Below were the best Supporting Actor odds before Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) won the 2025 award.
We will update the odds when bookmakers start pricing potential winners for the 2026 Oscars.
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With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability of winning Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars, according to the bookmakers.
| Actor | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain | 1/33 | 97.06% |
| Edward Norton - A Complete Unknown | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Yura Borisov - Anora | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Guy Pearce - The Brutalist | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Jeremy Strong - The Apprentice | 25/1 | 3.85% |
As of 16 June 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win Best Supporting Actor is Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain, best priced at 1/33 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain to win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars is 97.06%.