Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 11/4 | 26.67% |
| | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| | 17/2 | 10.53% |
| | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 45/1 | 2.17% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 55/1 | 1.79% |
| | 55/1 | 1.79% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 120/1 | 0.83% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 160/1 | 0.62% |
| | 160/1 | 0.62% |
| | 160/1 | 0.62% |
| Jason Stockwood | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 325/1 | 0.31% |
| | 325/1 | 0.31% |
| | 325/1 | 0.31% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 550/1 | 0.18% |
As of 2 May 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Angela Rayner, best priced at 11/4 with Betfred.
The odds mean that the probability for Angela Rayner to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 26.67%.