Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 15: Betting Tips and Insight

Fantasy Premier League is one of the biggest football games on the planet, but it can also be a great way to bet, and vice versa. So, we wanted to take a look at some fixtures and also rankings.

Below, you can find a preview of the weekend's fixtures, as well as the players 'most likely' to score, assist and make saves.

Fixture Ranking

It's best to start with the fixtures, and this weekend's are as follows:

• Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
• Tottenham vs. Brentford
• Newcastle vs. Burnley
• Manchester City vs. Sunderland
• Everton vs. Forest
• Bournemouth vs. Chelsea
• Leeds vs. Liverpool
• Brighton vs. West Ham
• Fulham vs. Crystal Palace
• Wolves vs. Manchester United

For what it is worth, we have also got our Super Six predictions ready, if you would like some further insight into the games. However, this is going to be solely based on statistics, rather than personal predictions, really.

From the Official Fantasy Premier League rankings, the following teams have the easiest fixtures:

• BRIGHTON vs. West Ham (A) - 2
• EVERTON vs. Nottingham Forest (H) - 2
• MANCHESTER CITY vs. Sunderland (H) - 2
• MANCHESTER UNITED vs. Wolves (A) - 2
• NEWCASTLE UNITED vs. Burnley (H) - 2

Using the odds from the bookmakers, we can find out the 'implied probability' of different results too, so according to the bookies, we have the following 'most likely' results:

1. Manchester City to Win vs. Sunderland
2. Newcastle to Win vs. Burnley
3. Brighton to Win vs. West Ham
4. Everton to Win vs. Nottingham Forest
5. Spurs to Win vs. Brentford

Outcome

I think Manchester City look superb at the moment, but I cannot understand why they are such heavy favourites against Sunderland, who have been one of the best sides in the Premier League so far. I'd be steering clear here at the price.

Newcastle, on the other hand, seem to be clicking and at home to Burnley, this should be a tap in for them. I'd be partnering it with something, but it's not a bad price.

For Brighton, Everton and Spurs, I would not be massively convinced, but with the latter duo above Evens, they are certainly not bad prices. With the Seagulls, I'd be a little wary at 4/7...

Betting recommendations: Newcastle - only clear choice for me...

FPL Clubs to target: NEW

Clean Sheet Rankings

Whilst a lot of this section is probably similar to the actual fixture rankings, here we're going to be looking at the clubs most likely to keep Clean Sheets. As you would expect, many of the 'easier' fixtures also have lower Clean Sheet Odds.

So, taking the outcome from 'Exact' goals from all 10 Premier League games this weekend, we have found the highest and lowest odds.

The teams most likely to keep a clean sheet this weekend are Manchester City and Newcastle United, and their odds are 19/20, which seems strange in both cases. The Citizens should not be so heavily favoured (again), whilst I am shocked that the Magpies are priced so highly...

Following them, Arsenal and Brighton have a 40% chance each of a clean sheet.

At the other end of the spectrum, it may come as a surprise that Sunderland are the most likely to concede a goal this weekend, above Burnley, with a 9.09% (10/1) likelihood of a clean sheet.

Outcome

I think the only team worth looking at is Newcastle here. Again, they should be able to be quite comfortable against the Clarets, so I would not be against a bet for them to win to nil. Elsewhere, if you really want to push the boat out, I think Manchester United could have a decent chance against Wolves...

That being said, I think it'll be a weekend of goals, so the only team I'd have faith in is Newcastle.

FPL Clubs to target: NEW

Scorer and Assist Bets

It is probably right for this bit to come last, simply based on the fact that we can take the odds from the results and also the list of Clean Sheet odds. So, we're going to target those teams that are seemingly a little more vulnerable.

Here are the complete odds for a clean sheet in the Premier League this weekend, with teams listed alphabetically:

From this, we can see that there is a 90.1% chance that Manchester City will score vs. Sunderland, whilst the Black Cats have a 48.72% chance of scoring against the Citizens. In other words, there are several fixtures worth looking at, including the headline one.

After going through the odds of each player, here are the three most likely players to score or assist for each team this weekend.

The gold shows the highest likelihood overall, whilst the silver and bronze represent second and third. Other highlighted options show the top 10 most likely to contribute across the league:

For those looking for the complete list of odds for the games, clean sheets, and contributions, it can be seen below.