Politics
Next Prime Minister Odds: After Keir Starmer
Next Prime Minister After Keir Starmer Odds
Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
Angela Rayner Compare odds Show less
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talkSPORT BET Wes Streeting Compare odds Show less
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The Favourites To Be The Next UK Prime Minister
- Angela Rayner with odds 11/4 on Betfred
- Wes Streeting with odds 5/1 on Betfred
- Ed Miliband with odds 7/1 on Betfred
- Nigel Farage with odds 11/1 on Betfred
- Shabana Mahmood with odds 12/1 on BetMGM
Probability to be the Next UK Prime Minister
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 11/4 | 26.67% |
| Wes Streeting | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Ed Miliband | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Nigel Farage | 11/1 | 8.33% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Alistair Carns | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Yvette Cooper | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Andy Burnham | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| David Lammy | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| John Healey | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Lee Pitcher | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Ben Houchen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Chris Bryant | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Hilary Benn | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Lucy Powell | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Matthew Goodwin | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Clegg | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Rupert Lowe | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Ben Wallace | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Jess Phillips | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Kemi Badenoch | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Paul Waugh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sarah Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Barclay | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Reed | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Victoria Atkins | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Peter Kyle | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Miliband | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Pat McFadden | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stella Creasy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Darren Jones | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| James Cleverly | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Katie Lam | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Louise Haigh | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Stephen Doughty | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Torsten Bell | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Zack Polanski | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrea Jenkyns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andy Street | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Boris Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Nokes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Daisy Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ed Davey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jason Stockwood | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John McDonnell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lisa Nandy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Pollard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Naz Shah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Tice | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robert Jenrick | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sadiq Khan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Suella Braverman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Zarah Sultana | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Zia Yusuf | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Taylor | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| Ben Habib | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Chris Curtis | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Rachel Reeves | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Brian Leishman | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| David Bull | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jeremy Clarkson | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Carla Denyer | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| David Cameron | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Priti Patel | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Rishi Sunak | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Laura Trott | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Max Wilkinson | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Sarah Pochin | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Jacob Rees-Mogg | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Next Prime Minister of the UK?
As of 2 March 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Angela Rayner, best priced at 11/4 with Betfred.
The odds mean that the probability for Angela Rayner to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 26.67%.
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