On Monday evening, Bristol City will travel to Sheffield in an attempt to claw themselves back into a chance at Wembley and promotion to the Premier League, despite being three goals down currently.
Below, you can find Ben's bets for Sheffield United vs. Bristol City in the Championship play-offs. The odds were correct at the time of writing.
💻 Operator | ⚽️ Selection | 📊 Odds | 👉 Back Selection |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Over 3.5 Shots on Target for Sheffield United | 8/15 | Place Bet |
![]() | Over 1.5 Goals in Second Half | 5/4 | Place Bet |
![]() | Under 9.5 Corners | 13/10 | Place Bet |
![]() | Kieffer Moore to Score or Assist | 17/10 | Place Bet |
Sky Bet | Sydie Peck Shot On Target from Outside the Box | 9/2 |
At the time of writing this, the lineups were not available to us, so I have tried to make some assumptions about the lineup, whilst only tipping players I think will start. It is worth stating here that I would not advise placing any bets until the lineups are out for both teams.
So, without further ado, let's dive into my reasoning.
Regardless of the first leg, I expected Sheffield United to head into this game and be a dominant force in front of the Bramall Lane faithful, and I still believe this will be the case with Chris Wilder rushing his players back into the dressing room after the first leg.
So, it would not surprise me if his side are dominant here, especially with Rob Dickie's red card not being overturned (correctly, in my view). As a result, I think the Robins' defence will be weaker, and the Blades could pounce on this and have a fun evening in front of goal.
At this price, we're certainly not getting huge money back, but it can definitely be combined with others if you want to play a bet builder, for example.
We're going to continue on the same line here, and I'm backing two or more goals to be scored in the second half at what I feel is quite a generous price at 5/4 and the stats are rather favourable, dare I say.
In Bristol City's games away from home this season, both teams have scored in the second half in 39% of their fixtures - which is the third highest in the division. Furthermore, the Robins' goal record is much more favourable in the second half, with 66% of their conceded goals coming in the second 45.
Finally, in all three games between the two sides this season, there have been at least two goals after the interval, so I feel we're getting a really solid pick here.
Picking the under market for corners on a second leg is certainly a bit bold, admittedly. However, I think we'd be a little daft not to have a look at it here, especially at above Evens.
There were only seven corners in the first leg, whilst the previous two games only had nine and six corners respectively. Long story short, this is not a fixture which should offer us many corners.
Sheffield United only conceded an average of 4.35 corners at home this season per game, and whilst the Robins' average is slightly higher at 4.91 away from home, I think this will be a game without a massive surplus of corners.
For anyone who was here for my first leg tips, I backed Gustavo Hamer to score or assist, and it didn't land unfortunately. However, we're going back in on this market, and I'm gonna put forward Kieffer Moore to get a contribution at 17/10.
The Welshman had two shots in the first game (with an expected goals of 0.31), whilst also providing 0.54 expected assists. Furthermore, he was fouled for the penalty which was scored by Harrison Burrows.
With Dickie not in the team, the Robins have lost a huge aerial presence, and Moore could have a huge upper hand as a result, whether that be to score headers himself or to knock balls down to his partner.
I'm expecting him to be involved, so at 17/10 I'm quite happy to take a look here.
My final pick is only available on SkyBet at the time of writing, but closer to kick-off it may be available with more bookmakers and that is for Sydie Peck to have a shot on target from outside the box at a staggering price of 9/2.
The midfielder only played 67 minutes, but had four shots in the game (three of which were outside the box), including one shot on target before the sending off. Here, I'm expecting him to keep having attempts.
Admittedly, the stats are a little unfavourable, with him only having 12 shots on target this season. However, I think chances will open up for him to shoot on Monday evening, and it would not be a surprise if he took one or two on.
The first leg of this tie has made this game a little bit lacklustre, with it highly unlikely that the Blades will drop a three-goal lead. However, we can still hope for a good game here.
In the first 90 minutes of this game, we saw just how good Chris Wilder's team can be, and after the red card, it felt like a dismantling job for a Blades team who were very clearly enjoying themselves at Ashton Gate.
Coming into this second leg, I think that domination will probably only continue unfortunately, rather than the Robins conjuring something magical for their travelling support, at three goals down, it is a massive feat.
Perhaps, had the roles been reversed, I'd be more optimistic about the quality of this game, but it is certainly going to be difficult.
Predicted Sheffield United XI to face Bristol City (4-4-2): Cooper; Choudhury, Ahmedhodzic, Robinson, Burrows; O'Hare, Peck, Vini Souza, Hamer; Moore, Campbell
Predicted Bristol City XI to face Sheffield United (3-4-3): O'Leary; Tanner, Vyner, Roberts; Hirakawa, Knight, Bird, McCrorie; Earthy, Mehmeti; Wells
Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.