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Next Reform Leader Betting Odds: After Nigel Farage

Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Reform leader after Nigel Farage.

01
Robert Jenrick Compare Odds (14) Show less (14)
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
3/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
11/4
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
5/2
10bet icon 10bet
5/2
starsports icon StarSports
5/2
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
5/2
Betano square logo Betano
5/2
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
5/2
William Hill square William Hill
9/4
Betfred new icon Betfred
2/1
Coral square Coral
7/4
betgoodwin square BetGoodwin
17/10
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
17/10
BetTom icon BetTom
17/10
02
Zia Yusuf Compare Odds (11) Show less (11)
10bet icon 10bet
333/100
William Hill square William Hill
3/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
3/1
starsports icon StarSports
3/1
Coral square Coral
3/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
3/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
11/4
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
11/4
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
11/4
Betano square logo Betano
11/4
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
11/4
03
Richard Tice Compare Odds (14) Show less (14)
starsports icon StarSports
11/2
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
11/2
William Hill square William Hill
5/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
5/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
5/1
10bet icon 10bet
5/1
Coral square Coral
5/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
5/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
5/1
Betano square logo Betano
5/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
5/1
betgoodwin square BetGoodwin
9/2
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
9/2
BetTom icon BetTom
9/2
04
Rupert Lowe Compare Odds (14) Show less (14)
Betfred new icon Betfred
16/1
starsports icon StarSports
16/1
William Hill square William Hill
14/1
Coral square Coral
14/1
10bet icon 10bet
12/1
betgoodwin square BetGoodwin
12/1
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
12/1
BetTom icon BetTom
12/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
12/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
10/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
10/1
Betano square logo Betano
10/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
10/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
9/1
05
Suella Braverman Compare Odds (11) Show less (11)
Betfred new icon Betfred
16/1
starsports icon StarSports
16/1
Coral square Coral
16/1
William Hill square William Hill
14/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
14/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
14/1
Betano square logo Betano
14/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
14/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
12/1
10bet icon 10bet
11/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
19/2
06
Danny Kruger Compare Odds (11) Show less (11)
Betfred new icon Betfred
16/1
Coral square Coral
16/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
12/1
starsports icon StarSports
12/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
12/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
12/1
Betano square logo Betano
12/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
12/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
19/2
10bet icon 10bet
9/1
William Hill square William Hill
8/1
07
Sienna Churcher Compare Odds (6) Show less (6)
Coral square Coral
25/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
16/1
William Hill square William Hill
14/1
starsports icon StarSports
14/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
10/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
17/2
08
Lee Anderson Compare Odds (14) Show less (14)
Betfred new icon Betfred
25/1
starsports icon StarSports
25/1
Coral square Coral
25/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
22/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
22/1
Betano square logo Betano
22/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
22/1
William Hill square William Hill
20/1
betgoodwin square BetGoodwin
18/1
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
18/1
BetTom icon BetTom
18/1
10bet icon 10bet
16/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
12/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
9/1
09
Laila Cunningham Compare Odds (10) Show less (10)
Betfred new icon Betfred
25/1
Coral square Coral
25/1
William Hill square William Hill
16/1
betgoodwin square BetGoodwin
14/1
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
14/1
BetTom icon BetTom
14/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
14/1
10bet icon 10bet
12/1
starsports icon StarSports
12/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
10/1
10
Matt Goodwin Compare Odds (6) Show less (6)
Betfred new icon Betfred
25/1
William Hill square William Hill
20/1
starsports icon StarSports
20/1
Coral square Coral
20/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
18/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
11/1
11
Nadhim Zahawi Compare Odds (2) Show less (2)
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
12
Boris Johnson Compare Odds (11) Show less (11)
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
starsports icon StarSports
33/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
33/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
33/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
30/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
30/1
Betano square logo Betano
30/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
30/1
10bet icon 10bet
28/1
Coral square Coral
28/1
William Hill square William Hill
16/1
13
Jacob Rees-Mogg Compare Odds (11) Show less (11)
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
10bet icon 10bet
33/1
starsports icon StarSports
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
33/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
33/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
30/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
30/1
Betano square logo Betano
30/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
30/1
William Hill square William Hill
25/1
14
Sarah Pochin Compare Odds (7) Show less (7)
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
starsports icon StarSports
20/1
William Hill square William Hill
16/1
10bet icon 10bet
16/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
12/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
9/1
15
David Bull Compare Odds (6) Show less (6)
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
William Hill square William Hill
25/1
Coral square Coral
25/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
25/1
10bet icon 10bet
22/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
16/1
16
Jake Berry Compare Odds (7) Show less (7)
starsports icon StarSports
33/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
25/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
25/1
Coral square Coral
20/1
10bet icon 10bet
18/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
16/1
William Hill square William Hill
12/1
17
Priti Patel Compare Odds (9) Show less (9)
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
starsports icon StarSports
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
30/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
30/1
Betano square logo Betano
30/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
30/1
10bet icon 10bet
25/1
18
Ben Habib Compare Odds (11) Show less (11)
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
35/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
35/1
Betano square logo Betano
35/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
35/1
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
starsports icon StarSports
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
10bet icon 10bet
22/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
18/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
11/1
19
Nick Candy Compare Odds (11) Show less (11)
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Betano square logo Betano
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
10bet icon 10bet
33/1
starsports icon StarSports
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
33/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
33/1
20
James McMurdock Compare Odds (9) Show less (9)
Betfred new icon Betfred
50/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
10bet icon 10bet
50/1
starsports icon StarSports
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Betano square logo Betano
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
21
Andrea Jenkyns Compare Odds (10) Show less (10)
starsports icon StarSports
50/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
50/1
10bet icon 10bet
40/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
40/1
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
betgoodwin square BetGoodwin
28/1
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
28/1
BetTom icon BetTom
28/1
22
Kemi Badenoch Compare Odds (4) Show less (4)
William Hill square William Hill
50/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
50/1
starsports icon StarSports
50/1
Coral square Coral
50/1
23
Marco Longhi Compare Odds (6) Show less (6)
Betfred new icon Betfred
50/1
starsports icon StarSports
50/1
Coral square Coral
50/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
50/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
40/1
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
24
Ant Middleton Compare Odds (6) Show less (6)
Betfred new icon Betfred
50/1
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
10bet icon 10bet
33/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
33/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
33/1
Coral square Coral
25/1
25
Nadine Dorries Compare Odds (6) Show less (6)
Betfred new icon Betfred
50/1
Coral square Coral
50/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
50/1
10bet icon 10bet
40/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
40/1
William Hill square William Hill
33/1
26
David Frost Compare Odds (7) Show less (7)
William Hill square William Hill
50/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
50/1
Coral square Coral
50/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
35/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
35/1
Betano square logo Betano
35/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
35/1
27
Liz Truss Compare Odds (7) Show less (7)
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Betano square logo Betano
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
William Hill square William Hill
40/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
33/1
Coral square Coral
33/1
28
Kate Hoey Compare Odds (1) Show less (1)
Betfred new icon Betfred
50/1
29
Jonathan Gullis Compare Odds (2) Show less (2)
Coral square Coral
66/1
William Hill square William Hill
50/1
30
Jaymey Mcivor Compare Odds (1) Show less (1)
William Hill square William Hill
66/1
31
Tom Tugendhat Compare Odds (4) Show less (4)
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Betano square logo Betano
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
32
Holly Valance Compare Odds (13) Show less (13)
William Hill square William Hill
100/1
Betfred new icon Betfred
100/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
starsports icon StarSports
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Betano square logo Betano
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
Coral square Coral
25/1
SkyBet icon Sky Bet
25/1
betgoodwin square BetGoodwin
22/1
BetAhoy icon BetAhoy
22/1
BetTom icon BetTom
22/1
Paddy Power square Paddy Power
16/1
33
Tommy Robinson Compare Odds (5) Show less (5)
starsports icon StarSports
100/1
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Betano square logo Betano
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
34
Thomas Skinner Compare Odds (2) Show less (2)
Betfred new icon Betfred
100/1
William Hill square William Hill
50/1
35
Elon Musk Compare Odds (1) Show less (1)
starsports icon StarSports
500/1

The Favourites to be the Next Permanent Reform Leader

  1. Robert Jenrick with odds 3/1 on Sky Bet
  2. Zia Yusuf with odds 333/100 on 10bet
  3. Richard Tice with odds 11/2 on StarSports
  4. Rupert Lowe with odds 16/1 on Betfred
  5. Suella Braverman with odds 16/1 on Betfred
  6. Danny Kruger with odds 16/1 on Betfred
  7. Sienna Churcher with odds 25/1 on Coral
  8. Lee Anderson with odds 25/1 on Betfred
  9. Laila Cunningham with odds 25/1 on Betfred
  10. Matt Goodwin with odds 25/1 on Betfred

Probability to be the Next Reform Leader

With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability of each candidate being the next leader of the Reform Party, according to the bookmakers.

Candidate Odds Probability
Robert Jenrick 3/1 25.00%
Zia Yusuf 333/100 23.09%
Richard Tice 11/2 15.38%
Rupert Lowe 16/1 5.88%
Suella Braverman 16/1 5.88%
Danny Kruger 16/1 5.88%
Sienna Churcher 25/1 3.85%
Lee Anderson 25/1 3.85%
Laila Cunningham 25/1 3.85%
Matt Goodwin 25/1 3.85%
Nadhim Zahawi 33/1 2.94%
Boris Johnson 33/1 2.94%
Jacob Rees-Mogg 33/1 2.94%
Sarah Pochin 33/1 2.94%
David Bull 33/1 2.94%
Jake Berry 33/1 2.94%
Priti Patel 33/1 2.94%
Ben Habib 35/1 2.78%
Nick Candy 40/1 2.44%
James McMurdock 50/1 1.96%
Andrea Jenkyns 50/1 1.96%
Kemi Badenoch 50/1 1.96%
Marco Longhi 50/1 1.96%
Ant Middleton 50/1 1.96%
Nadine Dorries 50/1 1.96%
David Frost 50/1 1.96%
Liz Truss 50/1 1.96%
Kate Hoey 50/1 1.96%
Jonathan Gullis 66/1 1.49%
Jaymey Mcivor 66/1 1.49%
Tom Tugendhat 100/1 0.99%
Holly Valance 100/1 0.99%
Tommy Robinson 100/1 0.99%
Thomas Skinner 100/1 0.99%
Elon Musk 500/1 0.20%

Who is the Favourite to be the Reform Leader After Nigel Farage?

As of 8 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Reform leader is Robert Jenrick, best priced at 3/1 with Sky Bet.

The odds mean that the probability for Robert Jenrick to be the next Reform leader is 25.00%.

Steven Hubbard has been running BettingLounge since 2018, building it into one of the UK's most trusted betting comparison sites. As Editor-in-Chief, he oversees all content, reviews and editorial standards across the site, with a focus on odds comparisons, sister site guides and holding bookmakers accountable where it matters.

With over 8 years in the iGaming industry, his approach to transparent, ethical affiliate content has been recognised in publications including SiGMA and Gambling Affiliate Voice.

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