Compare the latest odds from 20+ UK bookmakers for the 2025/26 Premier League top goalscorer race below.
| Player | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 1/12 | 92.31% |
| Igor Thiago | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Antoine Semenyo | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Hugo Ekitike | 110/1 | 0.90% |
| de Jesus Joao Pedro | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Jarrod Bowen | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| Morgan Rogers | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| Nick Woltemade | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| Ollie Watkins | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| Phil Foden | 225/1 | 0.44% |
| Bukayo Saka | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Cody Gakpo | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Cole Palmer | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Mohamed Salah | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Richarlison | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Viktor Gyokeres | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Alexander Isak | 275/1 | 0.36% |
| Eberechi Eze | 275/1 | 0.36% |
| Pedro neto | 275/1 | 0.36% |
| Donyell Malen | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Raul Jimenez | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Santos Matheus Cunha | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Benjamin Sesko | 325/1 | 0.31% |
| Harry Wilson | 375/1 | 0.27% |
| Evanilson | 450/1 | 0.22% |
| Bruno Fernandes | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Danny Welbeck | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Florian Wirtz | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tyrique George | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Wilson Isidor | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Anthony Gordon | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Dango Ouattara | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Harvey Barnes | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Iliman-Cheikh Ndiaye | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Ismaila Sarr | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Jorgen Larsen | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Thierno Barry | 550/1 | 0.18% |
| Beto | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Joel Piroe | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Justin Kluivert | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Kevin Schade | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Brennan Johnson | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Chris Wood | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Jacob Murphy | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Mohammed Kudus | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Yoane Wissa | 800/1 | 0.12% |
| Alex Iwobi | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Brian Brobbey | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Declan Rice | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Dominic Solanke | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Estevao Almeida de Oliveira | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Estevao Willian | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Federico Chiesa | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Hee-Chan Hwang | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Jack Grealish | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Jeremy Doku | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Jhon Arias | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Liam Delap | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Lyle Foster | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Mason Mount | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Mathys Tel | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Noni Madueke | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Omar Marmoush | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Randal Muani | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Rayan Cherki | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Stefanos Tzimas | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Xavi Simons | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Yankuba Minteh | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Amad Diallo | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Anthony Elanga | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Georginio Rutter | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Igor Jesus | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Joshua Zirkzee | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Kaoru Mitoma | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Martin Odegaard | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Oscar Bobb | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| William Osula | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| de Oliveira Savio | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Eliezer Mayenda | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
As of 30 January 2026, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2025/26 Golden Boot is Erling Haaland, best priced at 1/12 with Coral.
The odds mean that the probability for Erling Haaland to win is 92.31%.

The top goalscorer race this season could be really interesting, and it all depends on the end of the summer window. At present, Alexander Isak is priced at 6/1, which feels way low for if he is to remain at Newcastle United.
If he heads to Liverpool, though, that price will drop massively. It is a risk, and I'm unsure if it is worth the risk whilst everything is up in the air...
So, I am going to go for Erling Haaland, just on the measure of safety, at least for now. Perhaps at the end of the window we can come back to this, or even sooner.
The Norwegian scored 22 goals in 31 games last season, which was his worst in England. However, it is not a bad record at all. With Liverpool strengthening their front line, it may mean that Mo Salah's output drops slightly, so for now, I think Haaland is the pick for me.
Here is a list of the top goalscorers in the last 10 Premier League seasons.
| Season | Top Scorer | Club | Number of Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/25 | Mohamed Salah | Liverpool | 29 |
| 23/24 | Erling Haaland | Man City | 27 |
| 22/23 | Erling Haaland | Man City | 36 |
| 21/22 | Heung-min Son and Mohamed Salah | Tottenham and Liverpool | 23 |
| 20/21 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 23 |
| 19/20 | Jamie Vardy | Leicester City | 23 |
| 18/19 | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Mohamed Salah & Sadio Mane | Arsenal and Liverpool | 22 |
| 17/18 | Mohamed Salah | Liverpool | 32 |
| 16/17 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 29 |
| 15/16 | Harry Kane | Tottenham | 25 |


