Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wes Streeting | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| Angela Rayner | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Nigel Farage | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Ed Miliband | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Andy Burnham | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Yvette Cooper | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Kemi Badenoch | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Lee Pitcher | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Lucy Powell | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Katie Lam | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| Robert Jenrick | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| Ben Houchen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Chris Bryant | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Darren Jones | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Hilary Benn | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Matthew Goodwin | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Clegg | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Zack Polanski | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Ben Wallace | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Lammy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| James Cleverly | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Jess Phillips | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| John Healey | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Pat McFadden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Paul Waugh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Peter Kyle | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Richard Tice | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sarah Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Barclay | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Reed | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Torsten Bell | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Zia Yusuf | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Andy Street | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Victoria Atkins | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Andrea Jenkyns | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Boris Johnson | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Miliband | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Georgia Gould | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Lisa Nandy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Luke Pollard | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Rupert Lowe | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Sadiq Khan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stella Creasy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Doughty | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Zarah Sultana | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Daisy Cooper | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| David Bull | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Rachel Reeves | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Habib | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Nokes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ed Davey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John McDonnell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Louise Haigh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Taylor | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Naz Shah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rishi Sunak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Suella Braverman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Brian Leishman | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Carla Denyer | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jacob Rees-Mogg | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jeremy Clarkson | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Priti Patel | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Sarah Pochin | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Laura Trott | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Max Wilkinson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
As of 1 January 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Wes Streeting, best priced at 4/1 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Wes Streeting to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 20.00%.