Bundesliga Relegation Odds
ExpandBundesliga Odds
After a tight affair for the relegation play-off spot last season, neutral fans will be hoping for more excitement at the bottom of the Bundesliga table. On this page, you can effortlessly compare the most competitive Bundesliga relegation odds from the top UK betting sites. These outright betting odds receive daily updates.
You can also take a look at our odds comparison for the Bundesliga title winner, as well as odds updated in real-time for the upcoming Bundesliga games. In short, we have you covered on all fronts!
Bundesliga Relegation Odds 2024/25
bet365 
BetMGM 
Unibet 
Betway The Favourites to Be Relegated in the 2024/25 Bundesliga
- Heidenheim with odds 1/9 on bet365
- Holstein Kiel with odds 1/4 on bet365
- Bochum with odds 2/5 on bet365
- TSG Hoffenheim with odds 10/1 on bet365
- Union Berlin with odds 25/1 on bet365
Probability to Be Relegated in the 2024/25 Bundesliga Season
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from the Bundesliga, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim | 1/9 | 90.00% |
| Holstein Kiel | 1/4 | 80.00% |
| Bochum | 2/5 | 71.43% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Union Berlin | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Who is the Favourite to Be Relegated From the Bundesliga?
As of 26 March 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from the Bundesliga is Heidenheim, best priced at 1/9 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Heidenheim to be relegated is 90.00%.
Bundesliga Relegation - 2024/25 Ante-Post Season Predictions
The Bundesliga relegation picture is certainly narrow, and I don't think there will be any shocks in the teams that could go down.
Starting with Bochum, we have already mentioned them in this article, and after surviving through the relegation play-off - a game in which they came back from a 3-0 deficit - I think they will suffer the drop this season. There is a lack of quality, and they will struggle a lot this season.
Then we have Holstein Kiel, who finished second in the 2. Bundesliga last year. It is their debut season in the Bundesliga, and unfortunately, I think it will be their only season in the top flight - at least on this occasion.
St Pauli are a team of intrigue for me, they had a fantastic coach in Fabian Hürzeler, but he left for Brighton this summer. However, they have gone for Alexander Blessin who has previously been a Premier League target, and other Bundesliga clubs have rated him highly. After winning the 2. Bundesliga, I think they have the best chance of the promoted duo, but they will still be in the dogfight.
I feel like FC Augsburg could be in with a chance of the drop this season, as they have lost their star striker, Ermedin Demirovic, and I'm unsure if they will have replaced his goals.
How Relegation Works in Bundesliga
The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga - at the end of the season - are immediately relegated while two teams from 2. Bundesliga are promoted. The third and final relegation, as well as promotion, is decided by a two-legged play-off game. Along with Ligue 1, the Bundesliga is the only one of the top five leagues to have such a system, with the others having three immediate-relegation spots.
This means that even if a team finishes the season in 16th place, with the Bundesliga being an 18-team league instead of 20, the team in question could still play in the top flight for next season. Bochum won the play-off against Düsseldorf in 2023/24 after penalty shootout drama. Incredibly enough, both teams won their respective away games 3-0, resulting in the stalemate.
