Valladolid, Las Palmas and Leganes were relegated to the second division in the 2024-25 season.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from La Liga, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Real Oviedo | 10/11 | 52.38% |
Elche | 6/5 | 45.45% |
Levante | 11/8 | 42.11% |
Espanyol | 9/5 | 35.71% |
Alaves | 11/4 | 26.67% |
Osasuna | 7/2 | 22.22% |
Rayo Vallecano | 7/2 | 22.22% |
Girona | 4/1 | 20.00% |
Getafe | 9/2 | 18.18% |
Real Mallorca | 9/2 | 18.18% |
Sevilla | 5/1 | 16.67% |
Valencia | 7/1 | 12.50% |
Celta Vigo | 14/1 | 6.67% |
Real Sociedad | 20/1 | 4.76% |
Real Betis | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Athletic Bilbao | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Villarreal | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Barcelona | 750/1 | 0.13% |
Atletico Madrid | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Real Madrid | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
As of 3 August 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from La Liga is Real Oviedo, best priced at 10/11 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Real Oviedo to be relegated is 52.38%.
Just like most of the other top five leagues in Europe, such as the Bundesliga and the Italian Serie A, the bottom three teams at the end of the season are immediately relegated from La Liga. With it being a 20-team league, this means that the teams in positions 18, 19 and 20 are in the relegation zone. In the past, we have seen some pretty close battles on this front.
The 2024/25 season was another example of that, as just two points separated Leganes in 18th place and Getafe in 13th. The classic club Sevilla finished just one point ahead of the team, struggling big time after another disappointing season.