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Compare the latest odds for the top-four race in the 2026/27 season of Serie A below.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will finish in the top 4 in Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 1/100 | 99.01% |
| | 1/3 | 75.19% |
| | 4/11 | 73.53% |
| | 4/11 | 73.53% |
| | 7/10 | 58.82% |
| Calcio Como | 9/4 | 30.77% |
| Atalanta Bergamo | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| AC Fiorentina | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Bologna F.C. | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| SS Lazio | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Udinese | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Torino | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Sassuolo | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| AC Parma | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| SSC Venezia | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Frosinone | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| SSD Monza 1912 | 500/1 | 0.20% |

We are yet to make our ante-post bets for the 2026-27 season, so check back soon.
While winning the Scudetto is the most prestigious achievement, finishing in the top 4 is arguably the most important from a financial point of view. That is because Serie A has four spots for the Champions League, and the revenue from that competition is crucial for the Italian clubs.
Considering that you are guaranteed around €40-50m in revenue after qualifying for the competition, it can truly make or break a season for a Serie A club. Without that money, it's hard to invest in new players and that has a knock-on effect.
If the Italian clubs do well in European competitions during a season, then a fifth spot in the Champions League could be unlocked. This happened in the 2023-24 season but it hasn't happened since, with the Premier League and La Liga coming out on top lately (there are two bonus spots).