Next Conservative Leader Odds: After Kemi Badenoch
Compare the latest betting odds for the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
Next Permanent Tory Leader Odds After Kemi Badenoch
Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
Nigel Farage Compare odds Show less
Coral 
Ladbrokes 
Betfred 
William Hill 
bet365 Boris Johnson Compare odds Show less
Priti Patel Compare odds Show less
Tom Tugendhat Compare odds Show less
Jeremy Hunt Compare odds Show less
Laura Trott Compare odds Show less
Mel Stride Compare odds Show less
Alex Burghart Compare odds Show less
Chris Philp Compare odds Show less
Danny Kruger Compare odds Show less
Mark Harper Compare odds Show less
Rishi Sunak Compare odds Show less
BetVictor Suella Braverman Compare odds Show less
Victoria Atkins Compare odds Show less
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Andy Street Compare odds Show less
David Cameron Compare odds Show less
David Frost Compare odds Show less
Ben Houchen Compare odds Show less
David Davis Compare odds Show less
Richard Holden Compare odds Show less
Iain Duncan Smith Compare odds Show less
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Robert Jenrick Compare odds Show less
The Favourites To Be The Next Permanent Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch
- Nigel Farage with odds 7/1 on Coral
- Boris Johnson with odds 8/1 on Coral
- Mike Wood with odds 14/1 on William Hill
- Claire Coutinho with odds 16/1 on Coral
- Priti Patel with odds 20/1 on Coral
Probability to be the Next Conservative Leader
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Nigel Farage | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Boris Johnson | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Mike Wood | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Claire Coutinho | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Priti Patel | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Laura Trott | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Mel Stride | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Alex Burghart | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Chris Philp | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Danny Kruger | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Mark Harper | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Oliver Dowden | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Rishi Sunak | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Suella Braverman | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Victoria Atkins | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Ben Spencer | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Andrew Griffith | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Andy Street | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Cameron | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Frost | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Alan Mak | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Alec Shelbrooke | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ben Houchen | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Davis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| John Lamont | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Kieran Mullan | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Richard Holden | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Steve Barclay | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Alberto Costa | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Gavin Williamson | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Lincoln Jopp | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison Griffiths | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Murrison | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Rosindell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Snowden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Aphra Brandreth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ashley Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Obese-Jecty | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Blake Stephenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bob Blackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bradley Thomas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Dinenage | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Charlie Dewhirst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Christopher Chope | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Mundell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Reed | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Simmonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Edward Argar | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Bacon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Geoffrey Clifton-Brown | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| George Freeman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Graham Stuart | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Stafford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriet Cross | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriett Baldwin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Helen Grant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jack Rankin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Cartlidge | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Wild | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jeremy Wright | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jerome Mayhew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jesse Norman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joe Robertson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joy Morrissey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julia Lopez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Karen Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Katie Lam | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kevin Hollinrake | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lewis Cocking | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Louie French | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Garnier | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Martin Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mims Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Hudson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Shastri-Hurst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nick Timothy | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nigel Huddleston | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nus Ghani | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Patrick Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Paul Holmes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Bedford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Fortune | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Harris | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Fuller | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robbie Moore | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Roger Gale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Saqib Bhatti | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Bool | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Shivani Raja | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Simon Hoare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Andrew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Wendy Morton | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Andrew Mitchell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Caroline Nokes | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Damian Hinds | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Helen Whately | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Bernard Jenkin | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Edward Leigh | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| John Whittingdale | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Marc Francois | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Desmond Swayne | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| James Cleverly | 45695/1 | 0.00% |
| Robert Jenrick | 45697/1 | 0.00% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch?
As of 7 May 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is Nigel Farage, best priced at 7/1 with Coral.
The odds mean that the probability for Nigel Farage to be the next Conservative leader is 12.50%.
More British Politics Odds
Steven Hubbard
Last updated: 06/02/2025
Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis.
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