Politics
Next Conservative Leader Odds: After Kemi Badenoch
ExpandNext Permanent Tory Leader Odds After Kemi Badenoch
Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
James Cleverly Compare odds Show less
Bet365 
Coral 
Ladbrokes 
William Hill 
BetVictor 
BetMGM 
Virgin Bet 
LiveScore Bet Katie Lam Compare odds Show less
Claire Coutinho Compare odds Show less
Boris Johnson Compare odds Show less
Jeremy Hunt Compare odds Show less
Rupert Lowe Compare odds Show less
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The Favourites To Be The Next Permanent Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch
- James Cleverly with odds 4/1 on Bet365
- Katie Lam with odds 7/1 on Coral
- Robert Jenrick with odds 8/1 on BetVictor
- Nick Timothy with odds 14/1 on William Hill
- Claire Coutinho with odds 16/1 on BetVictor
Probability to be the Next Conservative Leader
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| James Cleverly | 4/1 | 20.00% |
| Katie Lam | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Robert Jenrick | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Nick Timothy | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Claire Coutinho | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Boris Johnson | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Rupert Lowe | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Chris Philp | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Mike Wood | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Nigel Farage | 30/1 | 3.23% |
| Alex Burghart | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Andrew Griffith | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Laura Trott | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Mel Stride | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Kevin Hollinrake | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Andy Street | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| David Frost | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| James Cartlidge | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Mark Harper | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Oliver Dowden | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Priti Patel | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Victoria Atkins | 60/1 | 1.64% |
| Ben Houchen | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Davis | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Richard Holden | 70/1 | 1.41% |
| Ben Spencer | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Rishi Sunak | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Steve Barclay | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alan Mak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alec Shelbrooke | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison Griffiths | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Murrison | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Rosindell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Snowden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Aphra Brandreth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ashley Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Obese-Jecty | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Blake Stephenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bob Blackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bradley Thomas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Dinenage | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Charlie Dewhirst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Christopher Chope | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Danny Kruger | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Mundell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Reed | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Simmonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Edward Argar | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Bacon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Geoffrey Clifton-Brown | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| George Freeman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Graham Stuart | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Stafford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriet Cross | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriett Baldwin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Helen Grant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jack Rankin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jacob Rees-Mogg | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Wild | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jeremy Wright | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jerome Mayhew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jesse Norman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joe Robertson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Lamont | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joy Morrissey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julia Lopez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Karen Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kieran Mullan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lewis Cocking | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lincoln Jopp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Louie French | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Luke Evans | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Garnier | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Martin Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mims Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Hudson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil OBrien | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Shastri-Hurst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nigel Huddleston | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nus Ghani | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Patrick Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Paul Holmes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Bedford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Fortune | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Harris | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Fuller | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robbie Moore | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Roger Gale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Saqib Bhatti | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Bool | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Shivani Raja | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Simon Hoare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Andrew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Suella Braverman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Wendy Morton | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Mitchell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Caroline Nokes | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Damian Hinds | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Desmond Swayne | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Helen Whately | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Bernard Jenkin | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Edward Leigh | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gavin Williamson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| John Whittingdale | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Lee Anderson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Marc Francois | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Chip Chapman | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| George Galloway | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tim Farron | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch?
As of 27 March 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is James Cleverly, best priced at 4/1 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for James Cleverly to be the next Conservative leader is 20.00%.
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