A 2-2 draw at the weekend means Leyton Orient head to Stockport with everything to play for on Wednesday night, and it is sure to be a corker of a game, we think.
Below, you can find Ben's bets for Stockport County vs. Leyton Orient in the League One play-offs. The odds were correct at the time of writing.
💻 Operator | ⚽️ Selection | 📊 Odds | 👉 Back Selection |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Stockport to Score First | 7/10 | Place Bet |
![]() | Under 9.5 Corners | 8/11 | Place Bet |
![]() | Stockport to Win | 19/20 | Place Bet |
![]() | Edmonds Green & Pye to Make 1+ Foul Each | 1/1 | Place Bet |
![]() | Both Teams to Receive 2+ Cards | 6/5 | Place Bet |
At the time of writing this, the lineups were not available to us, so I have tried to make some assumptions about the lineup, whilst only tipping players I think will start. It is worth stating here that I would not advise placing any bets until the lineups are out for both teams.
The majority of my picks here are at lower prices, so personally I will probably combine them into accumulators and trebles. Nevertheless, I still think we have found some nice value in our picks.
So, without further ado, let's dive into my reasoning.
Coming in at 7/10, my first pick of this game is for Stockport to score first, which is certainly a bit of an interesting pick, considering I picked the hatters apart in the reverse fixture in this stat.
However, I think the stats point quite favourable towards the hosts here. Whilst Leyton Orient are quite balanced in terms of scoring first home and away, Stockport's record actually changes quite drastically.
Instead of conceding the first goal 10 times, they've actually concede first in eight home games, whilst still scoring first in 13 games, showing that they are slightly more dangerous at home, indeed.
Furthermore, I can see them trying to hit the ground running with an early goal, which would be a big help.
I actually played the over market as well in the first leg, but here we're going onto the under markets. In the first game, this landed, with only nine corners with the final one coming in the dying seconds of the game.
Away from home this season, Leyton Orient's games have only had 10 or more corners in them in 39% of their games, whilst Stockport have the lowest home record in the league for corners with 30% of games having 10 or more.
At 8/11, this is not the biggest price ever, but I still feel rather confident with it, certainly.
The other game at Edgeley Park will hopefully not be a sign of what is to come here with this tip, with the O's going back down south with three points after four goals. Nevertheless, I'm going to cut Dave Challinor's side a bit of slack, considering this game came in September.
In fact, since then, Challinor's men have only failed to win six games at home and have won their past five on the bounce.
Sticking with the coach, he has managed three play-off games at a home stadium previously, and he has never lost (once with Fylde, once with Hartlepool, and once with Stockport). So I am very much confident of his ability to get his side through here.
The price is touching Evens at the moment, and I'd hope we can maybe get a little closer to that price before kick-off, though I'm not really expecting it to be the case.
My next pick here is a bet builder, where I'm putting both Rarmani Edmonds Green and Ethan Pye to make a foul in this game. Both are priced around the 1/2 mark individually, and I'm going to take my chances here.
Pye made four fouls in the first leg, whilst Edmonds-Green made two, and with a lot of the game coming down that side of the pitch, I would not be surprised to see both involved here again.
My biggest pick of the game coming in at just above evens feels slightly odd I must admit, but we are still taking our chances here, with both teams to get two or more bookings each.
I expect this to be a well contested game, and it would not be a surprise to see a feel questionable challenges going in or even a bit of time wasting from either team, which is why we've probably got a lower price.
Nevertheless, Stockport averaged two or more bookings against them in 70% of this season's home games which is certainly a positive start, whilst also averaging 43% games with two or more bookings for themselves too.
We have yet to see this land this season, but this is a game where tensions may boil over a little more, and I think it has a strong chance.
We were massively treated on Saturday afternoon to what was arguably the best play-off game so far, and I would be disappointed if the same didn't follow here.
This has the making of being one of the most exciting play-off games from all three divisions, considering everything is left to play for. However, it could certainly be argued that the scoreline could have been in favour of the visitors after the first leg.
Charlie Kelman's first goal of the game was visibly offside, and Stockport could feel hard done by for this reason. So, they may come into this game with a little more anger in their bellies, feeling like they are owed something, which they will have to provide themselves.
Despite that goal, the O's were still good value for the game, and will not allow themselves to be walked over at Edgeley Park, more so as they are one of only three teams to beat them there this year.
Predicted Stockport County XI to face Leyton Orient (4-4-2): Addai; Connolly, Hills, Pye, Touray; Fevrier, Norwood, Moxon, Collar; Wootton, Olaofe
Predicted Leyton Orient XI to face Stockport County (3-4-3): Keeley; Edmonds-Green, Beckles, Cooper; Galbraith, Clare, Brown, Williams; Agyei, Kelman, Donley
Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.