Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Rishi Sunak.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
Candidates | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Kemi Badenoch | 3/1 | 25.00% |
Priti Patel | 8/1 | 11.11% |
Robert Jenrick | 8/1 | 11.11% |
Suella Braverman | 8/1 | 11.11% |
James Cleverly | 9/1 | 10.00% |
David Cameron | 20/1 | 4.76% |
Boris Johnson | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Nigel Farage | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Andy Street | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Penny Mordaunt | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Tom Tugendhat | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Steve Barclay | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Alister Jack | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Chris Heaton-Harris | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Mhairi Fraser | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Michael Gove | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Oliver Dowden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Adam Afraiyie | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Andrea Jenkins | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Ben Spencer | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Brandon Lewis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
David Frost | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Dehenna Davison | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Grant Shapps | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Jeremy Quin | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Johnny Mercer | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Mark Harper | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Michelle Donelan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Ranil Jayawardena | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Tobias Ellwood | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Victoria Atkins | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Gillian Keegan | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Jeremy Hunt | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Liz Truss | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andrea Jenkyns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Anne-Marie Trevelyan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ben Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ben Houchen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Bim Afolami | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Craig Tracey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Damian Hinds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
David Davis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Gavin Williamson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Graham Brady | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Greg Hands | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Helen Whately | 100/1 | 0.99% |
lain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jacob Rees-Mogg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Laura Trott | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Liam Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mark Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Michael Tomlinson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Miriam Cates | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Nadhim Zahawi | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Philip Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Rachel Maclean | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Robert Buckland | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Sajid Javid | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Simon Clarke | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Steve Baker | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Theresa May | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Theresa Villiers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Therese Coffey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Virginia Crosbie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
William Hague | 100/1 | 0.99% |
William Wragg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jake Berry | 125/1 | 0.79% |
Andy Bridgen | 150/1 | 0.66% |
George Osborne | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Aaron Bell | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Alok Sharma | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Andrea Leadsom | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Andrew Bridgen | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Ben Wallace | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Daniel Kawczynski | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
James Cracknell | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Jonathan Gullis | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Kwasi Kwarteng | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Lee Anderson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Matt Hancock | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Sara Britcliffe | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Stephen Crabb | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Bernard Jenkin | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Damian Green | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Damian Greene | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Dominic Raab | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Douglas Ross | 250/1 | 0.40% |
John Glen | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Nadine Dorries | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Chris Grayling | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Mark Francois | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Peter Bone | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Michael Fabricant | 750/1 | 0.13% |
Marc Francois | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
As of 27 July 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is Kemi Badenoch, best priced at 3/1 with Betfred.
The odds mean that the probability for Kemi Badenoch to be the next Conservative leader is 25.00%.
Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis. If you have any questions about online gambling in the UK, please don't hesitate to contact him.