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Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Labour leader after Kier Starmer.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability of each candidate being the next leader of the Labour Party, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 3/1 | 25.00% |
| | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| | 17/2 | 10.53% |
| | 11/1 | 8.33% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 130/1 | 0.76% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 160/1 | 0.62% |
| | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Bella Sankey | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 275/1 | 0.36% |
| | 275/1 | 0.36% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| | 325/1 | 0.31% |
| | 325/1 | 0.31% |
| | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| | 425/1 | 0.23% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
As of 5 May 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Labour leader is Angela Rayner, best priced at 3/1 with Betfred.
The odds mean that the probability for Angela Rayner to be the next Labour leader is 25.00%.

Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis.