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Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Reform leader after Nigel Farage.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability of each candidate being the next leader of the Reform Party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidate | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 3/1 | 25.00% |
| | 333/100 | 23.09% |
| | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 35/1 | 2.78% |
| | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
As of 8 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Reform leader is Robert Jenrick, best priced at 3/1 with Sky Bet.
The odds mean that the probability for Robert Jenrick to be the next Reform leader is 25.00%.

Steven Hubbard has been running BettingLounge since 2018, building it into one of the UK's most trusted betting comparison sites. As Editor-in-Chief, he oversees all content, reviews and editorial standards across the site, with a focus on odds comparisons, sister site guides and holding bookmakers accountable where it matters.
With over 8 years in the iGaming industry, his approach to transparent, ethical affiliate content has been recognised in publications including SiGMA and Gambling Affiliate Voice.