Politics
Next Prime Minister Odds: After Keir Starmer
Next Prime Minister After Keir Starmer Odds
Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
Angela Rayner Compare odds Show less
Betfred 
Bet365 
William Hill 
BetMGM 
Virgin Bet 
LiveScore Bet 
BetVictor 
Parimatch 
talkSPORT BET 
Coral 
Ladbrokes Ed Miliband Compare odds Show less
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The Favourites To Be The Next UK Prime Minister
- Angela Rayner with odds 7/2 on Betfred
- Ed Miliband with odds 8/1 on William Hill
- Wes Streeting with odds 10/1 on Betfred
- Nigel Farage with odds 11/1 on Coral
- Shabana Mahmood with odds 14/1 on Betfred
Probability to be the Next UK Prime Minister
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| Ed Miliband | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Wes Streeting | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Nigel Farage | 11/1 | 8.33% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Andy Burnham | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Rupert Lowe | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Sadiq Khan | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Yvette Cooper | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Kemi Badenoch | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Alistair Carns | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Ben Houchen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Chris Bryant | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| John Healey | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Lee Pitcher | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Matthew Goodwin | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Clegg | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Zack Polanski | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| David Lammy | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Jess Phillips | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Lucy Powell | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Paul Waugh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sarah Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Barclay | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Reed | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Hilary Benn | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Pat McFadden | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Peter Kyle | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stella Creasy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Darren Jones | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| James Cleverly | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Katie Lam | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Louise Haigh | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Stephen Doughty | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Torsten Bell | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrea Jenkyns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andy Street | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Wallace | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Boris Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Nokes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Daisy Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Miliband | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Douglas Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ed Davey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jason Stockwood | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John McDonnell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lisa Nandy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Pollard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Naz Shah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rachel Reeves | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Tice | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robert Jenrick | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Suella Braverman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Victoria Atkins | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Zia Yusuf | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Taylor | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| Ben Habib | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Chris Curtis | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Brian Leishman | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| David Bull | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jeremy Clarkson | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Barry Gardiner | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Carla Denyer | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| David Cameron | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Priti Patel | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Rishi Sunak | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Laura Trott | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Max Wilkinson | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Sarah Pochin | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Jacob Rees-Mogg | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Zarah Sultana | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Next Prime Minister of the UK?
As of 22 March 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Angela Rayner, best priced at 7/2 with Betfred.
The odds mean that the probability for Angela Rayner to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 22.22%.
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