Ballon d'Or Winner Betting Odds 2026

A Look at the 2026 Ballon d’Or Favourites

The Ballon d'Or ceremony takes place in October and the market has a clear favourite to be crowned the Best Men's Footballer. Of course, that is Harry Kane, who had a ridiculous season in the 2025/26 campaign. Let's take a look at the top candidates below.

Harry Kane

The Ballon d'Or has become something different to what it represented in the past now. It's something of a popularity contest, but if Harry Kane were to win it, it'd feel right. Like with Ousmane Dembele last year, he feels deserving to lift the award.

Kane has always been mocked by football for his years without major trophies. Throughout it all, though, he's been perhaps the best goalscorer on the planet. He's played 665 games and scored 445 goals. Last season he scored 73 goals for club and country, for goodness sake!

This would be a crowning moment on a career that has seen far too much disrespect and it's fitting that he's the current favourite. He deserves the award.

Lamine Yamal

This section will be moved around from second to first and back around for the next 15 years (we hope), with the Spaniard looking like football's next best thing. On every occasion of watching Yamal, the winger is beautiful and brilliant.

Barcelona have had to wait for an heir to Lionel Messi, and it is clear now that it is Yamal. At 19 years old, the starlet has already won La Liga three times, gotten to the latter stages of the Champions League on several occasions and he won the World Cup this summer - just two years after he also won the Euros.

He is very much the future of Spanish football and Barcelona, so we will be putting his name here regularly in the years to come, certainly. For Yamal, there will be no qualms if he does not win the trophy here, even if everyone attached with the Blaugrana believes he should win it.

After all, he'll be back next year probably, and the next, and the next...

The Others

We cannot avoid overlooking some of the other names put up for the award. However, the odds make it pretty difficult to overlook the first two.

Kylian Mbappe - With Mbappe, the conversation will always be there. He's a phenomenal footballer and a fantastic goalscorer, bettered by only a few. However, he didn't win enough to be named the best player in the world - with others outperforming him.

A blank year with Real Madrid and France just isn't good enough, unfortunately.

Rodri - Rodri's inclusion here is speculative, with him at 10/1 to win the trophy. However, we'll mention him. Having won the World Cup and being named best player, it's understandable why he's a low-ish price.

However, there are better candidates in our eyes.