AFC Wimbledon vs. Notts County: League Two 2024-25 Play-Offs Tips

Here we are, the finale of the play-off semi finals, and hopefully we are left with a fantastic game here. Wimbledon host Notts County with a goal advantage to defend, will they be able to do so?

Ben's Bets for AFC Wimbledon vs. Notts County

At the time of writing this, the lineups were not available to us, so I have tried to make some assumptions about the lineup, whilst only tipping players I think will start. It is worth stating here that I would not advise placing any bets until the lineups are out for both teams.

Play-off games are so difficult to call, so there is still a higher level of risk with each selection. However, I've ran through the trends from the season and feel rather confident with our choices here.

So, without further ado, let's dive into my reasoning.

Conor Grant to Have Over 0.5 Shots On Target

With Jatta being sent off in the first leg and David McGoldrick unavailable, I can see County sending Conor Grant into a more advanced position - which would make me more confident of him having shots anyways. However, with a game to chase, I am expecting him to be very much involved.

I think he could prove key this game if the side are to get back into this play-off tie, especially after having four shots on target in the first leg of the game. At 21/20, I am more than willing to take a chance on this selection.

Omar Bugiel to be Carded

Picking a booking here for Omar Bugiel is certainly a bit of a risk considering he did not start the first game. I think he is quite likely to be on the receiving end of a booking here, if he gets the nod from the off.

Making 90 fouls this season, he is the biggest perpetrator of either side in the disciplinary books, and this showed when he got five fouls in 35 minutes in the first leg. With the Dons defending a lead, it would not surprise me if he makes the occasional foul to break up play.

However, their strikers have averaged a high number of fouls all season, so I'd be confident of Marcus Browne, for example, getting a card if he were to start instead.

Owen Goodman to Make Over 3.5 Saves

My final pick is for Owen Goodman to make four or more saves, which is certainly a high line. However, I think we have a great chance. Wimbledon's away performance in the first leg was a typical smash and grab, with County very much on top for most of the game.

This was reflected with Goodman making five saves in that game, and I can only see the pressure being higher here. In turn, I expect him to be needed more often, and the 3.5 line provides a bit of safety for us, as well as a nice bit of value at 2/1.