Compare the best odds on the next permanent England manager after Gareth Southgate. This market is only available on a few UK bookmakers and pays out on permanent replacements only.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability for the next England manager, according to the bookmakers.
Manager | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Pep Guardiola | 2/1 | 33.33% |
Lee Carsley | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Graham Potter | 9/2 | 18.18% |
Eddie Howe | 13/2 | 13.33% |
Jurgen Klopp | 8/1 | 11.11% |
Frank Lampard | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Kieran McKenna | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Ange Postecoglou | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Carlo Ancelotti | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Mauricio Pochettino | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Rafa Benitez | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Thomas Tuchel | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Jose Mourinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Michael Carrick | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Steve Holland | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Gary O'Neil | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Kasper Hjulmand | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Lionel Scaloni | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Marcello Bielsa | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Mark Noble | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Oliver Glasner | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Patrick Vieira | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Ralf Rangnick | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Rob Edwards | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Roberto Mancini | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Russell Martin | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Sarina Wiegman | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Sean Dyche | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Steve Cooper | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Steven Gerrard | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Thomas Frank | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Unai Emery | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Xavi Hernandez | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Zinedine Zidane | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Julian Nagelsmann | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Thierry Henry | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Vincenzo Montella | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Antonio Conte | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Arsene Wenger | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ashley Cole | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Brendan Rodgers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Chris Powell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
David Beckham | 100/1 | 0.99% |
David Moyes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Emma Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Joachim Low | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jurgen Klinsmann | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mikel Arteta | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Philip Neville | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Roberto Martinez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ruben Amorim | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Stuart Pearce | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Wayne Rooney | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Will Still | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Alan Pardew | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Alan Shearer | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Dean Smith | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Gary Neville | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Luis Enrique | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Sam Allardyce | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Scott Parker | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Steve Bruce | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Michael Owen | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Rio Ferdinand | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Roy Hodgson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Chris Wilder | 250/1 | 0.40% |
As of 12 September 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next England manager is Pep Guardiola, best priced at 2/1 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Pep Guardiola to be the next permanent England manager is 33.33%.
Gareth Southgate's decision to step down as England manager after leading the Three Lions to the final of Euro 2024 drew his mostly successful eight-year spell in charge to an end.
Lee Carsley will be in charge for upcoming Nations League fixtures but who are the others included in the next England manager betting odds? Let's assess some of the names in the frame.
Carsley will get an immediate chance to stake a claim for the job on a permanent basis - if he is interested in being Southgate's successor - when he leads England into the Nations League.
The former Republic of Ireland midfielder, who played Premier League football for teams including Everton, has been England Under-21 manager since 2021. During that time, Carsley oversaw victory in the European Championship in 2023, with his squad including the likes of Cole Palmer and Anthony Gordon, who were both included in the senior squad for Euro 2024.
Carsley is on the same path as Southgate, who was also U21 boss but stepped up on a temporary basis, and as the man in possession is certainly an early front-runner for the post.
Out of work since leaving Chelsea, where he had a difficult time amid transfer chaos, former Brighton and Hove Albion boss Potter has been patiently waiting for the ideal next opportunity.
Potter's possession-based style could be well-suited to international football, and he remains well-respected in the game, even if his reputation took a hit after he struggled at Chelsea. The fact Potter is available right now and with no compensation necessary might appeal to the FA.
Long touted as a future England manager, Howe has done a fine job at Newcastle United, where he led the Magpies back into the Champions League for the first time in a generation.
Howe's power base at Newcastle weakened over the summer due to the departure of Amanda Staveley and Mehrdad Ghodoussi, which could tempt him to explore links to the England job. It would be a big surprise were Howe not included on the FA's shortlist of Southgate successors.
Putting Carsley in temporary charge may be a sign the FA is taking a 'wait-and-see' approach.
After all, Manchester City manager Guardiola could be available at the end of the season, when his current contract expires, with the 115 charges having over the club also well worth watching.
It could be the case that Guardiola fancies the challenge of international management, having achieved just about everything in the club game, and he would not have to move his family. But wages could be a big stumbling block as Guardiola earns a reported £20 million a year at City. Southgate was said to earn in the region of £5 million a year when he was in charge of England.
Another iconic Premier League manager who may well be intrigued by a move into international football, Klopp has indicated an intention to take a break from the game after leaving Liverpool. Klopp's man-management style could be well-suited to major tournaments, and he knows the Premier League inside out thanks to his long stint at Anfield, where he won almost everything.
Appointing a German to lead the England team could be seen as a controversial move, though.
Indeed, Klopp himself has said it would be "the biggest loss of face in the history of football" if he took the job, while reports suggest he was offered the United States job recently and turned it down. But may Klopp feel differently about England after getting a chance to recharge batteries? Even if he does, a reported £15 million a year salary at Liverpool might price Klopp out anyway.
Lampard's managerial record to date is nothing to write home about, but his name continues to be in the frame for major jobs. The former England midfielder knows what it is like in the Three Lions bubble after making 106 international appearances, but his tactical acumen is lacking.
Some 15 months after leaving Chelsea, Lampard has signed on for TV pundit duties in the UK. After being a part of the BBC broadcast team for Euro 2024, Lampard has joined Amazon. He will feature on the tech giant's Prime Champions League coverage for the 2024-25 season.
Also listed in the next Manchester United manager betting odds, McKenna could be one to watch. Reports indicate that the FA has been keeping tabs on the in-demand Ipswich boss.
McKenna was linked with a series of top-flight clubs after leading Ipswich to successive promotions and a Premier League return, but he instead opted to sign a new long-term deal.
High-profile German coach Thomas Tuchel (33/1) was said to be on Manchester United's shortlist before the decision was taken to extend Erik ten Hag's contract at Old Trafford. Tuchel is seen as a master tactician and he won the Champions League while with Chelsea.
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti (40/1) is one of the greats of the game and he was reportedly close to leaving the Spanish giants to take charge of Brazil. Could the England job appeal to the five-time winner of the Champions League? Ancelotti knows the Premier League well after spells with Chelsea and Everton, so a return to these shores might be tempting for the Italian.
Former Australia manager Ange Postecoglou (40/1) has made a positive impression since taking charge of Tottenham Hotspur. The 58-year-old twice led the Socceroos to the World Cup.
Ex-Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino (40/1) has regularly been suggested as a future England manager. However, after leaving Chelsea - where he lasted just a single season - the Argentine is believed to be close to taking the United States manager job.
Michael Carrick (40/1) played 34 times for the Three Lions, but many believe he should have been awarded more caps. Still in the opening stages of his managerial career, Carrick has done fine work at Middlesbrough but the England job has surely come too soon for the 43-year-old.
Another German included in the next England manager odds, Joachim Low (50/1) has vast experience of the international game after leading his country for 15 years. Low's time in charge saw Germany win the World Cup in 2014, but as results faded his reputation started to slip.
Jose Mourinho (50/1) has claimed he turned down the England job before it was given to Fabio Capello, but it seems highly unlikely that he would be offered the opportunity again. The former Real Madrid, Chelsea and Manchester United manager took charge of Fenerbahce in 2024.
Below is a list of the permanent and significant interim managers in the most relevant history of England.
Manager | From | To |
---|---|---|
Gareth Southgate | 2016 | 2024 |
Sam Allardyce | 2016 | 2016 |
Roy Hodgson | 2012 | 2016 |
Stuart Pearce (Caretaker) | 2012 | 2012 |
Fabio Capello | 2008 | 2012 |
Steve McClaren | 2006 | 2007 |
Sven-Göran Eriksson | 2001 | 2006 |