Politics
Next Conservative Leader Odds: After Kemi Badenoch
ExpandNext Permanent Tory Leader Odds After Kemi Badenoch
Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
Robert Jenrick Compare odds Show less
Bet365 
William Hill 
BetVictor 
Coral 
Ladbrokes 
Betfred 
Spreadex 
BetMGM James Cleverly Compare odds Show less
Virgin Bet Boris Johnson Compare odds Show less
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Claire Coutinho Compare odds Show less
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The Favourites To Be The Next Permanent Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch
- Robert Jenrick with odds 11/8 on Bet365
- James Cleverly with odds 6/1 on Coral
- Boris Johnson with odds 14/1 on Coral
- Nigel Farage with odds 20/1 on William Hill
- Claire Coutinho with odds 25/1 on Bet365
Probability to be the Next Conservative Leader
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Jenrick | 11/8 | 42.11% |
| James Cleverly | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Boris Johnson | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Nigel Farage | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Claire Coutinho | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Katie Lam | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Mike Wood | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Chris Philp | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Alex Burghart | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Laura Trott | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Mel Stride | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Timothy | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Andrew Griffith | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Kevin Hollinrake | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Andy Street | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Frost | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Oliver Dowden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Priti Patel | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Mark Harper | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Ben Houchen | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Luke Evans | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Suella Braverman | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Victoria Atkins | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Richard Holden | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| David Davis | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Steve Barclay | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alan Mak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alec Shelbrooke | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison Griffiths | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Murrison | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Rosindell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Snowden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Aphra Brandreth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ashley Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Obese-Jecty | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Blake Stephenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bob Blackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bradley Thomas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Dinenage | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Charlie Dewhirst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Christopher Chope | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Danny Kruger | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Mundell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Reed | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Simmonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Edward Argar | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Bacon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Geoffrey Clifton-Brown | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| George Freeman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Graham Stuart | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Stafford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriet Cross | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriett Baldwin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Helen Grant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jack Rankin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Cartlidge | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Wild | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jeremy Wright | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jerome Mayhew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jesse Norman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joe Robertson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Lamont | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joy Morrissey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julia Lopez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Karen Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kieran Mullan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lewis Cocking | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lincoln Jopp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Louie French | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Garnier | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Martin Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mims Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Hudson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Shastri-Hurst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nigel Huddleston | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nus Ghani | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Patrick Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Paul Holmes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Bedford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Fortune | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Harris | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Fuller | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rishi Sunak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robbie Moore | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Roger Gale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Saqib Bhatti | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Bool | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Shivani Raja | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Simon Hoare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Andrew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Wendy Morton | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| Andrew Mitchell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Caroline Nokes | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Damian Hinds | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Desmond Swayne | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Helen Whately | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Bernard Jenkin | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Edward Leigh | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gavin Williamson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| John Whittingdale | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Marc Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch?
As of 29 October 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is Robert Jenrick, best priced at 11/8 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Robert Jenrick to be the next Conservative leader is 42.11%.
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