
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
1/2
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
1/2
Betano square logo Betano
1/2
02
Argentina Compare odds (21) Show less (21)
Bet365 icon Bet365
11/8
Spreadex
11/8
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
11/8
BoyleSports new icon BOYLE Sports
11/8
Sporting Index square logo Sporting Index
11/8
QuinnBet square QuinnBet
11/8
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
11/8
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
11/8
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
11/8
Betano square logo Betano
11/8
unibet icon Unibet
27/20
betmgm square BetMGM
27/20
10bet icon 10bet
27/20
virgin bet square Virgin Bet
27/20
LeoVegas icon LeoVegas
27/20
livescorebetodds LiveScore Bet
27/20
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
13/10
Coral square Coral
13/10
William Hill square William Hill
5/4
BetTom icon BetTom
5/4
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
5/4
03
Spain Compare odds (21) Show less (21)
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
6/4
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
6/4
Betano square logo Betano
6/4
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
13/10
Coral square Coral
13/10
betmgm square BetMGM
5/4
virgin bet square Virgin Bet
5/4
LeoVegas icon LeoVegas
5/4
livescorebetodds LiveScore Bet
5/4
William Hill square William Hill
6/5
BoyleSports new icon BOYLE Sports
6/5
10bet icon 10bet
6/5
QuinnBet square QuinnBet
6/5
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
6/5
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
6/5
unibet icon Unibet
15/13
BetTom icon BetTom
15/13
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
15/13
Bet365 icon Bet365
11/10
Spreadex
11/10
Sporting Index square logo Sporting Index
11/10
04
England Compare odds (21) Show less (21)
Bet365 icon Bet365
13/8
QuinnBet square QuinnBet
13/8
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
13/8
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
13/8
unibet icon Unibet
8/5
betmgm square BetMGM
8/5
10bet icon 10bet
8/5
virgin bet square Virgin Bet
8/5
LeoVegas icon LeoVegas
8/5
livescorebetodds LiveScore Bet
8/5
William Hill square William Hill
6/4
Spreadex
6/4
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
6/4
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
6/4
BoyleSports new icon BOYLE Sports
6/4
Sporting Index square logo Sporting Index
6/4
Coral square Coral
6/4
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
6/4
Betano square logo Betano
6/4
BetTom icon BetTom
7/5
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
7/5
05
Norway Compare odds (21) Show less (21)
William Hill square William Hill
11/2
Bet365 icon Bet365
5/1
unibet icon Unibet
5/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
5/1
betmgm square BetMGM
5/1
BoyleSports new icon BOYLE Sports
5/1
10bet icon 10bet
5/1
virgin bet square Virgin Bet
5/1
QuinnBet square QuinnBet
5/1
LeoVegas icon LeoVegas
5/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
5/1
Betano square logo Betano
5/1
livescorebetodds LiveScore Bet
5/1
Spreadex
9/2
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
9/2
Sporting Index square logo Sporting Index
9/2
Coral square Coral
9/2
BetTom icon BetTom
9/2
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
9/2
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
9/2
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
9/2
06
Switzerland Compare odds (21) Show less (21)
Bet365 icon Bet365
10/1
William Hill square William Hill
10/1
unibet icon Unibet
10/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
10/1
betmgm square BetMGM
10/1
BoyleSports new icon BOYLE Sports
10/1
10bet icon 10bet
10/1
virgin bet square Virgin Bet
10/1
QuinnBet square QuinnBet
10/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
10/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
10/1
LeoVegas icon LeoVegas
10/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
10/1
Betano square logo Betano
10/1
livescorebetodds LiveScore Bet
10/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
9/1
Coral square Coral
9/1
BetTom icon BetTom
9/1
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
9/1
Spreadex
13/2
Sporting Index square logo Sporting Index
13/2

Favourites to Reach the FIFA World Cup Final

  1. France with odds 8/11 on Bet365
  2. Argentina with odds 11/8 on Bet365
  3. Spain with odds 6/4 on BetVictor
  4. England with odds 13/8 on Bet365
  5. Norway with odds 11/2 on William Hill
  6. Switzerland with odds 10/1 on Bet365

Probability to Reach the 2026 World Cup Final

With the outright odds, we can calculate the probability that each team will reach the 2026 World Cup final.

Team Odds Probability
France 8/11 57.80%
Argentina 11/8 42.02%
Spain 6/4 40.00%
England 13/8 38.02%
Norway 11/2 15.38%
Switzerland 10/1 9.09%

Who is the Favourite to Reach the 2026 World Cup Final?

As of 11 July 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to reach the 2026 World Cup final is France, best priced at 8/11 with Bet365.

The odds mean that the probability for France to reach the final of the World Cup is 57.80%.

Who Will Reach the World Cup Final?

There is a saying in football that anything can happen in a one off game, especially in a cup final. With that in mind, it should be easier to predict who will reach the World Cup final, than predicting the outright winner, whilst it can also serve as a great safety net to that aforementioned "to lift the trophy" market.

  • Spain

    Spain rank as the favourites to make the World Cup final, and you can definitely make a case for them doing exactly that. They won the most recent European Championships, playing the best football in the competition to boot, and they boast a strong squad of players too.

    It won't be plain sailing for them here, though. Depending on how the groups play out, they could have a tricky path through to the final with France a potential Round of 16 opponent, before the likes of dark horse Norway in the next round.

    You've then got to consider their squad. It's good, don't get us wrong, but Lamine Yamal has fitness concerns, there is no proven striker and there are some question marks at the back, especially at right back.

  • France

    A possible Round of 16 clash between Spain and France is mouth-watering. If the route to the final plays out in that way, it is also probably the key fixture in deciding who reaches the World Cup final - despite some other challenging fixtures needing to be navigated. It is almost a 50/50 encounter and, as such, we think backing France in this market is the smarter move from a value angle.

    Player-for-player, we would argue France can stand up the best team in the world, and the Transfermarkt squad valuation supports such a claim, benchmarking Didier Deschamps' squad as the highest of all participating nations.

    The balance of the squad, the plethora of attacking threats and the fact they reached the final in Qatar all favour them too.

  • England

    England experienced a host of missed opportunities under the tutelage of Gareth Southgate, exiting the 2022 World Cup in the quarter-final and making the final in Euro 2020 and 2024 respectively. With Thomas Tuchel in the dugout for this tournament, the expectation is that the Three Lions ensure "football comes home".

    That would certainly tick the box of reaching the final, which is what this bet would need to come in. Are England a better side than they were under Southgate, though? You can probably make that argument. On that front, it stands this bet in reasonable stead.

    What is almost for certain, though, is that they will have a tougher route to the latter stages of this World Cup than they have done in the recent tournaments. Can England navigate that? That's the gamble.

  • Brazil

    The bookies have Brazil quite high up in their odds to win the World Cup, but a lot of fans are sleeping on them a little bit, in our opinion. That's probably because they don't play the same scintillating football that they've been historically known for. We think they have a terrific chance of making the final.

    Clearly, there are many variables to consider where the World Cup bracket is concerned, but there is a world where Brazil have a relatively kind run through to the showpiece game, whilst their group looks like one they'll easily navigate too.

    When you then consider how they'd handle a tougher match up, not many nations will want to face them in a one-off game. Carlo Ancelotti is one of the best managers in the world, and players like Vini Jr are capable of destroying the best defences on their day.

  • Japan

    We named Morocco as a dark horse in our World Cup winner odds, so, clearly, backing them could be an option here. To keep things fresh, though, we're going to give Japan a bit of love, whilst acknowledging they are a real longshot to go all the way to the final.

    In the scheme of a World Cup path, there is a set of outcomes that offers Japan a relatively comfortable passage into the quarter-finals. From there, things would likely get tougher but there would only be 180 minutes separating them from the final.

    They will arrive to North America in high spirits too. Japan have won six games on the spin, keeping a clean sheet in the most recent five and with victories over England and Brazil in that time.

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