Ballon d'Or - Winner Betting Odds 2024

Compare the latest Men's Ballon d'Or Winner betting odds from top UK bookmakers below.

The 2024 nominees have now been selected, and the ceremony takes place on Monday, October 28th, 2024.

Ballon d'Or winner odds
List of Ballon d'Or Nominees

2024 Ballon d'Or Nominees

The 2024 Ballon d'Or nominees have been announced, and the ceremony will be held on Monday, 28 October.

  • Jude Bellingham (England, Real Madrid)
  • Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Türkiye, Inter)
  • Dani Carvajal (Spain, Real Madrid)
  • Rúben Dias (Portugal, Manchester City)
  • Artem Dovbyk (Ukraine, Dnipro / Girona / Roma)
  • Phil Foden (England, Manchester City)
  • Alejandro Grimaldo (Spain, Bayer Leverkusen)
  • Erling Haaland (Norway, Manchester City)
  • Mats Hummels (Germany, Borussia Dortmund)
  • Harry Kane (England, Bayern Munich)
  • Toni Kroos (Germany, Real Madrid)
  • Ademola Lookman (Nigeria, Atalanta)
  • Emiliano Martínez (Argentina, Aston Villa)
  • Lautaro Martínez (Argentina, Inter)
  • Kylian Mbappé (France, Paris Saint-Germain / Real Madrid)
  • Martin Ødegaard (Norway, Arsenal)
  • Dani Olmo (Spain, Leipzig / Barcelona)
  • Cole Palmer (England, Manchester City / Chelsea)
  • Declan Rice (England, Arsenal)
  • Rodri (Spain, Manchester City)
  • Antonio Rüdiger (Germany, Real Madrid)
  • Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal)
  • William Saliba (France, Arsenal)
  • Federico Valverde (Uruguay, Real Madrid)
  • Vinícius Júnior (Brazil, Real Madrid)
  • Vitinha (Portugal, Paris Saint-Germain)
  • Nico Williams (Spain, Athletic Club)
  • Florian Wirtz (Germany, Bayer Leverkusen)
  • Granit Xhaka (Switzerland, Bayer Leverkusen)
  • Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona)

2024 Men's Ballon d'Or Winner Odds

Jose Vinicius Junior Show all Show less
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
4/9
coral icon Coral
4/9
Betfred
2/5
BetMGM
1/20
unibet icon Unibet
1/20
Bet UK
1/20
Rodri Show all Show less
BetMGM
7/1
unibet icon Unibet
7/1
Bet UK
7/1
Betfred
7/4
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
7/4
coral icon Coral
7/4
Jude Bellingham Show all Show less
BetMGM
17/1
unibet icon Unibet
17/1
Bet UK
17/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
6/1
coral icon Coral
6/1
Betfred
11/2
Dani Carvajal Show all Show less
BetMGM
40/1
unibet icon Unibet
40/1
Bet UK
40/1
Betfred
10/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
8/1
coral icon Coral
8/1
Kylian Mbappe Show all Show less
BetMGM
40/1
unibet icon Unibet
40/1
Bet UK
40/1
Betfred
33/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
33/1
coral icon Coral
33/1
Lamine Yamal Show all Show less
BetMGM
40/1
unibet icon Unibet
40/1
Bet UK
40/1
Betfred
12/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
8/1
coral icon Coral
8/1
Toni Kroos Show all Show less
BetMGM
40/1
unibet icon Unibet
40/1
Bet UK
40/1
Betfred
40/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
33/1
coral icon Coral
33/1
Erling Braut Haaland Show all Show less
Betfred
50/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
50/1
coral icon Coral
50/1
BetMGM
40/1
unibet icon Unibet
40/1
Bet UK
40/1
Lautaro Martinez Show all Show less
BetMGM
50/1
unibet icon Unibet
50/1
Bet UK
50/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
50/1
coral icon Coral
50/1
Betfred
33/1
Granit Xhaka Show all Show less
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
66/1
coral icon Coral
66/1
Harry Kane Show all Show less
BetMGM
100/1
unibet icon Unibet
100/1
Bet UK
100/1
Betfred
40/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
40/1
coral icon Coral
40/1
Nico Williams Show all Show less
BetMGM
100/1
unibet icon Unibet
100/1
Bet UK
100/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
33/1
coral icon Coral
33/1
Phil Foden Show all Show less
BetMGM
100/1
unibet icon Unibet
100/1
Bet UK
100/1
Betfred
50/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
40/1
coral icon Coral
40/1
Damian Martinez Show all Show less
BetMGM
150/1
unibet icon Unibet
150/1
Bet UK
150/1
Florian Wirtz Show all Show less
BetMGM
200/1
unibet icon Unibet
200/1
Bet UK
200/1
Betfred
100/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
100/1
coral icon Coral
100/1
Antonio Rudiger Show all Show less
BetMGM
250/1
unibet icon Unibet
250/1
Bet UK
250/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
66/1
coral icon Coral
66/1
Bukayo Saka Show all Show less
BetMGM
250/1
unibet icon Unibet
250/1
Bet UK
250/1
Betfred
150/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
33/1
coral icon Coral
33/1
Cole Palmer Show all Show less
BetMGM
250/1
unibet icon Unibet
250/1
Bet UK
250/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
33/1
coral icon Coral
33/1
Declan Rice Show all Show less
BetMGM
250/1
unibet icon Unibet
250/1
Bet UK
250/1
Betfred
150/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
66/1
coral icon Coral
66/1
Federico Valverde Show all Show less
BetMGM
250/1
unibet icon Unibet
250/1
Bet UK
250/1
Alex Grimaldo Show all Show less
BetMGM
500/1
unibet icon Unibet
500/1
Bet UK
500/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
100/1
coral icon Coral
100/1
Martin Odegaard Show all Show less
BetMGM
500/1
unibet icon Unibet
500/1
Bet UK
500/1
Betfred
250/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
66/1
coral icon Coral
66/1
Mats Hummels Show all Show less
BetMGM
500/1
unibet icon Unibet
500/1
Bet UK
500/1
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
100/1
coral icon Coral
100/1

The Favourites to Win the 2024 Ballon d'Or

  1. Jose Vinicius Junior with odds 4/9 on Ladbrokes
  2. Rodri with odds 7/1 on BetMGM
  3. Jude Bellingham with odds 17/1 on BetMGM
  4. Dani Carvajal with odds 40/1 on BetMGM
  5. Kylian Mbappe with odds 40/1 on BetMGM
  6. Lamine Yamal with odds 40/1 on BetMGM
  7. Toni Kroos with odds 40/1 on BetMGM
  8. Erling Braut Haaland with odds 50/1 on Betfred
  9. Lautaro Martinez with odds 50/1 on BetMGM
  10. Granit Xhaka with odds 66/1 on Ladbrokes

Probability to Win the Ballon d'Or

Player Odds Probability
Jose Vinicius Junior 4/9 69.23%
Rodri 7/1 12.50%
Jude Bellingham 17/1 5.56%
Dani Carvajal 40/1 2.44%
Kylian Mbappe 40/1 2.44%
Lamine Yamal 40/1 2.44%
Toni Kroos 40/1 2.44%
Erling Braut Haaland 50/1 1.96%
Lautaro Martinez 50/1 1.96%
Granit Xhaka 66/1 1.49%
Harry Kane 100/1 0.99%
Nico Williams 100/1 0.99%
Phil Foden 100/1 0.99%
Damian Martinez 150/1 0.66%
Florian Wirtz 200/1 0.50%
Antonio Rudiger 250/1 0.40%
Bukayo Saka 250/1 0.40%
Cole Palmer 250/1 0.40%
Declan Rice 250/1 0.40%
Federico Valverde 250/1 0.40%
Alex Grimaldo 500/1 0.20%
Martin Odegaard 500/1 0.20%
Mats Hummels 500/1 0.20%

Who is the Favourite to Win the Ballon d'Or?

As of 5 December 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win the Ballon d'Or is Jose Vinicius Junior, best priced at 4/9 with Ladbrokes.

The odds mean that the probability for Jose Vinicius Junior to win is 69.23%.

What is the Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or is an annual football event that celebrates the best player of the year with the Ballon d'Or award, which has been around since the 1950s. Although the likes of FIFA and UEFA also have similar awards, the Ballon d'Or remains the most prestigious and honourable one that a player can receive.

The award is presented by the newspaper France Football and starting from the 2024 edition, the event will also be co-organised by UEFA. Back in the day, the voting process solely involved football journalists but this is no longer the case, as players and managers from the top 100 countries in FIFA's world ranking are eligible to vote.

As for past winners, Lionel Messi is sitting comfortably at the top with eight Ballon d'Or, with the latest one coming in 2023. This after an impressive season with Paris Saint-Germain and Argentina's national team, winning the league with the former and the World Cup with the latter. At the age of 36, one can only applaud the No.10.

From its commendable history to the rigorous voting process - not to mention the aesthetically pleasing award itself - it is clear why the Ballon d'Or is regarded as the best individual award a player can win.

A Look at the 2024 Ballon d’Or Favourites

Even though the event will take place in October, there are already a few odds favourites to win the Ballon d'Or 2024. As the voters are told to base their pick on the previous season, the Ballon d'Or battle is indeed in full swing and as you can see above, there are a few that stand out from the rest: Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe and Erling Braut Haaland.

So, what should you expect from this battle? Let's go through them one by one, starting with the current odds favourite Bellingham.

Jude Bellingham

Although the English youngster is not exactly new on the scene, it is quite extraordinary that he is the odds favourite to take home the Ballon d'Or as things stand. Not if you look at his performances, of course, but because he is still just 20 years old. It goes without saying that his €100m+ move to Real Madrid came with great expectations, but no one was expecting such a successful outcome so quickly.

Despite playing as an attacking midfielder, Bellingham is comfortably the top goalscorer for Real Madrid (at the time of writing), which says a lot about how important he has been. He will certainly be decisive for Carlo Ancelotti's men in the title battle with Girona, of all teams, and succeeding on that front could be decisive for the Ballon d'Or.

Kylian Mbappe

The Frenchman has come close to winning the award in the past, first breaking into the top 10 back in 2017. His best position was registered last time out (2023), after leading the line for France on their path to the World Cup final. France ended up losing that clash, against Messi's Argentina, but Mbappe was able to showcase his importance to every single football fan in the world.

Though rumours regarding his future are running hot, with a Paris Saint-Germain exit seemingly on the cards, the 25-year-old has appeared unaffected on the pitch with great performances week in and week out. He is thus bound to be one of the main candidates for the Ballon d'Or until the very end, but it remains to be seen if this will finally be his year.

Erling Braut Haaland

The Norwegian powerhouse has established himself as one of the best - if not the best - centre-forwards in the world. Slightly aided by the attacking nature and quality of Manchester City, the 23-year-old has been a goalscoring machine in the last few years. He also just missed out on the Ballon d'Or in 2023, coming in at around 100 votes less than Messi.

Beating, or at least matching, the monstrous numbers of the 2022-23 season (52 goals in 53 games) will perhaps be tough for Haaland. However, with Messi most likely out of the running, the striker still has decent chances of taking home the Ballon d'Or in October this year. One thing is for certain: the race will probably come down to the wire.

Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis. If you have any questions about online gambling in the UK, please don't hesitate to contact him.