Politics
Next Prime Minister Odds: After Keir Starmer
Next Prime Minister After Keir Starmer Odds
Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
Angela Rayner Compare odds Show less
William Hill 
Betfred 
Coral 
Ladbrokes 
BetMGM 
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The Favourites To Be The Next UK Prime Minister
- Angela Rayner with odds 11/4 on William Hill
- Ed Miliband with odds 8/1 on Bet365
- Nigel Farage with odds 10/1 on Coral
- Wes Streeting with odds 10/1 on Bet365
- Andy Burnham with odds 16/1 on Coral
Probability to be the Next UK Prime Minister
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 11/4 | 26.67% |
| Ed Miliband | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Nigel Farage | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Wes Streeting | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Andy Burnham | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Rupert Lowe | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Yvette Cooper | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Kemi Badenoch | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Alistair Carns | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Ben Houchen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Chris Bryant | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Lee Pitcher | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Matthew Goodwin | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Clegg | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Sadiq Khan | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Zack Polanski | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| John Healey | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Lammy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Jess Phillips | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Lisa Nandy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Paul Waugh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sarah Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Barclay | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Reed | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Lucy Powell | 55/1 | 1.79% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Hilary Benn | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Pat McFadden | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Peter Kyle | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stella Creasy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Darren Jones | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| James Cleverly | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Katie Lam | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Stephen Doughty | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Torsten Bell | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrea Jenkyns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andy Street | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Wallace | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Boris Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Nokes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Daisy Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Miliband | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Douglas Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ed Davey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jason Stockwood | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John McDonnell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Louise Haigh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Pollard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Naz Shah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rachel Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Tice | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robert Jenrick | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Suella Braverman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Victoria Atkins | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Zia Yusuf | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Taylor | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| Ben Habib | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Chris Curtis | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Brian Leishman | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| David Bull | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Harriet Cross | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jeremy Clarkson | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Barry Gardiner | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Carla Denyer | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| David Cameron | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Priti Patel | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Rishi Sunak | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Laura Trott | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Max Wilkinson | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Sarah Pochin | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Jacob Rees-Mogg | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Zarah Sultana | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Next Prime Minister of the UK?
As of 12 April 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Angela Rayner, best priced at 11/4 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Angela Rayner to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 26.67%.
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