Ballon d'Or - Winner Betting Odds 2024

Compare the latest Ballon d'Or Winner betting odds from top UK bookmakers below.

2024 Ballon d'Or Winner Odds

Jose Vinicius Junior Show all
Jude Bellingham Show all
Kylian Mbappe Show all
Toni Kroos Show all
Harry Kane Show all
Phil Foden Show all
Lionel Messi Show all
Rodri Show all
Erling Braut Haaland Show all
Florian Wirtz Show all
Kevin de Bruyne Show all
Antoine Griezmann Show all
Bukayo Saka Show all
Cristiano Ronaldo Show all
Declan Rice Show all
Jadon Sancho Show all
Kai Havertz Show all
Virgil van Dijk Show all
Alexis Mac Allister Show all
Antonio Rudiger Show all
Cole Palmer Show all
Julian Alvarez Show all
Lamine Yamal Show all
Lautaro Martinez Show all
Mats Hummels Show all
Mota Bernardo Silva Show all
Niclas Fullkrug Show all
Ollie Watkins Show all
Pedro Gonzalez Show all
de Goes Rodrygo Show all
Diogo Jota Show all
Federico Valverde Show all
Gavi Show all
Jack Grealish Show all
Mohamed Salah Show all
Alejandro Garnacho Show all
Alisson Show all
Alvaro Morata Show all
Bruno Fernandes Show all
Darwin Nunez Show all
Fernando Gabriel Jesus Show all
Heung-Min Son Show all
Jamal Musiala Show all
Joshua Kimmich Show all
Karim Benzema Show all
Kobbie Mainoo Show all
Leroy Sane Show all
Luka Modric Show all
Marcus Thuram Show all
Martin Odegaard Show all
Rasmus Hojlund Show all
Ruben Dias Show all
Alex Grimaldo Show all
Dominik Szoboszlai Show all
Frenkie de Jong Show all
Jeremie Frimpong Show all
Josko Gvardiol Show all
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Show all
Marcus Rashford Show all
Min-Jae Kim Show all
Moura Bruno Guimaraes Show all
Randal Muani Show all
Raphinha Show all
Robert Lewandowski Show all
Serge Gnabry Show all
Victor Boniface Show all
Victor Osimhen Show all
Trent Alexander-Arnold Show all

The Favourites to Win the 2024 Ballon d'Or

  1. Jose Vinicius Junior with BetMGM at 1/2
  2. Jude Bellingham with bet365 at 3/1
  3. Kylian Mbappe with BetMGM at 11/1
  4. Toni Kroos with William Hill at 12/1
  5. Harry Kane with bet365 at 20/1
  6. Phil Foden with bet365 at 28/1
  7. Lionel Messi with bet365 at 33/1
  8. Rodri with bet365 at 33/1
  9. Erling Braut Haaland with bet365 at 40/1
  10. Florian Wirtz with BetMGM at 80/1

Probability to Win the Ballon d'Or

Player Odds Probability
Jose Vinicius Junior 1/2 66.67%
Jude Bellingham 3/1 25.00%
Kylian Mbappe 11/1 8.33%
Toni Kroos 12/1 7.69%
Harry Kane 20/1 4.76%
Phil Foden 28/1 3.45%
Lionel Messi 33/1 2.94%
Rodri 33/1 2.94%
Erling Braut Haaland 40/1 2.44%
Florian Wirtz 80/1 1.23%
Kevin de Bruyne 80/1 1.23%
Antoine Griezmann 150/1 0.66%
Bukayo Saka 150/1 0.66%
Cristiano Ronaldo 150/1 0.66%
Declan Rice 150/1 0.66%
Jadon Sancho 150/1 0.66%
Kai Havertz 150/1 0.66%
Virgil van Dijk 150/1 0.66%
Alexis Mac Allister 200/1 0.50%
Antonio Rudiger 200/1 0.50%
Cole Palmer 200/1 0.50%
Julian Alvarez 200/1 0.50%
Lamine Yamal 200/1 0.50%
Lautaro Martinez 200/1 0.50%
Mats Hummels 200/1 0.50%
Mota Bernardo Silva 200/1 0.50%
Niclas Fullkrug 200/1 0.50%
Ollie Watkins 200/1 0.50%
Pedro Gonzalez 200/1 0.50%
de Goes Rodrygo 200/1 0.50%
Diogo Jota 250/1 0.40%
Federico Valverde 250/1 0.40%
Gavi 250/1 0.40%
Jack Grealish 250/1 0.40%
Mohamed Salah 250/1 0.40%
Alejandro Garnacho 500/1 0.20%
Alisson 500/1 0.20%
Alvaro Morata 500/1 0.20%
Bruno Fernandes 500/1 0.20%
Darwin Nunez 500/1 0.20%
Fernando Gabriel Jesus 500/1 0.20%
Heung-Min Son 500/1 0.20%
Jamal Musiala 500/1 0.20%
Joshua Kimmich 500/1 0.20%
Karim Benzema 500/1 0.20%
Kobbie Mainoo 500/1 0.20%
Leroy Sane 500/1 0.20%
Luka Modric 500/1 0.20%
Marcus Thuram 500/1 0.20%
Martin Odegaard 500/1 0.20%
Rasmus Hojlund 500/1 0.20%
Ruben Dias 500/1 0.20%
Alex Grimaldo 1000/1 0.10%
Dominik Szoboszlai 1000/1 0.10%
Frenkie de Jong 1000/1 0.10%
Jeremie Frimpong 1000/1 0.10%
Josko Gvardiol 1000/1 0.10%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 1000/1 0.10%
Marcus Rashford 1000/1 0.10%
Min-Jae Kim 1000/1 0.10%
Moura Bruno Guimaraes 1000/1 0.10%
Randal Muani 1000/1 0.10%
Raphinha 1000/1 0.10%
Robert Lewandowski 1000/1 0.10%
Serge Gnabry 1000/1 0.10%
Victor Boniface 1000/1 0.10%
Victor Osimhen 1000/1 0.10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold 500/1 0.02%

Who is the Favourite to Win the Ballon d'Or?

As of 18 June 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win the Ballon d'Or is Jose Vinicius Junior, best priced at 1/2 with BetMGM.

The odds mean that the probability for Jose Vinicius Junior to win is 66.67%.

What is the Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or is an annual football event that celebrates the best player of the year with the Ballon d'Or award, which has been around since the 1950s. Although the likes of FIFA and UEFA also have similar awards, the Ballon d'Or remains the most prestigious and honourable one that a player can receive.

The award is presented by the newspaper France Football and starting from the 2024 edition, the event will also be co-organised by UEFA. Back in the day, the voting process solely involved football journalists but this is no longer the case, as players and managers from the top 100 countries in FIFA's world ranking are eligible to vote.

As for past winners, Lionel Messi is sitting comfortably at the top with eight Ballon d'Or, with the latest one coming in 2023. This after an impressive season with Paris Saint-Germain and Argentina's national team, winning the league with the former and the World Cup with the latter. At the age of 36, one can only applaud the No.10.

From its commendable history to the rigorous voting process - not to mention the aesthetically pleasing award itself - it is clear why the Ballon d'Or is regarded as the best individual award a player can win.

A Look at the 2024 Ballon d’Or Favourites

Even though the event will take place in October, there are already a few odds favourites to win the Ballon d'Or 2024. As the voters are told to base their pick on the previous season, the Ballon d'Or battle is indeed in full swing and as you can see above, there are a few that stand out from the rest: Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe and Erling Braut Haaland.

So, what should you expect from this battle? Let's go through them one by one, starting with the current odds favourite Bellingham.

Jude Bellingham

Although the English youngster is not exactly new on the scene, it is quite extraordinary that he is the odds favourite to take home the Ballon d'Or as things stand. Not if you look at his performances, of course, but because he is still just 20 years old. It goes without saying that his €100m+ move to Real Madrid came with great expectations, but no one was expecting such a successful outcome so quickly.

Despite playing as an attacking midfielder, Bellingham is comfortably the top goalscorer for Real Madrid (at the time of writing), which says a lot about how important he has been. He will certainly be decisive for Carlo Ancelotti's men in the title battle with Girona, of all teams, and succeeding on that front could be decisive for the Ballon d'Or.

Kylian Mbappe

The Frenchman has come close to winning the award in the past, first breaking into the top 10 back in 2017. His best position was registered last time out (2023), after leading the line for France on their path to the World Cup final. France ended up losing that clash, against Messi's Argentina, but Mbappe was able to showcase his importance to every single football fan in the world.

Though rumours regarding his future are running hot, with a Paris Saint-Germain exit seemingly on the cards, the 25-year-old has appeared unaffected on the pitch with great performances week in and week out. He is thus bound to be one of the main candidates for the Ballon d'Or until the very end, but it remains to be seen if this will finally be his year.

Erling Braut Haaland

The Norwegian powerhouse has established himself as one of the best - if not the best - centre-forwards in the world. Slightly aided by the attacking nature and quality of Manchester City, the 23-year-old has been a goalscoring machine in the last few years. He also just missed out on the Ballon d'Or in 2023, coming in at around 100 votes less than Messi.

Beating, or at least matching, the monstrous numbers of the 2022-23 season (52 goals in 53 games) will perhaps be tough for Haaland. However, with Messi most likely out of the running, the striker still has decent chances of taking home the Ballon d'Or in October this year. One thing is for certain: the race will probably come down to the wire.

Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis. If you have any questions about online gambling in the UK, please don't hesitate to contact him.