Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 17: Betting Tips and Insight

FPL Gameweek 17
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon Published: 18/12/2025

Fantasy Premier League is one of the biggest football games on the planet, but it can also be a great way to bet, and vice versa. So, we wanted to take a look at some fixtures and also rankings.

Below, you can find a preview of the weekend's fixtures, as well as the players 'most likely' to score, assist and make saves.

Fixture Ranking

It's best to start with the fixtures, and this weekend's games are as follows:

  • Newcastle vs. Chelsea
  • Bournemouth vs. Burnley
  • Brighton vs. Sunderland
  • Manchester City vs. West Ham
  • Wolves vs. Brentford
  • Tottenham vs. Liverpool
  • Everton vs. Arsenal
  • Leeds vs. Crystal Palace
  • Aston Villa vs. Manchester United
  • Fulham vs. Nottingham Forest

For what it is worth, we have also got our Super Six predictions ready, if you would like some further insight into the games. However, this is going to be solely based on statistics, rather than personal predictions, really.

From the Official Fantasy Premier League rankings, the following teams have the easiest fixtures:

  • BOURNEMOUTH vs. Burnley (H)
  • BRENTFORD vs. Wolves (A)
  • BRIGHTON vs. Sunderland (H)
  • FULHAM vs. Nottingham Forest (H)
  • MANCHESTER CITY vs. West Ham (H)
FPL Rating Example

Using the odds from the bookmakers, we can find out the 'implied probability' of different results too, so according to the bookies, we have the following 'most likely' results:

  1. Manchester City to Win vs. West Ham
  2. Bournemouth to Win vs. Burnley
  3. Arsenal to Win vs. Everton
  4. Brighton to Win vs. Sunderland
  5. Nottingham Forest to Win vs. Fulham

Outcome

Manchester City are the most likely team to win this weekend, and I'm struggling to disagree with the bookmakers here. The Irons are in awful form, and the Citizens should be able to cruise past them with ease.

Similar can be said for Bournemouth, who host Burnley this weekend. The Cherries have certainly hit a lull in recent weeks, but they have a chance to turn things around at the weekend after an enthralling draw against Manchester United in midweek.

Arsenal and Brighton are favoured heavily to win as well, but I don't think it'll be as easy as it is being made out to be. In fact, I'd be half tempted to back Sunderland against the Seagulls, 17/4 is tempting.

Brentford also look quite nice against Wolves, I'd be taking a chance on them, certainly.

Betting recommendations: Manchester City, Bournemouth, Brentford

FPL Clubs to target: MCI, BOU, BRE

Clean Sheet Rankings

Whilst a lot of this section is probably similar to the actual fixture rankings, here we're going to be looking at the clubs most likely to keep Clean Sheets. As you would expect, many of the 'easier' fixtures also have lower Clean Sheet Odds.

So, taking the outcome from 'Exact' goals from all 10 Premier League games this weekend, we have found the highest and lowest odds.

The team most likely to keep a clean sheet this weekend is Manchester City, and their odds are 11/10, which is almost 47.62%.

Following them, Arsenal (vs. Everton) have a 46.51% chance, whilst Bournemouth (vs. Burnley) have a 43.48% chance each of a clean sheet.

At the other end of the spectrum, it won't come as a surprise that West Ham are the most likely to concede a goal this weekend, with a 7.69% (12/1) likelihood of a clean sheet.

Outcome

Without Illiman Ndiaye, I think Everton will lose a lot of attacking firepower, and Arsenal are already the kings of clean sheets in the league. The odds of them keeping a clean sheet are nice enough, and combining with them to win (or even double chance), could provide some value.

Past them, I struggle to see many clear shots at goalless games. So, that would be my only real fancy. Bournemouth are not as defensively strong as they have been previously. Wolves have shown to be able to score, and Brentford are not the best at keeping clean sheets as well.

So, I'm not too confident of many bets here.

FPL Clubs to target: ARS

Scorer and Assist Bets

It is probably right for this bit to come last, simply based on the fact that we can take the odds from the results and also the list of Clean Sheet odds. So, we're going to target those teams that are seemingly a little more vulnerable.

Here are the complete odds for a clean sheet in the Premier League this weekend, with teams listed alphabetically:

FPL Complete Clean Sheet Spreadsheet GW17

After going through the odds of each player, here are the three most likely players to score or assist for each team this weekend.

The gold shows the highest likelihood of a contribution in the league, whilst the silver and bronze represent second and third. Other highlighted options show the top 10 most likely to contribute across the league:

FPL Complete Goalscorer Assist Spreadsheet GW17

Who should I captain on FPL?

To end things off, let's take a look at the captaincy situation, and it may be one for the outsiders, perhaps.

I think it is a tap-in this weekend, and Erling Haaland will hope to extend his lead at the top of the Premier League top goalscorer charts. Against West Ham, who have conceded 11 in their last six games, he has a great chance of doing so.

FPL Haaland Captain

At 13/8 for a brace or more, the bookmakers are confident of him getting a few, and so am I. If the Norwegian gets a brace, he will probably also get the three bonus points, which would be 11 points alone.

Add on the points for his minutes, and that would be a 13-point haul. So with captaincy, that would be 26.

This may also be the week to Triple Captain if you have not already. There are not many chances before the chips reset, so this may be the time.

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For those looking for the complete list of odds for the games, clean sheets, and contributions, it can be seen below.

FPL Complete Spreadsheet GW17
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon
Last updated: 18/12/2025

Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.

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