Manchester United vs. Manchester City: Manchester Derby Tips & Predictions

Manchester United vs. Manchester City Tips
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon Published: 16/01/2026

The Manchester Derby is one of the most heavily anticipated games in the English calendar, and it also presents several betting opportunities every year. This fixture should be no different!

Michael Carrick's first game in charge of the Red Devils could not have been a more important one. A Manchester Derby and a chance to instantly improve the atmosphere around the club.

For Pep Guardiola, though, it will be an opportunity to get important points in the Premier League title race. His side need to pick up again if they are going to catch Arsenal.

Manchester United vs. Manchester City: Ben's Bets and Tips

Below, you can find Ben's bets for Manchester United vs. Manchester City. The odds were correct at the time of writing.

💻 Operator ⚽️ Selection 📊 Odds 👉 Back Selection
Coral logo
Coral
Bernardo Silva to Make 0.5+ Fouls 2/5 Place Bet
Betway logo
Betway
Luke Shaw to Make 0.5+ Fouls 4/9 Place Bet
Bet365 logo
Bet365
Manchester City to get 4.5+ Corners 8/13 Place Bet
Bet365 logo
Bet365
Bruno Fernandes to make 50.5 passes or more 5/6 Place Bet
SkyBet logo
Sky Bet
Phil Foden to Have 1+ Shot on Target Outside the Box 7/4

Manchester United vs. Manchester City: Ben's Bets Explained

At the time of writing this, the lineups were not available to us, so I have tried to make some assumptions about the lineup, whilst only tipping players I think will start. It is worth stating here that I would not advise placing any bets until the lineups are out for both teams.

I've gone a little lower on my odds here, rather than really pushing the boat out and picking some higher picks as I have in the past. Hopefully, we see a continued amount of good success here, and I think we will.

Now, without further ado, let's dive into my reasoning.

Bernardo Silva to Make 0.5+ Fouls - 2/5

This is a really well-priced market in my eyes, and even though a 2/5 shot is not a money maker by itself, I think it could provide a nice boost elsewhere.

The Portuguese starts in most of Manchester City's big games, and this should be no different. With a foul in 12 of his last 18 games, too, this looks nice.

If you wish for a bit of added risk, he is 9/5 for two fouls, which also looks lovely.

Luke Shaw to Make 0.5+ Fouls - 4/9

This tip is very similar to the previous one, and they could even be paired together for a nice price.

The Englishman should start at left-back, and with a foul in each of his past 12 games, this is another value pick at 4/9 in my eyes.

Additionally, he is expected to face Antoine Semenyo, who drew a foul in his last game, whilst his replacement did in the game prior. In other words, Shaw should have a bit of a challenge on his hands, and a foul looks nice here.

Manchester City to get 4.5+ Corners - 8/13

Given what is on the line here, I think this could be a really back-and-forth game, and it would not surprise me if the Citizens get their fair share of corners in the game.

This line has hit in five of City's last eight games, and with United conceding 4.4 corners per game on average this season, I think this holds a good chance.

Bruno Fernandes to make 50.5 passes or more - 5/6

I never really go near the passing markets, but I'm going to make an exception here. Bruno Fernandes, intriguingly, is just under Evens to make 51 passes in the game and that immediately caught my eye.

He has averaged 60 passes per game this season, and whilst he has been playing deeper, it would not surprise me if he were still heavily involved in the game.

A very nice price in my eyes.

Phil Foden to have a Shot on Target Outside the Box - 7/4

Finally, I'm taking a bit of a risk with a Phil Foden Shot on Target from outside the box. At 2/1, it is my 'riskiest' pick of the game, but it was actually the first market I noticed when looking around.

City's shot frequency from outside the area increases away from home, and Carrick will be keen to lock down the shop on Saturday. It also would not surprise me if it is a feisty game with several fouls.

Being the free-kick taker, I am instantly drawn to Foden, whilst Guardiola's shooting statistics are also favourable for the right central midfielder, with Tijjani Reijnders also impressing.

Manchester United vs. Manchester City: Ben's Preview

This is one of the biggest games of the season, generally, and it should be no different on Saturday, especially with Michael Carrick returning to Old Trafford.

United have been really hit and miss this season, so the return of a well-known name could solidify things whilst a plan forward is made.

However, he will not have an easy welcoming party. Instead, it is probably the toughest game in the calendar, with Manchester City making the short trip to the Theatre of Dreams.

A win on his return would surely cement him even further into Red Devils history, but it will certainly be a challenge.

For Pep Guardiola, the circumstances should not make too much of an impact. Regardless of their recent struggles in the Premier League, in a title fight, you need to win every game possible.

Derby or not, this is no different.

Saturday's game will be his 27th Manchester Derby, and with 14 wins so far, he will be confident of extending the streak.

Predicted Manchester United XI to face Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Shaw; Casemiro, Mainoo; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Cunha; Sesko

Predicted Manchester City XI to face Manchester United (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Nunes, Khusanov, Alleyne, O’Reilly; Rodri; Semenyo, Foden, Bernardo, Cherki; Haaland

Ben's Bet Builder - Manchester United vs. Manchester City

Bet365 logo

If you wish to back Ben's tips in a bet builder, Bet365 are paying 10/1, at the time of writing. It certainly could hold some value at that price!

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    -
  • Withdrawal Time: 2 Hours (Our Test)
  • Accepts Popular Payment Methods
  • Decent Betting App
Bonus info
  • Min. Deposit £20
  • Max. Amount £20
  • Turnover No wagering
  • Expiration 14 days
Editorial Score
  • Bonus
    3
  • Sportsbook
    4
  • Casino
    4
  • Customer Support
    2
  • Payment
    3
  • Licensing Safety
    4
  • Design and Usability
    3
  • Overall
    3
18+. New customers Only. Min deposit £20. Maximum one £10 free bet and two £5 bet builder free bets. Qualifying bet must be placed at odds of evens (2.00) or greater. Paid as bonus tokens: Token 1 min odds 1.8, token 2 and 3 are valid for bet builder only and are subject to min odds of 3.00. T&Cs apply.
fafabet logo
3.24 / 5
  • Editorial5.00
  • Users1.69 (13 reviews)
  • Trustpilot1.50 (418 reviews)
  • App Store3.00 (72 reviews)
  • Score3.24
Up to £50 Free Bet + £20 Casino Bonus
  • Visa icon
  • Mastercard
  • Withdrawal Time: 45 minutes (Our Test)
  • Fantastic Betting Margins: 5.2%
  • Good Betting App
Bonus info
  • Min. Deposit £10
  • Max. Amount £50 & £20
  • Turnover 1x (Sports) & 35x (Casino)
  • Expiration 7 days
Editorial Score
  • Bonus
    4
  • Sportsbook
    4
  • Casino
    4
  • Customer Support
    5
  • Payment
    4
  • Licensing Safety
    5
  • Design and Usability
    5
  • Overall
    5
New 18+ New Customers only. Deposit and bet on any sports with min odds of 2.0. Get 50% Back of your first days' losses as a Free bet up to £50+£20 Casino Bonus. T&Cs apply.
Betnero logo
2.33 / 5
  • Editorial3.00
  • Users1.00 (2 reviews)
  • Score2.33
New UK Sportsbook (2024)
  • Visa icon
  • Mastercard
  • Apple Pay icon
  • Google Pay
  • Newly Launched Sportsbook (2024)
  • 36 Different Sports
  • Decent Margins: 7.19% in Our Tests
Summary

BetNero is a fresh launch in the UK gambling market with an online casino and sportsbook offering. Despite being in its infancy, the BetNero brand has been around for a couple of years overseas and is underpinned by Bulgaria based Anakatech Interactive Limited (UKGC licence: 48789). Here we pull no punches with our BetNero review.

Editorial Score
  • Bonus
    2
  • Sportsbook
    3
  • Casino
    4
  • Customer Support
    3
  • Payment
    2
  • Licensing Safety
    3
  • Design and Usability
    2
  • Overall
    3
NRG logo
2.67 / 5
  • Editorial3.00
  • Trustpilot2.00 (142 reviews)
  • Score2.67
Bet £20 Get a £10 Free Bet
  • Visa icon
  • Mastercard
  • Apple Pay icon
  • Bank transfer
  • New Betting Site (January 2024)
  • Withdrawal Time: 33 Minutes (Our Test)
  • Decent Betting App
Bonus info
  • Min. Deposit £20
  • Max. Amount £10
  • Turnover No wagering
  • Expiration 7 Days
  • Bonus Code b20g10
Editorial Score
  • Bonus
    4
  • Sportsbook
    4
  • Casino
    4
  • Customer Support
    2
  • Payment
    3
  • Licensing Safety
    4
  • Design and Usability
    4
  • Overall
    3
New customers only. Sign up using promo code b20g10. Deposit and place a minimum £20 bet with minimum odds of evens (2.00) and receive a £10 free bet upon bet settlement. Free bet expires after 7 days. 18+. GambleAware.org. Full T&Cs apply.
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon
Last updated: 16/01/2026

Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.

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