With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from the Bundesliga, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Darmstadt | 1/1000 | 99.90% |
Cologne | 1/10 | 90.91% |
Bochum | 2/1 | 33.33% |
Mainz | 5/2 | 28.57% |
Union Berlin | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Wolfsburg | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Borussia Mgladbach | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Werder Bremen | 500/1 | 0.20% |
As of 27 April 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from the Bundesliga is Darmstadt, best priced at 1/1000 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Darmstadt to be relegated is 99.90%.
The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga - at the end of the season - are immediately relegated while two teams from 2. Bundesliga are promoted. The third and final relegation, as well as promotion, is decided by a two-legged play-off game. Along with Ligue 1, the Bundesliga is the only one of the top five leagues to have such a system, with the others having three immediate-relegation spots.
This means that even if a team finishes the season in 16th place, with the Bundesliga being an 18-team league instead of 20, the team in question could still play in the top flight for next season. Stuttgart won the play-off against Hamburg in 2022/23, keeping their spot in the first flight, and now look set to clinch a Champions League spot for next season. A true sliding doors moment, showcasing the importance of the play-off.
Isak is an experienced content writer with a background in sports journalism. Having focused mainly on football in the past, he certainly knows a thing or two about the betting industry. At BettingLounge, Isak makes sure that all of the content is up to date, specialising in reviews of UK betting sites.