Below are the top contenders and their odds to be the next Prime Minister after Keir Starmer.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer, according to the bookmakers.
Candidates | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Nigel Farage | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Yvette Cooper | 8/1 | 11.11% |
Kemi Badenoch | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Wes Streeting | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Angela Rayner | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Robert Jenrick | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Boris Johnson | 16/1 | 5.88% |
James Cleverly | 22/1 | 4.35% |
Lee Pitcher | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Ben Houchen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Chris Bryant | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Darren Jones | 33/1 | 2.94% |
David Lammy | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Hilary Benn | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Nick Thomas-Symonds | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Bridget Phillipson | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Lucy Powell | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Stephen Kinnock | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Andy Burnham | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Ben Wallace | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Claire Coutinho | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Clive Lewis | 50/1 | 1.96% |
David Cameron | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Jess Phillips | 50/1 | 1.96% |
John Healey | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Paul Waugh | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Peter Kyle | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Rachel Reeves | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Rosena Allin-Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Sadiq Khan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Sarah Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Steve Barclay | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Steve Reed | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Torsten Bell | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Victoria Atkins | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Andy Street | 60/1 | 1.64% |
Lisa Nandy | 60/1 | 1.64% |
Dan Jarvis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Danny Kruger | 66/1 | 1.49% |
David Miliband | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Emma Hardy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Ian Murray | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Jonathan Reynolds | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Kate Green | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Kim Leadbeater | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Louise Haigh | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Luke Pollard | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Stella Creasy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Stephen Morgan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Suella Braverman | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Thangam Debbonaire | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Zarah Sultana | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Jeremy Hunt | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Alison McGovern | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Caroline Nokes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Chris Philp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Dan Carden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ed Davey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ed Miliband | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Heidi Alexander | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
James Murray | 100/1 | 0.99% |
John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
John McDonnell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Laura Trott | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Liam Byrne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Lloyd Russell-Moyle | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mary Creagh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Naz Shah | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Priti Patel | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Rebecca Long-Bailey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Richard Burgon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Richard Holden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Rishi Sunak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Shabana Mahmood | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Tom Tugendhat | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Tracy Brabin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Carla Denyer | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Jeremy Corbyn | 250/1 | 0.40% |
As of 19 June 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next UK Prime Minister is Nigel Farage, best priced at 9/4 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Nigel Farage to be the next Prime Minister of the UK is 30.77%.