Bundesliga Top 4 Odds
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Bundesliga Top 4 Betting Odds (2026/27)
Compare the latest odds for the top-four race in the 2026/27 season of Bundesliga below.
BetMGM 
LeoVegas 
Bet365 
William Hill 
QuinnBet 
Betway 
BetGoodwin 
BetAhoy 
BetTom 
BetVictor 
talkSPORT BET 
Betano 
Parimatch 
The Favourites to Finish Top 4 in the 26/27 Bundesliga
- Bayern Munich with odds 1/100 on BetMGM
- Borussia Dortmund with odds 1/7 on Bet365
- Bayer Leverkusen with odds 1/2 on Betway
- RB Leipzig with odds 1/2 on Betway
- SC Freiburg with odds 15/8 on BetVictor
- Vfb Stuttgart with odds 11/4 on Bet365
- TSG Hoffenheim with odds 8/1 on Bet365
- Werder Bremen with odds 16/1 on BetVictor
- Eintracht Frankfurt with odds 25/1 on Bet365
- Mainz with odds 40/1 on BetVictor
Probability to Finish Top 4 in the 26/27 Bundesliga Season
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Bayern Munich | 1/100 | 99.01% |
 Borussia Dortmund | 1/7 | 87.72% |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 1/2 | 66.67% |
 RB Leipzig | 1/2 | 66.67% |
 SC Freiburg | 15/8 | 34.72% |
 Vfb Stuttgart | 11/4 | 26.67% |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 8/1 | 11.11% |
 Werder Bremen | 16/1 | 5.88% |
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 25/1 | 3.85% |
 Mainz | 40/1 | 2.44% |
 Elversberg | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Augsburg | 50/1 | 1.96% |
 Hamburg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
 Cologne | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Borussia Mgladbach | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Union Berlin | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Paderborn | 500/1 | 0.20% |
 Schalke | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Bundesliga Top 4: 2026-27 Ante-Post Tips
Picking a top four is equally tough this season, there are certainly a few teams that should be shoo-in predictions.
So, we'll start there.
Borussia Dortmund just will be in the top four. Last season, they were 16 points behind Bayern.
So, surely everyone else follows close right... right?
Well, Dortmund were 12 points clear of fifth. They're pretty much nailed on for a Top Four spot in my view.
The fact that they're 1/3 to achieve this - as much as it's not a great price - feels like value.
I'd expect them to be a little closer towards 1/5 maybe even lower.
Then, I think things get interesting.
In third, I've actually gone for Stuttgart, who had a fantastic season last year.
They finished in fourth last season by a point, but I think they can push on a little bit this season.
More than €50 million has been invested into the squad and they've addressed key issues.
Adding two forwards and bringing Bilal El Khannouss back is great business. Especially with them not selling anyone of note. Hence, I can see them causing a shake-up to the normal big four once again.
At 11/4 for a top four spot with BetVictor, I really like this selection and it feels like a good bit of value.
Finally, I was between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen - who arguably should be the shoo-in picks for the third and fourth spots.
However, I'm leaning slightly more towards RB Leipzig.
In the second half of last season, only Dortmund and Bayern picked up more points. With Leipzig picking up five more points than Leverkusen.
Losing Yann Diomande is big, but I think they have a solid enough squad to replace him. Some business may still be done in the final parts of the market, but I'd just side with Leipzig here.
At 4/9, you're not getting tonnes of value, but they should be in the top four...
Finishing Top 4 in the Bundesliga: Why It Matters
It has been said many times before, but for clubs that cannot rely on the TV revenue of the Premier League, qualifying for the Champions League is crucial to boost the finances. That could be the difference between signing new players and not, so the importance cannot be overstated.
The Bundesliga has four spots for the big competition, meaning the top four teams at the end of the season secure direct qualification. In the 2023-24 season, the league secured one of the two UCL bonus spots handed out by UEFA to the best associations (performance-wise) during that season.
Given the above, it could be enough for the German clubs to finish in the top 5, but it's rather uncertain and not something you will know until the later stages of the season.
