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With the outright odds, we can calculate the probability that each team will reach the 2026 World Cup final.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| | 3/1 | 25.00% |
| | 10/3 | 23.09% |
| | 17/4 | 19.05% |
| | 9/2 | 18.18% |
| | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 35/1 | 2.78% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 55/1 | 1.79% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 325/1 | 0.31% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
As of 1 June 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to reach the 2026 World Cup final is Spain, best priced at 5/2 with BetMGM.
The odds mean that the probability for Spain to reach the final of the World Cup is 28.57%.