Bundesliga Relegation Odds
If you are looking to bet on which Bundesliga teams will be relegated, you have come to the right place. On BettingLounge.co.uk, we compare Bundesliga relegation odds from 10+ UK bookmakers, making it easy to find the best odds for each remaining team.
Bundesliga Relegation Odds 2024/25
bet365 
BetMGM 
Betway 
Unibet 
The Favourites to Be Relegated in the 2024/25 Bundesliga
- Holstein Kiel with odds 1/9 on bet365
- Bochum with odds 1/8 on bet365
- Heidenheim with odds 5/2 on Betway
- St Pauli with odds 5/2 on bet365
- TSG Hoffenheim with odds 8/1 on bet365
- Augsburg with odds 9/1 on bet365
- Mainz with odds 40/1 on bet365
- Union Berlin with odds 40/1 on bet365
- Borussia Mgladbach with odds 70/1 on BetMGM
- Wolfsburg with odds 100/1 on bet365
Probability to Be Relegated in the 2024/25 Bundesliga Season
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from the Bundesliga, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 1/9 | 90.00% |
| Bochum | 1/8 | 88.89% |
| Heidenheim | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| St Pauli | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Augsburg | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| Mainz | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Union Berlin | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Borussia Mgladbach | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Wolfsburg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Werder Bremen | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| SC Freiburg | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Vfb Stuttgart | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| RB Leipzig | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Who is the Favourite to Be Relegated From the Bundesliga?
As of 21 December 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from the Bundesliga is Holstein Kiel, best priced at 1/9 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Holstein Kiel to be relegated is 90.00%.
Bundesliga Relegation - 2024/25 Ante-Post Season Predictions
The Bundesliga relegation picture is certainly narrow, and I don't think there will be any shocks in the teams that could go down.
Starting with Bochum, we have already mentioned them in this article, and after surviving through the relegation play-off - a game in which they came back from a 3-0 deficit - I think they will suffer the drop this season. There is a lack of quality, and they will struggle a lot this season.
Then we have Holstein Kiel, who finished second in the 2. Bundesliga last year. It is their debut season in the Bundesliga, and unfortunately, I think it will be their only season in the top flight - at least on this occasion.
St Pauli are a team of intrigue for me, they had a fantastic coach in Fabian Hürzeler, but he left for Brighton this summer. However, they have gone for Alexander Blessin who has previously been a Premier League target, and other Bundesliga clubs have rated him highly. After winning the 2. Bundesliga, I think they have the best chance of the promoted duo, but they will still be in the dogfight.
I feel like FC Augsburg could be in with a chance of the drop this season, as they have lost their star striker, Ermedin Demirovic, and I'm unsure if they will have replaced his goals.
How Relegation Works in Bundesliga
The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga - at the end of the season - are immediately relegated while two teams from 2. Bundesliga are promoted. The third and final relegation, as well as promotion, is decided by a two-legged play-off game. Along with Ligue 1, the Bundesliga is the only one of the top five leagues to have such a system, with the others having three immediate-relegation spots.
This means that even if a team finishes the season in 16th place, with the Bundesliga being an 18-team league instead of 20, the team in question could still play in the top flight for next season. Bochum won the play-off against Düsseldorf in 2023/24 after penalty shootout drama. Incredibly enough, both teams won their respective away games 3-0, resulting in the stalemate.
