With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will win La Liga, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Real Madrid | 8/13 | 61.90% |
Barcelona | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Atletico Madrid | 18/1 | 5.26% |
Athletic Bilbao | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Villarreal | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Real Betis | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Real Sociedad | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Girona | 350/1 | 0.28% |
Real Mallorca | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Alaves | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Celta Vigo | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Espanyol | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Osasuna | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Rayo Vallecano | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Valencia | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Sevilla | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
Getafe | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Valladolid | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Leganes | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
Las Palmas | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
As of 8 October 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win La Liga is Real Madrid, best priced at 8/13 with Betfred.
The odds mean that the probability for Real Madrid to win is 61.90%.
It could be argued that La Liga is reverting to its former days. Long gone are the days when the title could be between three teams for the title, at least in the eyes of the bookies, who think it will be a landslide this season.
That landslide is in favour of the current European and La Liga champions Real Madrid. Los Blancos recorded a 2-0 win in the European Super Cup, and it seems they could be in for another fantastic season, especially with Kylian Mbappe at the helm.
The Frenchman got himself off the mark in the debut game, as we predicted, and he will surely have a good season in Spain. After all, he is probably the best player in world football. However, he is not the only new Galactico, there is also Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Jr., Rodrygo, and several others.
Led by Carlo Ancelotti, it is very difficult to look past him and his side, and that is why the bookies are pricing them at such a low price, and we can't say that we blame them.
It then feels rather obvious to state this, but the only teams that we think could compete with Los Blancos are Atletico Madrid and Barcelona. The Blaugrana are a mess of a club, and whilst their team is exciting, they are riddled with off-the-pitch issues, which makes it difficult to back them confidently.
However, Atletico could provide a nice price, and so we're taking note of them. Given Real are rightfully the strong favourites, we'll expand on Diego Simeone's side in the next section, but they could offer us a nice each-way price.
Of course, lifting the La Liga trophy comes with a lot of prestige and bragging rights. In addition to this, there is also a huge financial incentive for finishing in first place rather than, say, second as roughly €7m separates the two positions in terms of prize money. The winner is also seeded in the first pot for the Champions League league stage draw.
The 2023/24 edition of La Liga was certainly an entertaining one, with the Man City-backed Girona fighting for the title at one point. Real Madrid came out on top in the end, quite convincingly as well, before winning the Champions League. Can they be taken down a peg this upcoming season, or will they prevail again?
Below is a list of the previous La Liga winners, from the year 2000 and onwards.
Season | Club | Points |
---|---|---|
2000-01 | Real Madrid | 80 |
2001-02 | Valencia | 75 |
2002-03 | Real Madrid | 78 |
2003-04 | Valencia | 77 |
2004-05 | Barcelona | 84 |
2005-06 | Barcelona | 82 |
2006-07 | Real Madrid | 76 |
2007-08 | Real Madrid | 85 |
2008-09 | Barcelona | 87 |
2009-10 | Barcelona | 99 |
2010-11 | Barcelona | 96 |
2011-12 | Real Madrid | 100 |
2012-13 | Barcelona | 100 |
2013-14 | Atletico Madrid | 90 |
2014-15 | Barcelona | 94 |
2015-16 | Barcelona | 91 |
2016-17 | Real Madrid | 93 |
2017-18 | Barcelona | 93 |
2018-19 | Barcelona | 87 |
2019-20 | Real Madrid | 87 |
2020-21 | Atletico Madrid | 86 |
2021-22 | Real Madrid | 86 |
2022-23 | Barcelona | 88 |
2023-24 | Real Madrid | 95 |
Below is a list of the clubs with the most La Liga titles in the competition's entire history.
Club | La Liga Titles | Seasons |
---|---|---|
Real Madrid | 36 | 1931–32, 1932–33, 1953–54, 1954–55, 1956–57, 1957–58, 1960–61, 1961–62, 1962–63, 1963–64, 1964–65, 1966–67, 1967–68, 1968–69, 1971–72, 1974–75, 1975–76, 1977–78, 1978–79, 1979–80, 1985–86, 1986–87, 1987–88, 1988–89, 1989–90, 1994–95, 1996–97, 2000–01, 2002–03, 2006–07, 2007–08, 2011–12, 2016–17, 2019–20, 2021–22, 2023–24 |
Barcelona | 27 | 1929, 1944–45, 1947–48, 1948–49, 1951–52, 1952–53, 1958–59, 1959–60, 1973–74, 1984–85, 1990–91, 1991–92, 1992–93, 1993–94, 1997–98, 1998–99, 2004–05, 2005–06, 2008–09, 2009–10, 2010–11, 2012–13, 2014–15, 2015–16, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2022–23 |
Atletico Madrid | 11 | 1939–40, 1940–41, 1949–50, 1950–51, 1965–66, 1969–70, 1972–73, 1976–77, 1995–96, 2013–14, 2020–21 |
Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 1929–30, 1930–31, 1933–34, 1935–36, 1942–43, 1955–56, 1982–83, 1983–84 |
Valencia | 6 | 1941–42, 1943–44, 1946–47, 1970–71, 2001–02, 2003–04 |