Ligue 1 Relegation Odds
ExpandFrench Ligue 1 Odds
Ligue 1 tends to produce quite dramatic battles at the bottom of the standings and this is perfect for punters. Effortlessly compare the most competitive Ligue 1 Relegation odds from the top UK betting sites here.
Our Ligue 1 betting odds are refreshed in real-time to ensure you're always on top of the game, while our outright betting odds receive daily updates.
There are also a few other outright markets to bet on, such as which team will win Ligue 1, and that could be worth checking out just like the relegation markets.
Ligue 1 Relegation Odds 2025/26
Compare the latest odds for the 2025/26 Ligue 1 relegation race below.
Bet365 
QuinnBet The Favourites to Be Relegated in the 25/26 Ligue 1
- Metz with odds 1/16 on Bet365
- Nantes with odds 1/5 on Bet365
- Auxerre with odds 8/11 on Bet365
- Paris FC with odds 11/2 on Bet365
- Nice with odds 8/1 on Bet365
Probability to Be Relegated in the 25/26 Ligue 1 Season
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from Ligue 1, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Metz | 1/16 | 94.12% |
| Nantes | 1/5 | 83.33% |
| Auxerre | 8/11 | 57.89% |
| Paris FC | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| Nice | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Le Havre | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Angers | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Brest | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Monaco | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Toulouse | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Strasbourg | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Who is the Favourite to Be Relegated in Ligue 1?
As of 26 February 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from Ligue 1 is Metz, best priced at 1/16 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Metz to be relegated is 94.12%.
Ligue 1 Relegation: 2025-26 Ante-Post Tips
With the top end of the table looked at, now we need to look at the bottom side of the division, and there are some interesting teams in the relegation picture, in my eyes.
Metz, for the bookmakers, are the favourites to go down and I would struggle to disagree with them right now. Investment has been minimal in a team that probably needs quite a lot after a summer of poaching.
Despite them being the favourites, we can still get Evens on this selection at the time of writing, which could be good value.
For the other relegation spot, I am looking at Lorient. Les Merlus won Ligue 2 last season, but they do not look like they have made enough recruitment to bridge the gap to the top division, at least not yet.
They, in many respects, have done better than Metz, largely because they have kept their team together. However, this could also bite them at the end of the season. In other words, it will be a big test for them.
Finally, there are several teams that could find themselves in the relegation play-off at the end of the season. However, I think it could be Le Havre's spot, last season they conceded a staggering 71 goals, and stayed up marginally.
If they were involved at the bottom of the division again, it would not be a surprise, put it that way.
How Relegation Works in Ligue 1
Just like the Bundesliga, Ligue 1 is a league that consists of 18 teams rather than 20, with the latter being the standard among Europe's top leagues. As a result, the bottom two teams are relegated at the end of every season, while the third team must take part in a play-off tie. This is played over two legs against the play-off winner in Ligue 2.
Metz finished third from the bottom in the 2023/24 season on the same amount of points as Lorient, though with a better head-to-head away goals scored record (!). It wasn't enough in the end, though, as St. Etienne won the play-off game and thus secured their spot in the top flight for the current season.
