With the outright odds, we can calculate the probability that each team will win the 2026 World Cup.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Brazil | 11/2 | 15.38% |
Spain | 6/1 | 14.29% |
France | 6/1 | 14.29% |
England | 7/1 | 12.50% |
Argentina | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Germany | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Portugal | 14/1 | 6.67% |
Netherlands | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Italy | 22/1 | 4.35% |
Uruguay | 28/1 | 3.45% |
USA | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Belgium | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Colombia | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Mexico | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Croatia | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Denmark | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Switzerland | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Morocco | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Japan | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Norway | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Canada | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Serbia | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Sweden | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Ecuador | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Turkey | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Chile | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Ukraine | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Nigeria | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Egypt | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Israel | 200/1 | 0.50% |
South Korea | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Senegal | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Peru | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Czech Republic | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Slovenia | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Poland | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Paraguay | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Ghana | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Georgia | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Romania | 400/1 | 0.25% |
Scotland | 400/1 | 0.25% |
Australia | 500/1 | 0.20% |
South Africa | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Albania | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Hungary | 500/1 | 0.20% |
China | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Greece | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Cameroon | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Wales | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Tunisia | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Iran | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Qatar | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
New Zealand | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Finland | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Costa Rica | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Northern Ireland | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
UAE | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Saudi Arabia | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Jamaica | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Bulgaria | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Republic of Ireland | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
As of 5 December 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2026 World Cup is Brazil, best priced at 11/2 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Brazil to be the winner of the World Cup is 15.38%.