Ballon d'Or - Winner Betting Odds 2024

Compare the latest Men's Ballon d'Or Winner betting odds from top UK bookmakers below.

The 2024 nominees have now been selected, and the ceremony takes place on October 28th, 2024.

Ballon d'Or winner odds

2024 Men's Ballon d'Or Winner Odds

Jose Vinicius Junior Show less
unibet icon Unibet
4/5
Bet UK
4/5
William hill icon William Hill
4/9
ladbrokes icon Ladbrokes
4/9
coral icon Coral
4/9
BetMGM
11/25
unibet icon Unibet
11/25
Bet UK
11/25
Betfred
2/5
bet365 icon bet365
1/3
Rodri Show all
Jude Bellingham Show all
Dani Carvajal Show all
Kylian Mbappe Show all
Lamine Yamal Show all
Toni Kroos Show all
Lautaro Martinez Show all
Erling Braut Haaland Show all
Unai Simon Show all
Harry Kane Show all
Nico Williams Show all
Phil Foden Show all
Alexis Mac Allister Show all
Florian Wirtz Show all
Virgil van Dijk Show all
Antonio Rudiger Show all
Bukayo Saka Show all
Cole Palmer Show all
Declan Rice Show all
Federico Valverde Show all
Granit Xhaka Show all
Alex Grimaldo Show all
Damian Martinez Show all
Martin Odegaard Show all
Mats Hummels Show all
Ruben Dias Show all
Trent Alexander-Arnold Show all
Viktor Gyokeres Show all
Victor Boniface Show all
Victor Osimhen Show all

The Favourites to Win the 2024 Ballon d'Or

  1. Jose Vinicius Junior with Unibet at 4/5
  2. Rodri with bet365 at 9/4
  3. Jude Bellingham with bet365 at 14/1
  4. Dani Carvajal with BetMGM at 25/1
  5. Kylian Mbappe with bet365 at 40/1
  6. Lamine Yamal with BetMGM at 40/1
  7. Toni Kroos with bet365 at 40/1
  8. Lautaro Martinez with BetMGM at 50/1
  9. Erling Braut Haaland with bet365 at 66/1
  10. Unai Simon with bet365 at 66/1

Probability to Win the Ballon d'Or

Player Odds Probability
Jose Vinicius Junior 4/5 55.56%
Rodri 9/4 30.77%
Jude Bellingham 14/1 6.67%
Dani Carvajal 25/1 3.85%
Kylian Mbappe 40/1 2.44%
Lamine Yamal 40/1 2.44%
Toni Kroos 40/1 2.44%
Lautaro Martinez 50/1 1.96%
Erling Braut Haaland 66/1 1.49%
Unai Simon 66/1 1.49%
Harry Kane 100/1 0.99%
Nico Williams 100/1 0.99%
Phil Foden 100/1 0.99%
Alexis Mac Allister 150/1 0.66%
Florian Wirtz 200/1 0.50%
Virgil van Dijk 200/1 0.50%
Antonio Rudiger 250/1 0.40%
Bukayo Saka 250/1 0.40%
Cole Palmer 250/1 0.40%
Declan Rice 250/1 0.40%
Federico Valverde 250/1 0.40%
Granit Xhaka 250/1 0.40%
Alex Grimaldo 500/1 0.20%
Damian Martinez 500/1 0.20%
Martin Odegaard 500/1 0.20%
Mats Hummels 500/1 0.20%
Ruben Dias 500/1 0.20%
Trent Alexander-Arnold 500/1 0.20%
Viktor Gyokeres 500/1 0.20%
Victor Boniface 1000/1 0.10%
Victor Osimhen 1000/1 0.10%

Who is the Favourite to Win the Ballon d'Or?

As of 12 September 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win the Ballon d'Or is Jose Vinicius Junior, best priced at 4/5 with Unibet.

The odds mean that the probability for Jose Vinicius Junior to win is 55.56%.

What is the Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or is an annual football event that celebrates the best player of the year with the Ballon d'Or award, which has been around since the 1950s. Although the likes of FIFA and UEFA also have similar awards, the Ballon d'Or remains the most prestigious and honourable one that a player can receive.

The award is presented by the newspaper France Football and starting from the 2024 edition, the event will also be co-organised by UEFA. Back in the day, the voting process solely involved football journalists but this is no longer the case, as players and managers from the top 100 countries in FIFA's world ranking are eligible to vote.

As for past winners, Lionel Messi is sitting comfortably at the top with eight Ballon d'Or, with the latest one coming in 2023. This after an impressive season with Paris Saint-Germain and Argentina's national team, winning the league with the former and the World Cup with the latter. At the age of 36, one can only applaud the No.10.

From its commendable history to the rigorous voting process - not to mention the aesthetically pleasing award itself - it is clear why the Ballon d'Or is regarded as the best individual award a player can win.

A Look at the 2024 Ballon d’Or Favourites

Even though the event will take place in October, there are already a few odds favourites to win the Ballon d'Or 2024. As the voters are told to base their pick on the previous season, the Ballon d'Or battle is indeed in full swing and as you can see above, there are a few that stand out from the rest: Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe and Erling Braut Haaland.

So, what should you expect from this battle? Let's go through them one by one, starting with the current odds favourite Bellingham.

Jude Bellingham

Although the English youngster is not exactly new on the scene, it is quite extraordinary that he is the odds favourite to take home the Ballon d'Or as things stand. Not if you look at his performances, of course, but because he is still just 20 years old. It goes without saying that his €100m+ move to Real Madrid came with great expectations, but no one was expecting such a successful outcome so quickly.

Despite playing as an attacking midfielder, Bellingham is comfortably the top goalscorer for Real Madrid (at the time of writing), which says a lot about how important he has been. He will certainly be decisive for Carlo Ancelotti's men in the title battle with Girona, of all teams, and succeeding on that front could be decisive for the Ballon d'Or.

Kylian Mbappe

The Frenchman has come close to winning the award in the past, first breaking into the top 10 back in 2017. His best position was registered last time out (2023), after leading the line for France on their path to the World Cup final. France ended up losing that clash, against Messi's Argentina, but Mbappe was able to showcase his importance to every single football fan in the world.

Though rumours regarding his future are running hot, with a Paris Saint-Germain exit seemingly on the cards, the 25-year-old has appeared unaffected on the pitch with great performances week in and week out. He is thus bound to be one of the main candidates for the Ballon d'Or until the very end, but it remains to be seen if this will finally be his year.

Erling Braut Haaland

The Norwegian powerhouse has established himself as one of the best - if not the best - centre-forwards in the world. Slightly aided by the attacking nature and quality of Manchester City, the 23-year-old has been a goalscoring machine in the last few years. He also just missed out on the Ballon d'Or in 2023, coming in at around 100 votes less than Messi.

Beating, or at least matching, the monstrous numbers of the 2022-23 season (52 goals in 53 games) will perhaps be tough for Haaland. However, with Messi most likely out of the running, the striker still has decent chances of taking home the Ballon d'Or in October this year. One thing is for certain: the race will probably come down to the wire.

Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis. If you have any questions about online gambling in the UK, please don't hesitate to contact him.