Jesus, Bouaddi and Barcola: Transfer Betting Updates (17/7/26)

transfer-odds-update-july-17
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon Published: 18/07/2026

As the summer transfer window kicks off, there are plenty of opportunities to make money from different transfers happening around Europe. So, we wanted to take a look at the biggest moves (and odds) of interest.

Last week, at the start of our series, we went on a bit of a longer look at all of the ongoing rumours and there are certainly a few to discuss.

Gabriel Jesus Free to Leave Arsenal

Four years after joining the club, Gabriel Jesus has been told that he is free to leave the Gunners this summer. Indeed, TeamTalk reports that the North London club will accept as little as £20 million.

After making 14 appearances last season, he is seen as dispensable in the final year of his contract. So, an exit could well be on the cards.

BetVictor logo new

Any Italian Team - 2/1

In recent years, Italian clubs have regularly been linked with Jesus, and the Brazilian has even stated that it is a dream to play in Serie A in the future, as Football Italia relayed.

The £20m price tag would appeal to the big clubs, certainly, so a move would be feasible. Of course, there are individual club markets on offer, too. Juventus are 8/1 with Bet365, whilst AC Milan are 10/1 to make a move.

Play now
betano logo

Any South American Club - 6/1

If a move to Italy isn't going to happen, a move back to South America could do. Of course, you'd not be limited to only Brazilian clubs, so a move to Argentina could also appeal.

In short, there are plenty of options for the Brazilian striker...

Play now

James Trafford Considering Options

James Trafford joined Manchester City at a time when it looked like he'd be the starting option. However, this very quickly changed, and subsequent reports have claimed he was unhappy about it.

In fact, the goalkeeper even stated, "I didn’t expect the situation to happen, but it happened," showing his frustration about the situation. As a result, an exit could take place this summer.

BetMGM Logo

Manchester City - 2/5

Staying at Manchester City is, of course, an option and BetMGM has it as the most likely option for him this summer. Ultimately, he has made do with the situation so far and he still has had chances to play.

With no major tournament next summer, there will be no rush to search for a move - that may come in the season after - so it doesn't come as a surprise that staying is the number one right now.

Play now
Paddy Power logo new

Leeds United - 11/10

Leeds United are the favourites to make a move this summer, though, if one is to happen. Indeed, the Whites have lost two keepers this summer, and signing a competitive number one could be on the cards.

LeedsAllOver relays a report from the Daily Mail, stating that £40 million would be needed. So, it will not be a small operation at all.

Signing what is likely to be the England number one for the future would be a smart business move, too. We shall have to see, of course. I'd probably want a little higher odds, though, to be tempted.

Play now
SkyBet logo

Aston Villa - 5/2

TeamTalk also state that Aston Villa are willing to fight for the Englishman, rivalling Leeds United for the goalkeeper. Emi Martinez could leave this summer, so having an option on the market is understandable.

Whether the Villains would be open to matching the £40m valuation, though, is another thing in itself.

Play now

Options on the Table for Bradley Barcola

A move for the Frenchman is one of the more interesting stories of this summer and several clubs are interested in Bradley Barcola. After all, he is one of the best wingers in world football currently; PSG just have better.

So, why not cash in? Fabrizio Romano states that his situation is 'open' and things could quickly change this summer and there is plenty of interest.

BetMGM Logo

Liverpool - 1/1

Romano's reporting of the situation has often tied Liverpool to the winger and it makes sense why. The Frenchman would be a fantastic addition to an already strong front line.

With the money there to buy a star, why should the Reds not look at Barcola, who can play on both wings? It certainly represents something of interest...

Play now
BetMGM Logo

Arsenal - 6/4

On the other hand, you have Arsenal, who need a winger after the sale of Leandro Trossard. The Gunners, then, could look to make a big move for a starting winger.

However, the signing of Christos Tzolis could be enough for them to look away from a move, especially with Morgan Rogers still on the table. I'd want higher odds than 6/4 either way...

Play now
Virgin Bet logo

Bayern Munich - 4/1

In an interesting turn of events, Bavarian Football Works relays words from Foot Mercato stating that Bayern Munich could rival Liverpool in making the signing, especially with Michael Olise's future in doubt.

Initial contacts have been made by the German giants and things could certainly get interesting as the window progresses. Olise's sale may not even need to happen for a deal to be finalised.

Maybe the 4/1 price represents the most value in the market, but whether it's a bettable price is questionable.

Play now

Lucas Bergvall Free to Leave Tottenham Hotspur

In June, The Athletic reported that Lucas Bergvall wanted a new challenge and here we are, with several clubs looking at the Swedish midfielder. Clubs from across England and Europe have been taking a look.

However, it would seem that a move is on the verge of being completed this summer.

SkyBet logo

Nottingham Forest - 2/9

At the time of writing, Nottingham Forest are on the verge of signing the Swede. After the sale of Elliot Anderson, they need a key replacement in midfield and the 20-year-old would offer that.

Reports suggest that a deal could be wrapped up shortly in the region of £45-50 million, as BBC Sport reported. 2/9 isn't significant value, of course, but maybe it's free money.

Play now

Ayyoub Bouaddi Hot Property This Summer

Finally, we come to Ayyoub Bouaddi, who looks likely to be one of the big contenders for the World Cup's Young Player of the Tournament award. Indeed, the Moroccan midfielder is a player with significant potential, with a massive level of ability already.

So, he could leave Ligue 1 this season and head to one of Europe's elites and there are certainly a few options on the table.

BetMGM Logo

Manchester City - 1/3

The clear favourites at this moment are Manchester City and the Moroccan would certainly fit into Enzo Maresca's system. A technically gifted midfielder with a fantastic range of passing, he would excel at the Etihad.

However, the signing of Elliot Anderson could put a spanner in the works. £200m on midfielders in one summer is an awful lot, it must be said.

At 1/3, you'd expect things to be a bit more advanced than what they are, too.

Play now
Bet365 logo

Lille - 4/1

In the Manchester Evening News' report last night, where they stated that Manchester City remained interested, they relayed comments from Lille's president Olivier Letang.

Indeed, he stated that there was a 'very high chance' that he would remain in France for another season, at least, despite the interest.

Maybe this 4/1 price is a little high...

Play now
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon
Last updated: 18/07/2026

Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.

Report Issue