Compare the latest transfer odds for the clubs likely to be vying for Virgil Van Dijk's signature during the summer transfer windows.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability to be Virgil Van Dijk's next club, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
PSG | 5/1 | 16.67% |
Real Madrid | 8/1 | 11.11% |
Bayern Munich | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Any Saudi Pro League club | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Barcelona | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Any MLS Team | 20/1 | 4.76% |
AC Milan | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Inter Milan | 25/1 | 3.85% |
RB Leipzig | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Ajax | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Celtic | 33/1 | 2.94% |
As of 16 May 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be Virgil Van Dijk's next club is PSG, best priced at 5/1 with BetVictor.
The odds mean that the probability for PSG to be the next permanent club for Virgil Van Dijk is 16.67%.
First things first, we have to clarify what the Virgil Van Dijk next club odds actually means in the context of the market that is currently on offer. It is not simply a “next club” market.
The small print of the bet positions the market as the club Van Dijk is registered to as of September 3rd 2025, which greatly changes what you will be betting on.
In football, you can never say never, but the fact Liverpool are not a club offered in the betting options, even at an obscene odds-on price, probably speaks volumes for what is likely to unfold over the next few months.
Of course, making the argument for Van Dijk potentially completing the most incredible U-turn and leaving Anfield over the summer isn’t impossible.
For example, fall outs can happen at anytime behind the scene whilst a big hitter could still rock up an put down a bag of money that is too big for Liverpool to turn down; admittedly, that would need some form of trigger but with the Club World Cup taking place this off-season, it’s feasible someone suffers a centre back nightmare and picks up a couple of long-term injuries that forces them into the market.
A price of 5/1 for PSG to sign Virgil Van Dijk before September is never a value bet. As a top club in Europe, PSG would have had their feelers out for Van Dijk before the announcement of his extension at Liverpool, with evidently no deal to be done.
PSG have shown themselves to be an elite team over recent weeks, though, notably, beating Liverpool in the Champions League on their route to the final.
They will want to make sure this season isn’t just a one-off and so much of their backline is built around the experience of Marquinhos.
If anything happens to him, PSG will need to go and pick up an experienced centre half, and, even if a fee is involved, Van Dijk could come back into the mix.
For us, Real Madrid is the most likely of an unlikely bunch to make a move for Van Dijk over the summer.
The Spanish giants, who are snapping up his teammate Trent Alexander-Arnold on a free transfer, will likely have spoken to Van Dijk’s representatives over the past 12 months. Clearly, nothing came of those discussions, but we’ll never know how close an agreement was.
Imagine a world where Real Madrid suffer a major injury at the heart of their defence over the next couple of months.
They look set to end this season without silverware, and they cannot afford to do that again next year.
If they submitted a decent transfer fee, Liverpool may well consider it and any acceptance of a bid would probably give Van Dijk the nudge to say ‘yes’.
Bayern Munich are managed by one of the best centre-backs we’ve seen in the modern era in Vincent Kompany.
His team though, are atrocious at the back with Dayot Upamecano and Kim Min-Jae incapable of finding any form over recent seasons, so much so that Eric Dier has become a key player for them.
With the Bavarians having got their hands back on the Bundesliga title this season, the next job is success in Europe, and a leading centre back simply has to feature on Kompany’s wish list.
Van Dijk being that man is obviously a long shot, but you can bet the Bayern hierarchy would like him.
Whilst you can stretch an argument for one of Europe’s big boys somehow finding a way to extract Van Dijk from Liverpool, the idea of the Dutchman ending up in the Saudi Pro League before September feels like an absolute no-hoper.
The only thing Saudi Arabia can offer Van Dijk is money, and those conversations would have already been done to death prior to the 33-year-old putting pen to paper on a new deal.