Serie A Relegation Odds
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Serie A Relegation Betting Odds (2026/27)
Compare the latest odds for the 2026/27 Serie A relegation race below.
William Hill 
Paddy Power 
Unibet 
Bet365 
BetMGM 
BOYLE Sports 
10bet 
QuinnBet 
Betway 
Sky Bet 
LeoVegas 
The Favourites to Be Relegated in the 26/27 Serie A
- Venezia with odds 8/13 on William Hill
- Monza with odds 8/11 on William Hill
- Parma with odds 11/8 on Betway
- Lecce with odds 6/4 on Paddy Power
- Genoa with odds 15/8 on Paddy Power
Probability to Be Relegated in the 2026/27 Serie A Season
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Venezia | 8/13 | 61.73% |
 Monza | 8/11 | 57.80% |
 Parma | 11/8 | 42.02% |
 Lecce | 6/4 | 40.00% |
 Genoa | 15/8 | 34.72% |
 Frosinone | 5/1 | 16.67% |
 Udinese | 8/1 | 11.11% |
 Torino | 9/1 | 10.00% |
 Sassuolo | 12/1 | 7.69% |
 Bologna | 14/1 | 6.67% |
 Fiorentina | 18/1 | 5.26% |
 Cagliari | 22/1 | 4.35% |
 SS Lazio | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Atalanta | 150/1 | 0.66% |
 Napoli | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Juventus | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Como | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Roma | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 AC Milan | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Inter Milan | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Who is the Favourite to Be Relegated in Serie A?
As of 8 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from Serie A is Venezia, best priced at 8/13 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Venezia to be relegated is 61.73%.
Serie A Relegation: 2026-27 Ante-Post Tips
Relegation in Serie A can be really easy or really tough, for example, I landed two of the three selections last season and I'm aiming for the full house this season.
Starting bottom, I've got Monza. Promoted via the play-offs, they were the weakest of the new sides and their business doesn't really stand out to me. Patrick Cutrone is a nice addition and barring that, it's a lot of risks.
The average age of their signings is 22.5 and I'd rather they went down the experienced route. With only €7m in net spending, there are others who have spent better...
Following them, I've got Lecce to go down. The Giallorossi only just stayed up last season and it's been a similar story in recent years - they look at risk of the drop, but somehow stay up - that was again the case last season.
Do I think it'll happen again? Probably not. There hasn't been much of an overhaul to the squad and the only signing of the summer was Willem Geubbels, which doesn't exactly inspire.
Finally, I think Frosinone are in danger of the drop. They finished second in Serie B, five points ahead of Monza, and I think they'll still finish above them this season.
However, they won't set the league alight in my view. Nine signings this summer shows a clear attempt to stay up, as does the retention of several key players.
However, you're asking a lot of a team that didn't exactly wow in Serie B. It feels like another easy pick.
How Relegation Works in Serie A
The bottom three teams in Serie A at the end of the season are relegated to Serie B, replaced by the top two teams and the play-off winner of the second tier. Serie A recently changed the rules for tiebreakers as well, which apply to both the relegation and title fight. If two teams finish on the same points, it will be decided by a one-off clash instead of going by goal difference or head-to-head.
This actually happened in the 2022/23 season of Serie A, when Hellas Verona and Spezia finished on the same points. The do-or-die clash took place at neutral ground, more specifically at Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium, and Verona prevailed 3-1 after four goals in the first half. The Bentegodi side thus escaped relegation, while Spezia failed to do so.
