England vs. Latvia - World Cup Qualifiers Tips

After an easy win against Albania on Friday night, England will face Latvia at Wembley once again, and Thomas Tuchel will be hoping to extend his perfect start.

We've got slightly more of an idea about Tuchel's football after the win on Friday night, but we are far from seeing the final product of this Three Lions team. Nevertheless, we are still going to try and find some value.

Ben's Bets for England vs. Latvia

At the time of writing this, the lineups were not available to us, so I have tried to make some assumptions about the lineup, whilst only tipping players I think will start. It is worth stating here that I would not advise placing any bets until the lineups are out for both teams.

Also, I'd like to preface my tips by saying I have rocked the boat a little more than usual with these tips, with four out of my five tips being valued at Evens or better. However, these games, especially at the start of Tuchel's reign are slightly more difficult to predict, so consider lower stakes than you may usually play with.

Now, without further ado, let's dive into my reasonings.

Myles Lewis-Skelly Over 0.5 Shots

At 4/6, I quite like the look of this pick, and whilst the stats may not be too great, I think we certainly could be on for a bit of value here. In his last game, obviously, he got the first goal of the Tuchel era, and it may not be outrageous to see him making a few efforts in this game.

In Latvia's game against Andorra, three of the opposition's shots came from the left-hand side of the pitch, with 2/3 being outside the box. For this reason, I think there are certainly vulnerabilities for Latvia here, and Lewis-Skelly could get into some nice positions again.

England To Win + Under 3.5 Goals

Now this certainly isn't the most 'England are winning the World Cup and I'm getting carried away' pick in the world. However, I again, like the look of this, even if it is a bit of a risk.

I am not expecting Latvia to attack this game at all, and I think it will be a case of damage limitation. In addition to this, their goal record is not awful, in the 2024/25 Nations League they only saw 15 goals in six games, and for the Euro Qualification, there were 24 in eight.

So I do not think we will be seeing a whitewash at Wembley, and even if there are three goals we will be safe.

Under 8.5 Corners

At what point do I start calling myself the Corner Connoisseur or something along those lines? Hopefully never, in fairness... Nevertheless, I am once again looking at the corner market because I really believe in the value here.

In Latvia's game on Friday, there were just four corners, with the visitors getting just one, whilst England's game saw five corners with four going in the hosts' favour. So, I quite like the look of Under 8.5.

If anything, I was slightly tempted to go lower in this case and might do a ladder-esque bet myself. However, if you want a bit more insurance, then Under 9.5 Corners is priced quite nicely too around the Evens mark.

Dan Burn to Have Over 0.5 Shots on Target

I'll keep this one quite short, as I'm really unsure if we are going to see Burn retain his place in the backline. The Englishman was (quite literally) a huge target on set-pieces, and I think he could be a threat again if he is chosen.

I was tempted to put him to score in this game, which is priced at 12/1 if anyone is interested in that price, but I'm just going to play this slightly safer. Should he score though, I will be raving about this selection.

Aleksejs Saveljevs to Be Shown a Card

I also really quite like the idea of Saveljevs being booked in this game, and feel that the price is ridiculously generous at this point.

Against Andorra, the midfielder gave away two fouls against quite a poor attack and faced with Bellingham and co. I think he could be in for a torrid time on Monday night. To back this further, he has averaged more than one foul per game in the Romanian League this season, whilst also averaging 1.2 fouls per game in the Euro Qualifiers.

To go one step further, he played predominantly on the left and centre in Latvia's game against Andorra, and against Albania these were the two areas England attacked the most. In other words, he should be very involved and a card at 4/1 is looking really nice for me.