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Compare the latest odds for the top-four race in the 2026/27 season of Serie A below.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will finish in the top 4 in Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 1/20 | 95.24% |
| | 33/100 | 75.19% |
| | 2/5 | 71.43% |
| | 1/2 | 66.67% |
| | 53/100 | 65.36% |
| | 2/1 | 33.33% |
| | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |

This is where things get really tough, frustratingly so, actually.
Last season's top four race was excellent with it going to the final few matchdays of the season and we saw what happened, with Como getting a spot in the Champions League.
I expect this season to be no different, really. There is such little stability at the top and anyone could be anywhere this season. It's a really tough one on the balance of things.
Starting with second, though, I've got Juventus. The Bianconeri have had a really solid summer, re-signing Randal Kolo Muani and adding exciting winger Kerim Alajbegovic.
They've also been smart, too, with the additions of Zeki Celik and Jeremie Boga - who was with the club on loan last season. Lucianno Spalletti is a great coach and he is in the second year of his project now.
After missing out last season, they need to return to the Champions League and I think they will.
Roma's price surprised me a little bit, all things considered. Last season, they made a fantastic last push for a Champions League place and earned it - which will be something to contend with in its own right.
However, I don't really see them reaching the latter stages of that competition, so the strain on their squad won't be major.
They've overhauled their strike unit, replacing Artem Dovbyk and Evan Ferguson with Santiago Castro and the expected signing of Rodrigo Mora. It doesn't stop there, too.
The re-signing of Donyell Malen is fantastic business, considering how much of an impact he had on them last season.
At 4/5, I really, really like this pick.
For my final spot in the Top Four, I've gone for AC Milan. Now, the appointment of Ruben Amorim can certainly be questioned. However, I want to look beyond that.
The signings of Mario Gila and Goncalo Ramos drastically raise the level of their respective departments and further additions are likely this summer - with another central defender also expected.
They are certainly questionable after last season's drop off. However, this feels like it could be a big year for the Rossoneri.
Saying that, at 8/14, I'd not be touching the price. It's just not enough value for me. I'd sooner take the other prices.
For what it's worth, I'd also be tempted to have a small bet on Como at 4/1. Without a doubt, the Lariani are the best project in the league currently and whilst I fear about them and their ability to cope with a European campaign and push for the league, they're not a 4/1 side.
BetVictor offering that price, then, feels like a gift. I think they'll finish just outside the first four, but I'd not be surprised if they got themselves in there and the price is nice enough for the risk.
While winning the Scudetto is the most prestigious achievement, finishing in the top 4 is arguably the most important from a financial point of view. That is because Serie A has four spots for the Champions League, and the revenue from that competition is crucial for the Italian clubs.
Considering that you are guaranteed around €40-50m in revenue after qualifying for the competition, it can truly make or break a season for a Serie A club. Without that money, it's hard to invest in new players and that has a knock-on effect.
If the Italian clubs do well in European competitions during a season, then a fifth spot in the Champions League could be unlocked. This happened in the 2023-24 season but it hasn't happened since, with the Premier League and La Liga coming out on top lately (there are two bonus spots).