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Compare the latest odds for the 2026/27 Ligue 1 relegation race below.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from Ligue 1, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 10/11 | 52.36% |
| Angers | 5/4 | 44.44% |
| Troyes | 13/10 | 43.48% |
| | 3/1 | 25.00% |
| Brest | 3/1 | 25.00% |
| Paris FC | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| Lorient | 9/2 | 18.18% |
| | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| Toulouse | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Rennes | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Marseille | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
As of 9 August 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from Ligue 1 is Le Mans, best priced at 10/11 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Le Mans to be relegated is 52.36%.

We are yet to make our ante-post bets for the 2026-27 season, so check back soon.
Just like the Bundesliga, Ligue 1 is a league that consists of 18 teams rather than 20, with the latter being the standard among Europe's top leagues. As a result, the bottom two teams are relegated at the end of every season, while the third team must take part in a play-off tie. This is played over two legs against the play-off winner in Ligue 2.
Metz finished third from the bottom in the 2023/24 season on the same amount of points as Lorient, though with a better head-to-head away goals scored record (!). It wasn't enough in the end, though, as St. Etienne won the play-off game and thus secured their spot in the top flight for the current season.