With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will win Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Inter Milan | 19/20 | 51.28% |
Napoli | 3/1 | 25.00% |
Juventus | 7/1 | 12.50% |
Atalanta | 8/1 | 11.11% |
AC Milan | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Fiorentina | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Lazio | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Bologna | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Roma | 750/1 | 0.13% |
Udinese | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Torino | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
Empoli | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Parma | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Monza | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
Cagliari | 10000/1 | 0.01% |
Como | 10000/1 | 0.01% |
Genoa | 10000/1 | 0.01% |
Lecce | 10000/1 | 0.01% |
Venezia | 10000/1 | 0.01% |
Verona | 10000/1 | 0.01% |
As of 21 November 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win Serie A is Inter Milan, best priced at 19/20 with Betway.
The odds mean that the probability for Inter Milan to win is 51.28%.
Even though Inter are heavy odds favourites to win Serie A at 7/10, this season is very difficult to call. Yes, Simone Inzaghi's men have been the most consistent by far in recent campaigns and the mercato has been positive overall, but it's equally true that the rivals have made some interesting moves.
Juventus hired Thiago Motta to replace Max Allegri, whose tactics were dull to say the least, and this alone is a pretty big message to Inter. Motta, as most of you will know, was in charge of Bologna last season and it was indeed a spectacular one for them. It will take time for him to settle in fully, but the business on the transfer market warrants some optimism.
The Bianconeri are odds favourites behind Inter at 4/1, but these odds are a bit short for my liking given that it won't be a walk in the park for Motta. Not to mention that AC Milan, who finished second last season, are at 7/1 despite making some very targeted signings and replacing Stefano Pioli with Paulo Fonseca.
There are still some pieces of the puzzle missing for the Rossoneri, but they have looked confident in pre-season and we like their chances now better than last season. Napoli are just behind at 8/1 on most betting sites after hiring Antonio Conte, but anyone who has followed the manager's career will know that it could go either way.
The signing of Alessandro Buongiorno is a step in the right direction for the Partenopei, but they lost key midfielder Piotr Zielinski on a free transfer to Inter. They could also lose the prolific goalscorer Victor Osimhen to the Premier League, with rumours suggesting Romelu Lukaku (a Conte favourite) might replace him.
In conclusion, we could be in for a very exciting season and one that won't let Inter run away with the title again. Not to mention that in the last five seasons, no team has managed to win in two consecutive times. Our pick, if not the favourites Inter, is AC Milan to win the league at 7/1 as these odds seem a bit long for a team like the Rossoneri.
In addition to the prestigious Scudetto trophy, the Serie A champions will also get more prize money from the league. This is not to be understated, especially since teams in the Serie A are far behind those in the Premier League financially. Furthermore, the Serie A champion will also be seeded in the first pot for the Champions League league stage draw.
In the 2023/24 edition of Serie A, Inter convincingly secured the Scudetto as they finished 19 points ahead of city rivals AC Milan. The latter and Juventus will both be looking to avoid a repeat of this in the 2024/25 campaign, having hired Paulo Fonseca and Thiago Motta as new managers respectively.
Below is a list of the previous Serie A winners, from the year 2000 and onwards.
Season | Club | Points |
---|---|---|
2000-01 | Roma | 75 |
2001-02 | Juventus | 71 |
2002-03 | Juventus | 72 |
2003-04 | Milan | 82 |
2004-05 | No Winner (due to Calciopoli) | N/A |
2005-06 | Inter | 76 |
2006-07 | Inter | 97 |
2007-08 | Inter | 85 |
2008-09 | Inter | 84 |
2009-10 | Inter | 82 |
2010-11 | Milan | 82 |
2011-12 | Juventus | 84 |
2012-13 | Juventus | 87 |
2013-14 | Juventus | 102 |
2014-15 | Juventus | 87 |
2015-16 | Juventus | 91 |
2016-17 | Juventus | 91 |
2017-18 | Juventus | 95 |
2018-19 | Juventus | 90 |
2019-20 | Juventus | 83 |
2020-21 | Inter | 91 |
2021-22 | Milan | 86 |
2022-23 | Napoli | 90 |
2023-24 | Inter | 94 |
Below is a list of the clubs with the most Scudetti in the competition's entire history.
Club | Serie A Titles | Seasons |
---|---|---|
Juventus | 36 | 1905, 1925–26, 1930–31, 1931–32, 1932–33, 1933–34, 1934–35, 1949–50, 1951–52, 1957–58, 1959–60, 1960–61, 1966–67, 1971–72, 1972–73, 1974–75, 1976–77, 1977–78, 1980–81, 1981–82, 1983–84, 1985–86, 1994–95, 1996–97, 1997–98, 2001–02, 2002–03, 2011–12, 2012–13, 2013–14, 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2019–20. |
Inter | 20 | 1909–10, 1919–20, 1929–30, 1937–38, 1939–40, 1952–53, 1953–54, 1962–63, 1964–65, 1965–66, 1970–71, 1979–80, 1988–89, 2005–06, 2006–07, 2007–08, 2008–09, 2009–10, 2020–21, 2023–24 |
Milan | 19 | 1901, 1906, 1907, 1950–51, 1954–55, 1956–57, 1958–59, 1961–62, 1967–68, 1978–79, 1987–88, 1991–92, 1992–93, 1993–94, 1995–96, 1998–99, 2003–04, 2010–11, 2021–22 |
Genoa | 9 | 1898, 1899, 1900, 1902, 1903, 1904, 1914–15, 1922–23, 1923–24 |
Torino | 7 | 1927–28, 1942–43, 1945–46, 1946–47, 1947–48, 1948–49, 1975–76 |