Politics
Next Conservative Leader Odds: After Kemi Badenoch
ExpandNext Permanent Tory Leader Odds After Kemi Badenoch
Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Kemi Badenoch.
James Cleverly Compare odds Show less
Coral 
Ladbrokes 
William Hill 
Bet365 
BetVictor 
Betfred 
Spreadex 
BetMGM 
Virgin Bet Katie Lam Compare odds Show less
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Claire Coutinho Compare odds Show less
Jeremy Hunt Compare odds Show less
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The Favourites To Be The Next Permanent Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch
- James Cleverly with odds 6/1 on Coral
- Katie Lam with odds 10/1 on BetVictor
- Boris Johnson with odds 14/1 on Coral
- Claire Coutinho with odds 25/1 on Betfred
- Jeremy Hunt with odds 25/1 on BetMGM
Probability to be the Next Conservative Leader
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
| Candidates | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| James Cleverly | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Katie Lam | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Boris Johnson | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Claire Coutinho | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Jeremy Hunt | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Mike Wood | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Nigel Farage | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Rupert Lowe | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Tom Tugendhat | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Alex Burghart | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Chris Philp | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Nick Timothy | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Mel Stride | 35/1 | 2.78% |
| Andrew Griffith | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Kevin Hollinrake | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Laura Trott | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| James Cartlidge | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Priti Patel | 55/1 | 1.79% |
| Luke Evans | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Suella Braverman | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| David Frost | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Steve Barclay | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Victoria Atkins | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alan Mak | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alberto Costa | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alec Shelbrooke | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alicia Kearns | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Alison Griffiths | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Bowie | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Murrison | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Rosindell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Andrew Snowden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Aphra Brandreth | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ashley Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Obese-Jecty | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ben Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Blake Stephenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bob Blackman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bradley Thomas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Dinenage | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Caroline Johnson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Charlie Dewhirst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Christopher Chope | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Danny Kruger | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Mundell | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Reed | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Simmonds | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Edward Argar | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Esther McVey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gagan Mohindra | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Bacon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Gareth Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Geoffrey Clifton-Brown | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| George Freeman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Graham Stuart | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Greg Stafford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriet Cross | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Harriett Baldwin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Helen Grant | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jack Rankin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| James Wild | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jeremy Wright | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jerome Mayhew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jesse Norman | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joe Robertson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Cooper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Glen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Hayes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Lamont | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Joy Morrissey | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julia Lopez | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Lewis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Julian Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Karen Bradley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kieran Mullan | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kit Malthouse | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lewis Cocking | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Lincoln Jopp | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Louie French | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Garnier | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Harper | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mark Pritchard | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Martin Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Matt Vickers | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Mims Davies | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Hudson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil OBrien | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Neil Shastri-Hurst | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nigel Huddleston | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Nus Ghani | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Patrick Spencer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Paul Holmes | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Bedford | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Peter Fortune | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Harris | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Paul | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rebecca Smith | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Richard Fuller | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robbie Moore | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Roger Gale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Saqib Bhatti | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sarah Bool | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Shivani Raja | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Simon Hoare | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Anderson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Stuart Andrew | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Wendy Morton | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| David Davis | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Andrew Mitchell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Andy Street | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Caroline Nokes | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Damian Hinds | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Desmond Swayne | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Helen Whately | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Iain Duncan Smith | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Richard Holden | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Ben Houchen | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Oliver Dowden | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Rishi Sunak | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Bernard Jenkin | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Edward Leigh | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gavin Williamson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Geoffrey Cox | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Jacob Rees-Mogg | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| John Whittingdale | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Lee Anderson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Marc Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Mark Francois | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Chip Chapman | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| George Galloway | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Liz Truss | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tim Farron | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Robert Jenrick | 45783/1 | 0.00% |
Who is the Favourite to Be the Tory Leader After Kemi Badenoch?
As of 22 November 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is James Cleverly, best priced at 6/1 with Coral.
The odds mean that the probability for James Cleverly to be the next Conservative leader is 14.29%.
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