Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
Candidates | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
James Wild | 3/1 | 25.00% |
Nigel Farage | 6/1 | 14.29% |
Robert Jenrick | 11/1 | 8.33% |
Damian Hinds | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Boris Johnson | 14/1 | 6.67% |
Mims Davies | 14/1 | 6.67% |
Claire Coutinho | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Priti Patel | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Tom Tugendhat | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Rishi Sunak | 20/1 | 4.76% |
Suella Braverman | 20/1 | 4.76% |
Victoria Atkins | 20/1 | 4.76% |
Jeremy Wright | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Lewis Cocking | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Mike Wood | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Alex Burghart | 28/1 | 3.45% |
Chris Philp | 33/1 | 2.94% |
David Cameron | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Mark Pritchard | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Ben Spencer | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Andy Street | 50/1 | 1.96% |
David Davis | 50/1 | 1.96% |
David Mundell | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Alan Mak | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Alec Shelbrooke | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Ben Houchen | 66/1 | 1.49% |
David Frost | 66/1 | 1.49% |
John Whittingdale | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Kit Malthouse | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Richard Holden | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Steve Barclay | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Alberto Costa | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Gareth Bacon | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Geoffrey Clifton-Brown | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Louie French | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Alison Griffiths | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andrew Murrison | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andrew Rosindell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Andrew Snowden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Aphra Brandreth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ashley Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Ben Obese-Jecty | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Blake Stephenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Bob Blackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Bradley Thomas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Caroline Dinenage | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Caroline Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Charlie Dewhirst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Christopher Chope | 100/1 | 0.99% |
David Reed | 100/1 | 0.99% |
David Simmonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Desmond Swayne | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Edward Leigh | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Gareth Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Gavin Williamson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Geoffrey Cox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Graham Stuart | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Greg Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Greg Stafford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Harriet Cross | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Harriett Baldwin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Helen Grant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Helen Whately | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jack Rankin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
James Cartlidge | 100/1 | 0.99% |
James Cleverly | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jeremy Hunt | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jerome Mayhew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Jesse Norman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Joe Robertson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
John Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
John Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
John Lamont | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Julia Lopez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Julian Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Karen Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Katie Lam | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Kevin Hollinrake | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Kieran Mullan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Lincoln Jopp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Marc Francois | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mark Harper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Martin Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Mel Stride | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Neil Hudson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Neil O'Brien | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Neil Shastri-Hurst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Nick Timothy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Nigel Huddleston | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Nus Ghani | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Patrick Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Paul Holmes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Peter Bedford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Peter Fortune | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Rebecca Harris | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Rebecca Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Rebecca Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Richard Fuller | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Robbie Moore | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Roger Gale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Saqib Bhatti | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Sarah Bool | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Shivani Raja | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Simon Hoare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Stuart Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Stuart Andrew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Wendy Morton | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Laura Trott | 125/1 | 0.79% |
Andrew Mitchell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Caroline Nokes | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Danny Kruger | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Iain Duncan Smith | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Bernard Jenkin | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Esther McVey | 200/1 | 0.50% |
George Freeman | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Joy Morrissey | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Mark Garnier | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Edward Argar | 250/1 | 0.40% |
As of 26 March 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is James Wild, best priced at 3/1 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for James Wild to be the next Conservative leader is 25.00%.
Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis.