Ballon d'Or
Football

Ballon d'Or Winner Betting Odds 2026

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Compare the best Ballon d'Or Winner betting odds from top UK bookmakers. Our Ballon d'Or winner odds update in real time, and our experts have reviewed the favourites for 2026.

2026 Men's Ballon d'Or Winner Odds

Harry Kane Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
4/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
4/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
4/1
Erling Haaland Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
6/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
6/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
6/1
Declan Rice Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
10/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
10/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
10/1
Ousmane Dembele Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
14/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
14/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
14/1
Ferreira Vitinha Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
16/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
16/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
16/1
Lionel Messi Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
16/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
16/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
16/1
Michael Olise Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
20/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
20/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
20/1
Raphinha Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
25/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
25/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
25/1
Jose Vinicius Junior Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
33/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
33/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
33/1
Mohamed Salah Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
33/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
33/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
33/1
Pedri Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
33/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
33/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
33/1
Achraf Hakimi Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Cole Palmer Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Desire Doue Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Jamal Musiala Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Jude Bellingham Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Lautaro Martinez Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Phil Foden Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
40/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
40/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
40/1
Cristiano Ronaldo Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Kylian Mbappe Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Lamine Yamal Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Viktor Gyokeres Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
50/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
50/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
50/1
Alexis MacAllister Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
66/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
66/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
66/1
de Goes Rodrygo Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
66/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
66/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
66/1
Federico Valverde Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
66/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
66/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
66/1
Alexander Isak Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Antione Griezmann Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Denzel Dumfries Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Fabian Ruiz Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Florian Wirtz Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Gianluigi Donnarumma Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Joao Neves Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Nuno Mendes Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Pablo Martin Gavi Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Robert Lewandowski Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Scott McTominay Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Serhou Guirassy Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1
Virgil van Dijk Compare odds Show less
BetVictor square logo BetVictor
100/1
Parimatch square logo Parimatch
100/1
Talksportbet logo square talkSPORT BET
100/1

The Favourites to Win the 2026 Ballon d'Or

  1. Harry Kane with odds 4/1 on BetVictor
  2. Erling Haaland with odds 6/1 on BetVictor
  3. Declan Rice with odds 10/1 on BetVictor
  4. Ousmane Dembele with odds 14/1 on BetVictor
  5. Ferreira Vitinha with odds 16/1 on BetVictor
  6. Lionel Messi with odds 16/1 on BetVictor
  7. Michael Olise with odds 20/1 on BetVictor
  8. Raphinha with odds 25/1 on BetVictor
  9. Jose Vinicius Junior with odds 33/1 on BetVictor
  10. Mohamed Salah with odds 33/1 on BetVictor

Probability to Win the Ballon d'Or

Player Odds Probability
Harry Kane 4/1 20.00%
Erling Haaland 6/1 14.29%
Declan Rice 10/1 9.09%
Ousmane Dembele 14/1 6.67%
Ferreira Vitinha 16/1 5.88%
Lionel Messi 16/1 5.88%
Michael Olise 20/1 4.76%
Raphinha 25/1 3.85%
Jose Vinicius Junior 33/1 2.94%
Mohamed Salah 33/1 2.94%
Pedri 33/1 2.94%
Achraf Hakimi 40/1 2.44%
Cole Palmer 40/1 2.44%
Desire Doue 40/1 2.44%
Jamal Musiala 40/1 2.44%
Jude Bellingham 40/1 2.44%
Lautaro Martinez 40/1 2.44%
Phil Foden 40/1 2.44%
Cristiano Ronaldo 50/1 1.96%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 50/1 1.96%
Kylian Mbappe 50/1 1.96%
Lamine Yamal 50/1 1.96%
Viktor Gyokeres 50/1 1.96%
Alexis MacAllister 66/1 1.49%
de Goes Rodrygo 66/1 1.49%
Federico Valverde 66/1 1.49%
Alexander Isak 100/1 0.99%
Antione Griezmann 100/1 0.99%
Denzel Dumfries 100/1 0.99%
Fabian Ruiz 100/1 0.99%
Florian Wirtz 100/1 0.99%
Gianluigi Donnarumma 100/1 0.99%
Joao Neves 100/1 0.99%
Nuno Mendes 100/1 0.99%
Pablo Martin Gavi 100/1 0.99%
Robert Lewandowski 100/1 0.99%
Scott McTominay 100/1 0.99%
Serhou Guirassy 100/1 0.99%
Virgil van Dijk 100/1 0.99%

Who is the Favourite to Win the Ballon d'Or?

As of 29 December 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to win the Ballon d'Or is Harry Kane, best priced at 4/1 with BetVictor.

The odds mean that the probability for Harry Kane to win is 20.00%.

What is the Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or is an annual football event that celebrates the best player of the year with the Ballon d'Or award, which has been around since the 1950s. Although the likes of FIFA and UEFA also have similar awards, the Ballon d'Or remains the most prestigious and honourable one that a player can receive.

The award is presented by the newspaper France Football and starting from the 2024 edition, the event will also be co-organised by UEFA. Back in the day, the voting process solely involved football journalists but this is no longer the case, as players and managers from the top 100 countries in FIFA's world ranking are eligible to vote.

As for past winners, Lionel Messi is sitting comfortably at the top with eight Ballon d'Or, with the latest one coming in 2023. This after an impressive season with Paris Saint-Germain and Argentina's national team, winning the league with the former and the World Cup with the latter. At the age of 36, one can only applaud the No.10.

From its commendable history to the rigorous voting process - not to mention the aesthetically pleasing award itself - it is clear why the Ballon d'Or is regarded as the best individual award a player can win.

A Look at the 2026 Ballon d’Or Favourites

Even though the event will take place in late September, there are already a few odds favourites to win the Ballon d'Or 2026. As the voters are told to base their pick on the previous season, the Ballon d'Or battle is indeed in full swing and as you can see above, there are two that stand out from the rest: Ousmane Dembele, Lamine Yamal. However, the other candidates are difficult to separate.

So, what should you expect from this battle? Let's go through them one by one, starting with the current odds favourite Dembele.

Ousmane Dembele

As this is being written, Ousmane Dembele has the chance to complete a prophecy of such. In the early days of his career, the sky seemed to be the limit and when Barcelona paid £100 million, the Frenchman was supposed to be the future of the Blaugrana.

However, it never was the case. Instead, his time in Spain was filled with problems. That didn't stop PSG from taking a gamble on him, and this year he has launched himself back into stardom.

The Parisian outfit, at the time of writing, are favourites to win the Champions League final in May, and he has spearheaded their charge - scoring eight times and assisting his teammates four times.

Dembele has finally reached the level that many hoped and expected he would. So, a Champions League trophy, which would be a crowning moment in itself, could also bring a Ballon d'Or.

A beautiful footballing story indeed.

Lamine Yamal

This section can be moved around for the next 15 years (we hope), with the Spaniard looking like football's next best thing. On every occasion of watching Yamal, the winger is beautiful and brilliant.

Barcelona have had to wait for an heir to Lionel Messi, and once it was hoped to be Dembele. It is clear now that it is Yamal. At 17 years old, the starlet has already won La Liga, progressed to the latter stages of the Champions League and won the European Championship (last summer).

He is very much the future of Spanish football and Barcelona, so we will be putting his name here regularly in the years to come, certainly. For Yamal, there will be no qualms if he does not win the trophy here. After all, he'll be back next year probably, and the next, and the next...

The Others

There are two clear frontrunners here and it seems, at this stage, that the trophy will go to one of the listed duo. However, things could change in the next few weeks, indeed.

Mo Salah is the third favourite at around the 8/1 mark, but winning a Premier League probably won't be enough, even with his goal tally being accounted for. Raphinha also comes in at this price, but if anyone from Barcelona is to win it, you'd imagine it would be Lamal.

Two prices that we're very intrigued by, though, are Gianluigi Donnarumma and Lautaro Martinez.

Starting with Donnarumma, the Italian has been magnificent for PSG and is probably the best goalkeeper in the world at this point in time. Proving reliable in their games so far this season, if the Parisians are to win the Champions League - thanks to another big performance from him - you could see him winning the trophy.

The same could be said for Lautaro Martinez, who is currently listed around the 10/1 mark. It has not been his best campaign in Serie A, scoring the second-fewest amount of goals of his Italian career.

However, he has scored nine times in the Champions League so far, and if the Nerazzurri pull off a double - which would certainly be unexpected - then his odds would shoot near the top two.

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