Politics
Next Prime Minister Odds: After Keir Starmer
Next Prime Minister After Keir Starmer Odds
Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
Wes Streeting Compare odds Show less
William Hill 
Coral 
Ladbrokes 
Bet365 
BetVictor 
Parimatch 
talkSPORT BET 
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Virgin Bet 
LiveScore Bet Nigel Farage Compare odds Show less
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The Favourites To Be The Next UK Prime Minister
- Wes Streeting with odds 7/2 on William Hill
- Nigel Farage with odds 4/1 on Bet365
- Shabana Mahmood with odds 10/1 on Bet365
- Ed Miliband with odds 12/1 on Coral
- Andy Burnham with odds 14/1 on Bet365
Probability to be the Next UK Prime Minister
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wes Streeting | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| Nigel Farage | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Ed Miliband | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Andy Burnham | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Angela Rayner | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Yvette Cooper | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Kemi Badenoch | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Lee Pitcher | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Lucy Powell | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Robert Jenrick | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Katie Lam | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| Ben Houchen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Chris Bryant | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Hilary Benn | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Matthew Goodwin | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Clegg | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Zack Polanski | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Bridget Phillipson | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Darren Jones | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Jonathan Reynolds | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Stephen Kinnock | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| James Cleverly | 45/1 | 2.17% |
| Ben Wallace | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Boris Johnson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Lammy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Jess Phillips | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| John Healey | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Pat McFadden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Paul Waugh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Peter Kyle | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Richard Tice | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sadiq Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Sarah Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Barclay | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Reed | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Torsten Bell | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Zarah Sultana | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Zia Yusuf | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Andy Street | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Victoria Atkins | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Ben Habib | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Miliband | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kim Leadbeater | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Lisa Nandy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Luke Pollard | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Rupert Lowe | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stella Creasy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Doughty | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thangam Debbonaire | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Daisy Cooper | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| David Bull | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Rachel Reeves | 90/1 | 1.10% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Nokes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Clive Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ed Davey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John McDonnell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Taylor | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Naz Shah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Suella Braverman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Brian Leishman | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Louise Haigh | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Carla Denyer | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jacob Rees-Mogg | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jeremy Clarkson | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Priti Patel | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Rishi Sunak | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Sarah Pochin | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Laura Trott | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Max Wilkinson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Next Prime Minister of the UK?
As of 4 December 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Wes Streeting, best priced at 7/2 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Wes Streeting to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 22.22%.
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