Politics
Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds
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Next Permanent Tory Leader Odds After Kemi Badenoch
Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
01 
James Cleverly Compare odds (9)
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Spreadex 
Sporting Index 
Bet365 
Unibet 
Betfred 
10bet 
StarSports 
Coral 
William Hill 02 
Katie Lam Compare odds (11)
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BetGoodwin 
BetTom 03 
Claire Coutinho Compare odds (9)
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04 
Nick Timothy Compare odds (9)
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05 
Jeremy Hunt Compare odds (9)
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06 
Boris Johnson Compare odds (9)
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07 
Tom Tugendhat Compare odds (9)
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08 
Nigel Farage Compare odds (9)
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09 
Rupert Lowe Compare odds (7)
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11 
Chris Philp Compare odds (11)
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12 
Mel Stride Compare odds (9)
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13 
Laura Trott Compare odds (11)
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14 
Alex Burghart Compare odds (9)
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15 
Andrew Griffith Compare odds (6)
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17 
Robert Jenrick Compare odds (3)
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18 
Oliver Dowden Compare odds (7)
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21 
Priti Patel Compare odds (9)
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26 
Victoria Atkins Compare odds (9)
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28 
David Davis Compare odds (9)
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29 
Rishi Sunak Compare odds (11)
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30 
Jacob Rees-Mogg Compare odds (3)
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31 
Esther McVey Compare odds (4)
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34 
David Frost Compare odds (9)
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35 
David Cameron Compare odds (9)
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39 
Danny Kruger Compare odds (9)
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47 
Jack Rankin Compare odds (3)
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52 
Edward Argar Compare odds (4)
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72 
Lincoln Jopp Compare odds (3)
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113 
Mark Harper Compare odds (11)
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116 
Ben Spencer Compare odds (11)
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117 
Iain Duncan Smith Compare odds (8)
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123 
Richard Holden Compare odds (8)
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124 
Ben Houchen Compare odds (11)
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125 
Andy Street Compare odds (9)
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126 
Suella Braverman Compare odds (3)
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131 
Gavin Williamson Compare odds (6)
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133 
Liz Truss Compare odds (3)
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The Favourites To Be The Next Permanent Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch
- James Cleverly with odds 24/5 on Spreadex
- Katie Lam with odds 7/1 on Betfred
- Claire Coutinho with odds 14/1 on Bet365
- Nick Timothy with odds 14/1 on William Hill
- Jeremy Hunt with odds 18/1 on Bet365
Probability to be the Next Conservative Leader
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 James Cleverly | 24/5 | 17.24% |
 Katie Lam | 7/1 | 12.50% |
 Claire Coutinho | 14/1 | 6.67% |
 Nick Timothy | 14/1 | 6.67% |
 Jeremy Hunt | 18/1 | 5.26% |
 Boris Johnson | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Tom Tugendhat | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Nigel Farage | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Rupert Lowe | 22/1 | 4.35% |
 Mike Wood | 25/1 | 3.85% |
 Chris Philp | 28/1 | 3.45% |
 Mel Stride | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Laura Trott | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Alex Burghart | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Andrew Griffith | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Kevin Hollinrake | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Robert Jenrick | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Oliver Dowden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Alan Mak | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 James Cartlidge | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Priti Patel | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Steve Barclay | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Alec Shelbrooke | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Kieran Mullan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 John Lamont | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Victoria Atkins | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Michael Gove | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 David Davis | 80/1 | 1.23% |
 Rishi Sunak | 80/1 | 1.23% |
 Jacob Rees-Mogg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Lee Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Frost | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Bob Blackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Danny Kruger | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mark Francois | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Robbie Moore | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Murrison | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Stuart Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Peter Fortune | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jack Rankin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rebecca Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Gareth Bacon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Saqib Bhatti | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Peter Bedford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Edward Argar | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Simon Hoare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Neil Shastri-Hurst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Sarah Bool | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rebecca Harris | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Gareth Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Snowden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Julian Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Stuart Andrew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Karen Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Nus Ghani | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Ashley Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jerome Mayhew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Bradley Thomas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Charlie Dewhirst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Paul Holmes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Joy Morrissey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Joe Robertson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Lincoln Jopp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Caroline Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Reed | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jeremy Wright | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 James Wild | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Caroline Dinenage | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Christopher Chope | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Graham Stuart | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Shivani Raja | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Greg Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 George Freeman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Louie French | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Nigel Huddleston | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Mundell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alison Griffiths | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Greg Stafford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Roger Gale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Aphra Brandreth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rebecca Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Martin Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Julia Lopez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Patrick Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Helen Grant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Harriett Baldwin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Wendy Morton | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jesse Norman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mims Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Geoffrey Clifton-Brown | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Simmonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Ben Obese-Jecty | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Lewis Cocking | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Neil OBrien | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mark Garnier | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Rosindell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Richard Fuller | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Blake Stephenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Neil Hudson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mark Harper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Harriet Cross | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Ben Spencer | 125/1 | 0.79% |
 Iain Duncan Smith | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Damian Hinds | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Helen Whately | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Caroline Nokes | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Desmond Swayne | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Andrew Mitchell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Richard Holden | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Ben Houchen | 175/1 | 0.57% |
 Andy Street | 175/1 | 0.57% |
 Suella Braverman | 175/1 | 0.57% |
 Bernard Jenkin | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 John Whittingdale | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Edward Leigh | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Gavin Williamson | 300/1 | 0.33% |
 Marc Francois | 400/1 | 0.25% |
 Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| George Galloway | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Chip Chapman | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tim Farron | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch?
As of 16 May 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is James Cleverly, best priced at 24/5 with Spreadex.
The odds mean that the probability for James Cleverly to be the next Conservative leader is 17.24%.
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