Below are the latest transfer odds for the clubs likely to be vying for Lionel Messi's signature during this January transfer window.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability to be Lionel Messi's next club, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| Liverpool | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Man City | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Chelsea | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| PSG | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Man United | 50/1 | 1.96% |
As of 11 January 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be Lionel Messi's next club is Barcelona, best priced at 4/1 with BetVictor.
The odds mean that the probability for Barcelona to be the next permanent club for Lionel Messi is 20.00%.





