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| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 11/10 | 47.62% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 19/10 | 34.48% |
| Novak Djokovic | 13/1 | 7.14% |
| Alexander Zverev | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Jack Draper | 22/1 | 4.17% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Taylor Fritz | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Holger Rune | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Rafael Jodar | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Jakub Mensik | 55/1 | 1.79% |
| Ben Shelton | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Joao Fonseca | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Alex De Minaur | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| Tommy Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrey Rublev | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Casper Ruud | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Arthur Fils | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Learner Tien | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jiri Lehecka | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Alexander Bublik | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Denis Shapovalov | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Matteo Berrettini | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Karen Khachanov | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Brandon Nakashima | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Sebastian Korda | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Jenson Brooksby | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Marin Cilic | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Alexei Popyrin | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Ugo Humbert | 350/1 | 0.28% |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Cameron Norrie | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Gabriel Diallo | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Flavio Cobolli | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Jacob Fearnley | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tomas Machac | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Gael Monfils | 600/1 | 0.17% |
| Alex Michelsen | 600/1 | 0.17% |
| Jordan Thompson | 700/1 | 0.14% |
| Jaume Munar | 700/1 | 0.14% |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Alexandre Muller | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Zizou Bergs | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Fabian Marozsan | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Luciano Darderi | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Laslo Djere | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Marcos Giron | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Sebastian Baez | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Pedro Martinez | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Quentin Halys | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
As of 7 May 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win the US Open is Jannik Sinner, best priced at 11/10 with BetMGM.
The odds mean that the probability for Jannik Sinner to win is 47.62%.