Bundesliga Relegation Odds
ExpandBundesliga Odds
After a tight affair for the relegation play-off spot last season, neutral fans will be hoping for more excitement at the bottom of the Bundesliga table. On this page, you can effortlessly compare the most competitive Bundesliga relegation odds from the top UK betting sites. These outright betting odds receive daily updates.
You can also take a look at our odds comparison for the Bundesliga title winner, as well as odds updated in real-time for the upcoming Bundesliga games. In short, we have you covered on all fronts!
Bundesliga Relegation Odds 2025/26
Bet365 
QuinnBet 
BetMGM 
The Favourites to Be Relegated in the 2025/26 Bundesliga
- Heidenheim with odds 8/11 on Bet365
- Mainz with odds 8/11 on Bet365
- St Pauli with odds 11/10 on Bet365
- Augsburg with odds 2/1 on Bet365
- Wolfsburg with odds 4/1 on Bet365
- Hamburg with odds 6/1 on Bet365
- Werder Bremen with odds 8/1 on Bet365
- Union Berlin with odds 10/1 on Bet365
- Borussia Mgladbach with odds 12/1 on Bet365
- Cologne with odds 12/1 on Bet365
Probability to Be Relegated in the 2025/26 Bundesliga Season
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from the Bundesliga, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim | 8/11 | 57.89% |
| Mainz | 8/11 | 57.89% |
| St Pauli | 11/10 | 47.62% |
| Augsburg | 2/1 | 33.33% |
| Wolfsburg | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| Hamburg | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Werder Bremen | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Union Berlin | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Borussia Mgladbach | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Cologne | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| SC Freiburg | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Vfb Stuttgart | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| RB Leipzig | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3000/1 | 0.03% |
Who is the Favourite to Be Relegated From the Bundesliga?
As of 15 December 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from the Bundesliga is Heidenheim, best priced at 8/11 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Heidenheim to be relegated is 57.89%.
Bundesliga Relegation: 2025-26 Ante-Post Tips
With the top end of the table looked at, now we need to look at the bottom side of the division, and there are some interesting teams in the relegation picture, in my eyes.
Unfortunately, there are no relegation odds available for the Bundesliga; however, this area will be updated when the odds become available. For now, though, we can certainly make predictions on the basis that there will be, based on the winner market.
Right now, Heidenheim and St Pauli are the two favourites to go down with odds of 8/11 and 6/4 respectively.
Honestly, I don't think there can be any disagreement with this at the moment, either. Starting with St Pauli, who I think will be bottom. Last season, they just avoided relegation, and I don't think they will be so lucky.
This summer, the investments made have not been superb and that causes me to worry a little. It will be tight, but I just don't see them having the quality to stay up once again, as magical as it would be.
Then, I also think that Heidenheim will face a drop this year after finishing in the relegation play-off last season. A late goal from Leo Scienza kept them up last year, as they faced Elversberg on May 26.
Like St Pauli, they have not recruited well enough for me and look really vulnerable to the drop this year. Money has not been spent, and this only looks to be going one way for me this year, as unfortunate as that may be.
How Relegation Works in Bundesliga
The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga - at the end of the season - are immediately relegated while two teams from 2. Bundesliga are promoted. The third and final relegation, as well as promotion, is decided by a two-legged play-off game. Along with Ligue 1, the Bundesliga is the only one of the top five leagues to have such a system, with the others having three immediate-relegation spots.
This means that even if a team finishes the season in 16th place, with the Bundesliga being an 18-team league instead of 20, the team in question could still play in the top flight for next season. Bochum won the play-off against Düsseldorf in 2023/24 after penalty shootout drama. Incredibly enough, both teams won their respective away games 3-0, resulting in the stalemate.
