Next Labour Leader Betting Odds
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Next Permanent Labour Leader Odds: After Kier Starmer
Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Labour leader after Kier Starmer.
StarSports 
Betfred 
Coral 
Bet365 
Unibet 
William Hill 
The Favourites To be The Next Permanent Labour Leader After Kier Starmer
- Shabana Mahmood with odds 15/2 on StarSports
- Angela Rayner with odds 8/1 on Betfred
- Wes Streeting with odds 11/1 on StarSports
- Alistair Carns with odds 12/1 on StarSports
- Ed Miliband with odds 12/1 on William Hill
- Darren Jones with odds 16/1 on StarSports
- John Healey with odds 20/1 on Betfred
- Yvette Cooper with odds 20/1 on William Hill
- Georgia Gould with odds 22/1 on Bet365
- Louise Haigh with odds 28/1 on StarSports
Probability to be the Next Labour Leader
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability of each candidate being the next leader of the Labour Party, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Shabana Mahmood | 15/2 | 11.76% |
 Angela Rayner | 8/1 | 11.11% |
 Wes Streeting | 11/1 | 8.33% |
 Alistair Carns | 12/1 | 7.69% |
 Ed Miliband | 12/1 | 7.69% |
 Darren Jones | 16/1 | 5.88% |
 John Healey | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Yvette Cooper | 20/1 | 4.76% |
 Georgia Gould | 22/1 | 4.35% |
 Louise Haigh | 28/1 | 3.45% |
 Pat McFadden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Miatta Fahnbulleh | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Bridget Phillipson | 33/1 | 2.94% |
 Torsten Bell | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Rosena Allin-Khan | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Lucy Powell | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Sadiq Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 David Miliband | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Dawn Butler | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Jonathan Reynolds | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Sarah Sackman | 60/1 | 1.64% |
 Steve Reed | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Ellie Reeves | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Nadia Whittome | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Lucy Rigby | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 David Lammy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Lisa Nandy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Josh MacAlister | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Mike Tapp | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Bev Craig | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Nick Thomas-Symonds | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Yuan Yang | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Alex Norris | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Aneliesse Dodds | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Annellese Midgley | 66/1 | 1.49% |
 Josh Simons | 70/1 | 1.41% |
 Peter Kyle | 70/1 | 1.41% |
 Tris Osborne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Stephen Kinnock | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jon Trickett | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jim McMahon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Sarah Jones | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Abena Oppong-Asare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Vicky Foxcroft | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bella Sankey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Douglas Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Imogen Walker | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Emma Reynolds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Preet Gill | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Helen Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Angela Eagle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Hamish Falconer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Ian Lavery | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Stella Creasy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Anneliese Dodds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Seema Malhotra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jess Phillips | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Luke Pollard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Cat Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Chris Curtis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Matthew Pennycook | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Hilary Benn | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Rachel Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Chris Bryant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Chi Onwurah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Liz Kendall | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Nia Griffith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Kate Osamor | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Janet Daby | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Jonathan Ashworth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 John McDonnell | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Clive Lewis | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Gareth Southgate | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Jeremy Corbyn | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Diane Abbott | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Emily Thornberry | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 200/1 | 0.50% |
 Tony Blair | 250/1 | 0.40% |
 Barry Gardiner | 250/1 | 0.40% |
 Rosie Duffield | 250/1 | 0.40% |
 Zarah Sultana | 250/1 | 0.40% |
 Laura Pidcock | 250/1 | 0.40% |
 Thangam Debbonaire | 250/1 | 0.40% |
 John Bercow | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Gary Neville | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Catherine West | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Piers Morgan | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Gary Lineker | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to be the Labour Leader After Kier Starmer?
As of 6 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Labour leader is Shabana Mahmood, best priced at 15/2 with StarSports.
The odds mean that the probability for Shabana Mahmood to be the next Labour leader is 11.76%.
More British Politics Odds
Steven Hubbard has been running BettingLounge since 2018, building it into one of the UK's most trusted betting comparison sites. As Editor-in-Chief, he oversees all content, reviews and editorial standards across the site, with a focus on odds comparisons, sister site guides and holding bookmakers accountable where it matters.
With over 8 years in the iGaming industry, his approach to transparent, ethical affiliate content has been recognised in publications including SiGMA and Gambling Affiliate Voice.