The PGA Tour heads to 'The Greatest Show on Grass' at TPC Scottsdale in Arizona for the unique but brilliant Waste Management Phoenix Open. The event's relaxed atmosphere and with it being played over Super Bowl weekend has created an almost Ryder Cup-like raucousness, with fans allowed to drink alcohol and act however they like to a point, especially on the famous par 3 16th. This tournament is traditionally the most popular and best-attended on tour and is expected to attract over half a million spectators.
TPC Scottsdale is played in desert-like conditions and at a high altitude so you can probably take around 10% off its 7,262 yards which creates an almost sub 7000-yard par 71, which is of course extremely short. There are three par 5's, two at 558 yards and one at 553, giving the big hitters plenty of opportunities for eagle.
There has been over 150 days now without rain on this Golf course which could well make this course firm with plenty of roll on the fairways and not a huge amount of rough. This could well produce releasing greens which should bring the scoring down and will also give the fans a better watch as the players aren't just firing darts into the flag all the time.
You definitely can't be short-siding yourself on this course, and you certainly won't overpower it either. This course is designed in such a way that It needs to be firm to cause problems, especially on the greens so putting will be essential this week. There isn't a lot of wind on the forecast and it looks set to be a pretty warm week so to me that would immediately suggest the Americans may do well here.
Nick Taylor is the defending champion here after holding off Charley Hoffman in a playoff and also finished second the year before, two strokes behind the imperial Scottie Scheffler. Scheffler is the tournament favourite at just 3/1 after making his return from injury at Pebble Beach last week.
He could quite easily run away with this tournament, especially after how he played last week after a pretty long layoff, but with 13 wins in his last 62 starts, shows you exactly why you can never rule him out.
Other notable names at the top of the betting market are Justin Thomas 12/1 with 0 wins in his last 51 starts, Sam Burns with 0 wins in his last 39 starts, and Sungjae Im at 25/1 with 0 wins in his last 85 starts. For me personally that suggests the value is further down the market, but it also explains why Scheffler is such an overwhelming favorite.
Often in previous years, the key to winning at TPC Scottsdale has been, strokes gained (Tee to Green) and putting. There are 6 holes on this course with water so keeping yourself out of trouble off the tee and on approach will also be imperative. Dealing with the loud atmosphere and raucousness of the crowd will also be crucial to winning around here.
Tom Kim looks great value here, and you could have got him as high as 40/1 earlier in the week. This seems like the perfect golf course for the 22-year-old especially as there hasn't been any rain for so long so the expected firm conditions will play similarly to a links course. Although it doesn't look like there'll be a whole lot of wind, I still think it will play links-like, and his T7 last week at Pebble Beach should stand him in good stead coming here.
Now up to 23rd in the World Golf Rankings, this feels to me like a very important season for Kim, which could well turn into a breakthrough year for the young man. Even with it being this early in this season, his stats are still impressive and if he gets off the tee sufficiently he will be a big threat. I have my eye on him for The Open later in the year, he just seems a great Links player so 25/1 on him is enough for me, especially as he is used to battling with the top players come Sunday.
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I think it would be silly not to back Nick Taylor after a win and a second-place finish in the last 2 years here. It's quite clear he likes the course and has proved he can handle the atmosphere and pressure at TPC Scottsdale.
The Canadian already has a win this season at the Sony Open in Hawaii and has had a pretty decent season so far. His all-round stats don't completely jump off the page to suggest he would be great around this golf course but he's proved he can do it and with it being firmer this year I don't think the score will be as low as last year so Putting and Approach to the green will be important, something he's very solid at.
Having already won this season, and being the defending champion here, I just think 50/1 is a very nice price to see if he can do it once again.
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Luke Clanton heads to the 2025 WM Phoenix Open knowing he needs to make the cut to gain his PGA Tour Card. The hotshot amateur is in the field thanks to a sponsor exemption and comes here after a 15th place in his most recent start at the Farmers Insurance Open. Clanton has made 8 out of 10 cuts in his short PGA Tour career, twice finishing runner-up along with two other top 10s.
This is his first time playing at TPC Scottsdale but has been put into a group with Justin Thomas and Nick Dunlap. I think this will benefit him massively, especially as Dunlap was the first amateur to win on the PGA Tour since 1991, something Clanton would love to emulate.
Clanton's stats scream out to me for him to go well this week, he's a great putter, he's long off the tee and if he gets his approach play going, I think he will have a good week.
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Andrew Novak just keeps popping up on my radar and once again seems to be getting going this season after missing his first two cuts of the year. A 3rd place at the Farmers Insurance and a T13 last week at Pebble Beach is a good sign.
He had 5 top 10s and one runner-up finish in 2024 and is now up to 75th in the World Golf Rankings. For me, he's knocking on the door for that first PGA Tour win and his stats certainly suggest that he could do it here. Novak is ranked 18th in Strokes Gained (Total), 47th in Strokes gained (Putting), 37th in Strokes Gained (Tee to Green), and 31st in Strokes Gained (Around the Green). All of this data suggests to me he has the tools to cope with the potential firm conditions and especially with his recent form, he looks ready to capture that elusive first career victory.
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The best odds for the top 10 favourites to win the Phoenix Open at the time of these tips. (05/02/25)
💻 Bookmaker | 🚹 Player | 📊 Odds | Place Bet |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Scottie Scheffler | 3/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Justin Thomas | 16/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Hideki Matsuyama | 16/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Sam Burns | 22/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Sungjae Im | 25/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Jooyung Kim | 30/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Sepp Straka | 40/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Corey Conners | 45/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Sahith Theegala | 50/1 | Back Player |
![]() | Byeong-Hun An | 55/1 | Back Player |
Min. Deposit | £5 |
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Max. Amount | £30 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 30 days |
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Max. Amount | £50 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 7 Days |
Min. Deposit | £5 |
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Max. Amount | £30 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 14 days |
Min. Deposit | £10 |
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Max. Amount | £60 |
Turnover | No wagering* |
Expiration | 30 days |
Min. Deposit | £10 |
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Max. Amount | £20 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 7 days |
Min. Deposit | £10 |
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Max. Amount | £40 |
Turnover | 0x sports, 50x casino |
Expiration | 7 days |
Min. Deposit | £5 |
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Max. Amount | £30 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 7 days |
Min. Deposit | £10 |
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Max. Amount | £30 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 7 days |
Min. Deposit | £10 |
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Max. Amount | £30 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 7 days |
Min. Deposit | £10 |
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Max. Amount | £40 |
Turnover | No wagering |
Expiration | 28 days |
James is a former professional dart player who enjoys writing about darts, golf and football. In 2012, he was crowned the PDC World Youth Champion and these days, he puts his expertise to use with betting tips for BettingLounge readers.