Politics
Next Prime Minister Odds: After Keir Starmer
Next Prime Minister After Keir Starmer Odds
Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
Nigel Farage Compare odds Show less
Coral 
Ladbrokes 
Betfred 
bet365 
William Hill 
BetMGM Angela Rayner Compare odds Show less
Wes Streeting Compare odds Show less
Kemi Badenoch Compare odds Show less
Yvette Cooper Compare odds Show less
Robert Jenrick Compare odds Show less
Boris Johnson Compare odds Show less
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The Favourites To Be The Next UK Prime Minister
- Nigel Farage with odds 5/2 on Coral
- Angela Rayner with odds 7/1 on Betfred
- Wes Streeting with odds 9/1 on Betfred
- Kemi Badenoch with odds 12/1 on bet365
- Yvette Cooper with odds 12/1 on Betfred
Probability to be the Next UK Prime Minister
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Nigel Farage | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| Angela Rayner | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Wes Streeting | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| Kemi Badenoch | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Yvette Cooper | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Robert Jenrick | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Boris Johnson | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| James Cleverly | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Lee Pitcher | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Andy Burnham | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Ben Houchen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Chris Bryant | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Hilary Benn | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Lucy Powell | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Ben Wallace | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Clive Lewis | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Darren Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Cameron | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Jess Phillips | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| John Healey | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Paul Waugh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Peter Kyle | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sarah Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Barclay | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Reed | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Torsten Bell | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Victoria Atkins | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Zarah Sultana | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sadiq Khan | 55/1 | 1.79% |
| Andy Street | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Lisa Nandy | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Miliband | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ed Miliband | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Louise Haigh | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Luke Pollard | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stella Creasy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Lammy | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Rachel Reeves | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Nokes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ed Davey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John McDonnell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Naz Shah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rishi Sunak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| Suella Braverman | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| Carla Denyer | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Priti Patel | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Laura Trott | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Next Prime Minister of the UK?
As of 16 August 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Nigel Farage, best priced at 5/2 with Coral.
The odds mean that the probability for Nigel Farage to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 28.57%.
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