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| Player | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 4/9 | 69.44% |
| Kyler Murray | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Kirk Cousins | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Fred Warner | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Joe Burrow | 22/1 | 4.35% |
| George Kittle | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Brock Bowers | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Malik Nabers | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Aaron Donald | 35/1 | 2.78% |
| Jayden Daniels | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Deshaun Watson | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Daniel Jones | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Cam Skattebo | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Micah Parsons | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Garrett Wilson | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Tucker Kraft | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Geno Smith | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Travis Hunter | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Ahmad Gardner | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bo Nix | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nick Bosa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Tyreek Hill | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sauce Gardner | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| JJ McCarthy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Quinshon Judkins | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Zach Charbonnet | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Malik Willis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sam LaPorta | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Trey Hendrickson | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Kerby Joseph | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Tank Dell | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| J.K. Dobbins | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Brian Thomas Jr | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Brian Branch | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Mykel Williams | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| Najee Harris | 275/1 | 0.36% |
| Zach Ertz | 275/1 | 0.36% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 275/1 | 0.36% |
As of 13 October 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win Comeback Player of the Year is Patrick Mahomes, best priced at 4/9 with BOYLE Sports.
The odds mean that the probability for Patrick Mahomes to win is 69.44%.
The table below shows the AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year winner for each season from 2006 to 2025, along with the team they played for.
| Year | AP Comeback Player of the Year | Position | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | San Francisco 49ers |
| 2024 | Joe Burrow (2) | QB | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2023 | Joe Flacco | QB | Cleveland Browns |
| 2022 | Geno Smith | QB | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2021 | Joe Burrow | QB | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2020 | Alex Smith | QB | Washington |
| 2019 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | Tennessee Titans |
| 2018 | Andrew Luck | QB | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2017 | Keenan Allen | WR | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 2016 | Jordy Nelson | WR | Green Bay Packers |
| 2015 | Eric Berry | S | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2014 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | New England Patriots |
| 2013 | Philip Rivers | QB | San Diego Chargers |
| 2012 | Peyton Manning | QB | Denver Broncos |
| 2011 | Matthew Stafford | QB | Detroit Lions |
| 2010 | Michael Vick | QB | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2009 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
| 2008 | Chad Pennington (2) | QB | Miami Dolphins |
| 2007 | Greg Ellis | LB | Dallas Cowboys |
| 2006 | Chad Pennington | QB | New York Jets |