Politics
Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds
ExpandBritish Politics:Next Conservative Leader
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Next Permanent Tory Leader Odds After Kemi Badenoch
Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
This market is temporarily suspended. The odds below were the latest available before it was suspended.
01 
James Cleverly Compare Odds (18)
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Parimatch 02 
Katie Lam Compare Odds (18)
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03 
Claire Coutinho Compare Odds (18)
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04 
Nick Timothy Compare Odds (10)
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05 
Jeremy Hunt Compare Odds (15)
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06 
Boris Johnson Compare Odds (15)
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07 
Nigel Farage Compare Odds (18)
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08 
Rupert Lowe Compare Odds (7)
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09 
Chris Philp Compare Odds (18)
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10 
Mike Wood Compare Odds (4)
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11 
Tom Tugendhat Compare Odds (15)
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12 
Mel Stride Compare Odds (15)
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13 
Laura Trott Compare Odds (18)
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14 
Alex Burghart Compare Odds (12)
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15 
Andrew Griffith Compare Odds (6)
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16 
Penny Mordaunt Compare Odds (4)
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18 
Robert Jenrick Compare Odds (7)
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19 
Oliver Dowden Compare Odds (13)
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21 
Priti Patel Compare Odds (15)
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22 
Victoria Atkins Compare Odds (15)
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24 
Steve Barclay Compare Odds (4)
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25 
Rishi Sunak Compare Odds (18)
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26 
Jacob Rees-Mogg Compare Odds (3)
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27 
Esther McVey Compare Odds (6)
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29 
David Frost Compare Odds (15)
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30 
David Cameron Compare Odds (15)
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32 
David Davis Compare Odds (15)
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33 
Kit Malthouse Compare Odds (4)
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35 
Danny Kruger Compare Odds (15)
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37 
Alan Mak Compare Odds (3)
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40 
John Glen Compare Odds (4)
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43 
Alec Shelbrooke Compare Odds (3)
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44 
Jack Rankin Compare Odds (3)
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49 
Edward Argar Compare Odds (4)
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68 
Kieran Mullan Compare Odds (3)
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70 
Lincoln Jopp Compare Odds (3)
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89 
John Lamont Compare Odds (3)
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112 
Mark Harper Compare Odds (18)
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115 
Ben Spencer Compare Odds (18)
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116 
Iain Duncan Smith Compare Odds (10)
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122 
Richard Holden Compare Odds (14)
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123 
Ben Houchen Compare Odds (18)
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124 
Suella Braverman Compare Odds (9)
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125 
Lee Anderson Compare Odds (6)
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126 
Bernard Jenkin Compare Odds (3)
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127 
Andy Street Compare Odds (15)
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131 
Mark Francois Compare Odds (3)
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132 
Gavin Williamson Compare Odds (12)
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134 
Liz Truss Compare Odds (7)
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The Favourites To Be The Next Permanent Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch
- James Cleverly with odds 5/1 on Spreadex
- Katie Lam with odds 7/1 on Betfred
- Claire Coutinho with odds 14/1 on Bet365
- Nick Timothy with odds 14/1 on William Hill
- Jeremy Hunt with odds 20/1 on BetVictor
Probability to be the Next Conservative Leader
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 James Cleverly | 5/1 | 16.67% |
 Katie Lam | 7/1 | 12.50% |
 Claire Coutinho | 14/1 | 6.67% |
 Nick Timothy | 14/1 | 6.67% |
 Jeremy Hunt | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Boris Johnson | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Nigel Farage | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Rupert Lowe | 22/1 | 4.35% |
 Chris Philp | 25/1 | 3.85% |
 Mike Wood | 25/1 | 3.85% |
 Tom Tugendhat | 25/1 | 3.85% |
 Mel Stride | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Laura Trott | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Alex Burghart | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Andrew Griffith | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Penny Mordaunt | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Kevin Hollinrake | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Robert Jenrick | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Oliver Dowden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 James Cartlidge | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Priti Patel | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Victoria Atkins | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Michael Gove | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Steve Barclay | 80/1 | 1.23% |
 Rishi Sunak | 80/1 | 1.23% |
 Jacob Rees-Mogg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Frost | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Davis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Bob Blackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Danny Kruger | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Robbie Moore | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alan Mak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Murrison | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Stuart Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Peter Fortune | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alec Shelbrooke | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jack Rankin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rebecca Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Gareth Bacon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Saqib Bhatti | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Peter Bedford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Edward Argar | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Simon Hoare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Neil Shastri-Hurst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Sarah Bool | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rebecca Harris | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Gareth Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Snowden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Julian Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Stuart Andrew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Karen Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Nus Ghani | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Ashley Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jerome Mayhew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Bradley Thomas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Charlie Dewhirst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Paul Holmes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Joy Morrissey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Kieran Mullan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Joe Robertson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Lincoln Jopp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Caroline Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Reed | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jeremy Wright | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 James Wild | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Caroline Dinenage | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Christopher Chope | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Graham Stuart | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Shivani Raja | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Greg Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 George Freeman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Louie French | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Nigel Huddleston | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Mundell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alison Griffiths | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Greg Stafford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Roger Gale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Aphra Brandreth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rebecca Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John Lamont | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Martin Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Julia Lopez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Patrick Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Helen Grant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Harriett Baldwin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Wendy Morton | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jesse Norman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mims Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Geoffrey Clifton-Brown | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 David Simmonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Ben Obese-Jecty | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Lewis Cocking | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Neil OBrien | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mark Garnier | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Andrew Rosindell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Richard Fuller | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Blake Stephenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Neil Hudson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mark Harper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Harriet Cross | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Ben Spencer | 125/1 | 0.79% |
 Iain Duncan Smith | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Damian Hinds | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Helen Whately | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Caroline Nokes | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Desmond Swayne | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Andrew Mitchell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Richard Holden | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Ben Houchen | 175/1 | 0.57% |
 Suella Braverman | 175/1 | 0.57% |
 Lee Anderson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Bernard Jenkin | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Andy Street | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 John Whittingdale | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Edward Leigh | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
 Gavin Williamson | 300/1 | 0.33% |
 Marc Francois | 400/1 | 0.25% |
 Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 George Galloway | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Chip Chapman | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Tim Farron | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch?
As of 6 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is James Cleverly, best priced at 5/1 with Spreadex.
The odds mean that the probability for James Cleverly to be the next Conservative leader is 16.67%.
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