The Manchester Derby is one of the most heavily anticipated games in the English calendar, and it also presents several betting opportunities every year. This fixture should be no different!
Michael Carrick's first game in charge of the Red Devils could not have been a more important one. A Manchester Derby and a chance to instantly improve the atmosphere around the club.
For Pep Guardiola, though, it will be an opportunity to get important points in the Premier League title race. His side need to pick up again if they are going to catch Arsenal.
Below, you can find Ben's bets for Manchester United vs. Manchester City. The odds were correct at the time of writing.
| 💻 Operator | ⚽️ Selection | 📊 Odds | 👉 Back Selection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Silva to Make 0.5+ Fouls | 2/5 | Place Bet |
| Luke Shaw to Make 0.5+ Fouls | 4/9 | Place Bet |
| Manchester City to get 4.5+ Corners | 8/13 | Place Bet |
| Bruno Fernandes to make 50.5 passes or more | 5/6 | Place Bet |
| Phil Foden to Have 1+ Shot on Target Outside the Box | 7/4 |
At the time of writing this, the lineups were not available to us, so I have tried to make some assumptions about the lineup, whilst only tipping players I think will start. It is worth stating here that I would not advise placing any bets until the lineups are out for both teams.
I've gone a little lower on my odds here, rather than really pushing the boat out and picking some higher picks as I have in the past. Hopefully, we see a continued amount of good success here, and I think we will.
Now, without further ado, let's dive into my reasoning.
This is a really well-priced market in my eyes, and even though a 2/5 shot is not a money maker by itself, I think it could provide a nice boost elsewhere.
The Portuguese starts in most of Manchester City's big games, and this should be no different. With a foul in 12 of his last 18 games, too, this looks nice.
If you wish for a bit of added risk, he is 9/5 for two fouls, which also looks lovely.
This tip is very similar to the previous one, and they could even be paired together for a nice price.
The Englishman should start at left-back, and with a foul in each of his past 12 games, this is another value pick at 4/9 in my eyes.
Additionally, he is expected to face Antoine Semenyo, who drew a foul in his last game, whilst his replacement did in the game prior. In other words, Shaw should have a bit of a challenge on his hands, and a foul looks nice here.
Given what is on the line here, I think this could be a really back-and-forth game, and it would not surprise me if the Citizens get their fair share of corners in the game.
This line has hit in five of City's last eight games, and with United conceding 4.4 corners per game on average this season, I think this holds a good chance.
I never really go near the passing markets, but I'm going to make an exception here. Bruno Fernandes, intriguingly, is just under Evens to make 51 passes in the game and that immediately caught my eye.
He has averaged 60 passes per game this season, and whilst he has been playing deeper, it would not surprise me if he were still heavily involved in the game.
A very nice price in my eyes.
Finally, I'm taking a bit of a risk with a Phil Foden Shot on Target from outside the box. At 2/1, it is my 'riskiest' pick of the game, but it was actually the first market I noticed when looking around.
City's shot frequency from outside the area increases away from home, and Carrick will be keen to lock down the shop on Saturday. It also would not surprise me if it is a feisty game with several fouls.
Being the free-kick taker, I am instantly drawn to Foden, whilst Guardiola's shooting statistics are also favourable for the right central midfielder, with Tijjani Reijnders also impressing.
This is one of the biggest games of the season, generally, and it should be no different on Saturday, especially with Michael Carrick returning to Old Trafford.
United have been really hit and miss this season, so the return of a well-known name could solidify things whilst a plan forward is made.
However, he will not have an easy welcoming party. Instead, it is probably the toughest game in the calendar, with Manchester City making the short trip to the Theatre of Dreams.
A win on his return would surely cement him even further into Red Devils history, but it will certainly be a challenge.
For Pep Guardiola, the circumstances should not make too much of an impact. Regardless of their recent struggles in the Premier League, in a title fight, you need to win every game possible.
Derby or not, this is no different.
Saturday's game will be his 27th Manchester Derby, and with 14 wins so far, he will be confident of extending the streak.
Predicted Manchester United XI to face Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Shaw; Casemiro, Mainoo; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Cunha; Sesko
Predicted Manchester City XI to face Manchester United (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Nunes, Khusanov, Alleyne, O’Reilly; Rodri; Semenyo, Foden, Bernardo, Cherki; Haaland
If you wish to back Ben's tips in a bet builder, Bet365 are paying 10/1, at the time of writing. It certainly could hold some value at that price!




Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.