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Compare the latest odds for the 2026/27 La Liga winner below.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will win La Liga, according to the bookmakers.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| | 4/5 | 55.56% |
| | 7/5 | 41.67% |
| | 18/1 | 5.26% |
| Villarreal | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Real Betis | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Athletic Club | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Racing Santander | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Malaga | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
As of 15 August 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win La Liga is Barcelona, best priced at 4/5 with StarSports.
The odds mean that the probability for Barcelona to win is 55.56%.

It's, again, a two-horse race for the La Liga title this season. Last time out, I said it would be Barcelona to win the league and there's certainly a part of me that wants to stick with them again.
However, I think I'm just about leaning towards the title ending up in Real Madrid's trophy cabinet.
The appointment of Jose Mourinho is certainly an interesting one, but he has worked in big dressing rooms throughout his career. Now, we're not on about talented dressing rooms here, but big personalities.
Every member of that Madrid squad wants to play for the best club in the world by being the best in the world, so there can be clashes, as we have seen in recent years.
However, that is why I like the appointment of Mourinho so much. Then you've got Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Junior coming off of excellent World Cup runs.
Even if Vini departs, you've still got a fantastic attack from just those two, and then you consider the likely signing of Yann Diomande and it stacks up.
Defensively, the additions of Marc Cucurella, Ibrahima Konate and Denzel Dumfries look great, especially at a combined cost of €75 million. Bernardo Silva is another fantastic signing, too.
I think you can say they've improved substantially this summer and that bodes well for Los Blancos' chances this season.
Barcelona are, of course, fantastic and the amount of quality in their squad is ridiculous. However, I think they could be lacking a few goals this season after the departures of Robert Lewandowski and Marcus Rashford.
If anything is to cost them this season, it'll be that. I have just a touch more faith in Real Madrid's squad and that is why I'm sitting on this side of the fence.
Of course, lifting the La Liga trophy comes with a lot of prestige and bragging rights. In addition to this, there is also a huge financial incentive for finishing in first place rather than, say, second as roughly €7m separates the two positions in terms of prize money. The winner is also seeded in the first pot for the Champions League league stage draw.
Barcelona came out on top in the 2025-26 edition, rather convincingly as well one must add, with eight points separating the Catalan side and Real Madrid in the end. The Bernabeu side have brought back Jose Mourinho now, so let's see what will happen.
Below is a list of the previous La Liga winners, from the year 2000 and onwards.
| Season | Club | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 2000-01 | Real Madrid | 80 |
| 2001-02 | Valencia | 75 |
| 2002-03 | Real Madrid | 78 |
| 2003-04 | Valencia | 77 |
| 2004-05 | Barcelona | 84 |
| 2005-06 | Barcelona | 82 |
| 2006-07 | Real Madrid | 76 |
| 2007-08 | Real Madrid | 85 |
| 2008-09 | Barcelona | 87 |
| 2009-10 | Barcelona | 99 |
| 2010-11 | Barcelona | 96 |
| 2011-12 | Real Madrid | 100 |
| 2012-13 | Barcelona | 100 |
| 2013-14 | Atletico Madrid | 90 |
| 2014-15 | Barcelona | 94 |
| 2015-16 | Barcelona | 91 |
| 2016-17 | Real Madrid | 93 |
| 2017-18 | Barcelona | 93 |
| 2018-19 | Barcelona | 87 |
| 2019-20 | Real Madrid | 87 |
| 2020-21 | Atletico Madrid | 86 |
| 2021-22 | Real Madrid | 86 |
| 2022-23 | Barcelona | 88 |
| 2023-24 | Real Madrid | 95 |
| 2024-25 | Barcelona | 88 |
| 2025-26 | Barcelona | 94 |
Below is a list of the clubs with the most La Liga titles in the competition's entire history.
| Club | La Liga Titles | Seasons |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 36 | 1931–32, 1932–33, 1953–54, 1954–55, 1956–57, 1957–58, 1960–61, 1961–62, 1962–63, 1963–64, 1964–65, 1966–67, 1967–68, 1968–69, 1971–72, 1974–75, 1975–76, 1977–78, 1978–79, 1979–80, 1985–86, 1986–87, 1987–88, 1988–89, 1989–90, 1994–95, 1996–97, 2000–01, 2002–03, 2006–07, 2007–08, 2011–12, 2016–17, 2019–20, 2021–22, 2023–24. |
| Barcelona | 29 | 1929, 1944–45, 1947–48, 1948–49, 1951–52, 1952–53, 1958–59, 1959–60, 1973–74, 1984–85, 1990–91, 1991–92, 1992–93, 1993–94, 1997–98, 1998–99, 2004–05, 2005–06, 2008–09, 2009–10, 2010–11, 2012–13, 2014–15, 2015–16, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2022–23, 2024-25, 2025-26. |
| Atletico Madrid | 11 | 1939–40, 1940–41, 1949–50, 1950–51, 1965–66, 1969–70, 1972–73, 1976–77, 1995–96, 2013–14, 2020–21 |
| Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 1929–30, 1930–31, 1933–34, 1935–36, 1942–43, 1955–56, 1982–83, 1983–84 |
| Valencia | 6 | 1941–42, 1943–44, 1946–47, 1970–71, 2001–02, 2003–04 |