Euro 2024: Spain vs France Betting Tips
Tip Overview
If you would like to read our full preview of the game and not just the tips, scroll down or use the table of contents above to navigate.
Spain vs France: Betting Tips Outlined
Ben's Banker
With this section, I like to try and mix the best odds and the best pick, and I think that this pick has a fantastic chance, and at the odds which are being offered, it offers us some fantastic value.
France will not be too welcoming of shots in the box, but if the space opens for Fabian, I think he will gladly act on opportunities to shoot.
Fabian Ruiz to have 0.5+ SOT - 21/10 at Quinnbet
Lamine Yamal to make Over 1.5 fouls - 9/5 at BetUK
My first pick of the evening is going to be Lamine Yamal to make two or more fouls in the game. It is a slightly more risky pick, and this is represented by the odds, but I think there is a good chance with it.
So far in this tournament, Theo Hernandez has won two fouls per game, whilst Yamal has made around 1.3 fouls, but with the Frenchman's tendencies to attack heavily, I think there is a chance that Yamal could make a few attempts to clip him down as Theo looks to progress.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
| Min. Deposit | £10 |
|---|---|
| Max. Amount | £30 |
| Turnover | No wagering |
| Expiration | 7 days |
Under 1.5 goals - 13/8 at BetVictor
So far in this tournament, France have only conceded one goal in ninety minutes - a penalty late on against Poland, and Spain's record is very similar, conceding only two goals in the tournament.
It is a difficult game to call, as at any time France can enter a new gear, but this is something we haven't seen yet this tournament, and Spain will be reluctant to allow them to do so. Additionally, with it being a semi-final, there are likely going to be fewer risks and fewer goals, so under 1.5 is a nice line for me here.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
| Min. Deposit | £10 |
|---|---|
| Max. Amount | £30 |
| Turnover | No wagering |
| Expiration | 7 days |
Fabian Ruiz to have 0.5+ SOT - 21/10 at Quinnbet
When I was looking through the odds, I was shocked to see this price for Fabian Ruiz to have a Shot On Target, but here we are, and we are going to make the most of it.
During the Euros so far, he has averaged 1.2 SOT per game, all from a range of different positions. Spain's midfield is highly fluid, allowing Fabian to progress into the box if the opportunity to do so arises, but he is not afraid of a shot from distance, so I really like this pick.
Get 50% back up to £50 Free Bet & 50 Free Spins
| Min. Deposit | £10 |
|---|---|
| Max. Amount | £50 |
| Turnover | No wagering |
| Expiration | 7 days |
| Bonus Code | 5050 |
Under 7.5 corners - 21/10 at Ladbrokes
Another tipping preview, another corner bet, and again, I am targeting the under line. Although France and Spain win around 10 corners per game between them, their defensive records are outstanding, with only 2.2 (Spain) and 4.8 (France) corners conceded per game, respectively.
Yes, both teams are fantastic at winning corners, but with how few corners there have been in the big fixtures so far, I really like the look of this price, and think it provides some excellent value for us.
Both Teams to Receive 2+ Bookings - 1/1 at Bet365
As it is a semi-final, the stakes are automatically higher, and so players will stop at nothing to make sure their team wins and I really like the look of this pick.
The referee averaged just under four cards per game in the Champions League and is averaging 4.5 per game in the European Championship so far. Additionally, both teams earn more than two yellow cards per game, with 2.6 and 2.4 for Spain and France, respectively. Finally, with Spain averaging almost three cards per game and France earning 1.4, I think this could be a fantastic price at evens.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
| Min. Deposit | £5 |
|---|---|
| Max. Amount | £30 |
| Turnover | No wagering |
| Expiration | 30 days |
Spain vs France: Preview
With the utmost respect, this is arguably the 'stronger' of the two semi-final fixtures this week, and whether this will make a better game to watch as a viewer is yet to be seen. However, there is quality in shovel loads across the pitch, and if both teams are at their best, we could see a fantastic tie.
Spain - Team News and Key Players
I think it is more than fair to suggest that the Spanish are the best team left in the competition, at least in terms of form and dominance.
Throughout the group stage, they were fantastic, scoring goals for fun, and they didn't concede, which established them as one of the favourites for the tournament in play, so to speak. Unsurprisingly, this trend of dominance did not stop in the Round of 16, even if they conceded for the first time.
Of course, you must take a tournament on a game-by-game basis, but you could, perhaps, suggest that they have overcome their biggest obstacle already. Against Germany, you are facing another favourite, with statistics similar to their own, powered by their home crowd, but the Spaniards did not fall.
Instead, they took the lead, and even after conceding, they looked the more likely team to progress, and continued with their onslaught, eventually taking a 2-1 lead and progressing into the semi-final.
So far, Spain have looked comfortable against every opposition. They have not struggled to find a way through different systems or find a way to break down different structures. Additionally, they have not succumbed to pressure on themselves.
Across the pitch, they have a variety of different profiles that make the composition of the team so good, and even if they have players missing through suspension, they will not be missed, not due to their own quality, but due to the quality of other players in their squad.
They come into this fixture against France as the favourites for the game, even if it is only marginally, it is difficult to look the other way. La Roja came into this tournament slightly overlooked, and now, they are the favourites to progress into the final.
If you would like to back Spain to win, you can do so at odds of 9/5 with most of the UK's best football bookmakers.
Possible Spain lineup vs. France (4-3-3): Simon; Navas, Nacho, Laporte, Cucurella; Ruiz, Rodri, Olmo; Lamal, Morata, Williams
France - Team News and Key Players
It is difficult to properly analyse the Blues' performance in this tournament so far because whilst they have progressed to the semi-final, they have not been a standout team in the tournament as we have come to expect with the French National Team in recent years.
That in itself feels like a weird statement to make about a French side reaching their fourth semi-final in five tournaments, but they have not looked as strong as they have done in previous tournaments.
Perhaps this is due to Kylian Mbappe's European Championship curse or his injury - which has hurt his chances of winning the Golden Boot so far. Perhaps they are lacking key players from previous years. Regardless of what the issue is, though, there is an issue, and they needed to find a solution three games ago.
Again, strange writing in itself, but in recent tournaments, the Blues have strutted into the latter stages of the tournament, often getting better with each game, but France have seemingly sleepwalked here, relying on defensive players to make the difference rather than the attacking brilliance of their stars.
Maybe that is being harsh in some way, and they cannot be written off because of their prestige in tournament football, and the stars they have are more than able to change gear at any point, but we have not seen such actions yet.
Didier Deschamps has rarely been tasked with a situation like this, one where his team are, on paper, in a good place, but to the eye, something seems missing. Nevertheless, though, they are in the semi-final and have a very good chance of their first European Championship title in 24 years.
Given the disparity between Spain and France's performances thus far in the tournament, the French are the 'underdogs' (if you can even call them that) for this tie, and you can back them at 11/5 with most UK bookies.
Possible France lineup vs. Spain (4-3-1-2): Maignan; Kounde, Upamecano, Saliba, Hernandez; Rabiot, Tchouameni, Kante; Dembele, Kolo Muani, Mbappe
Accredited football journalist with a focus on Italian football, working for the likes of SempreMilan and Serie A Total. As an avid punter, I enjoy browsing sportsbooks for the best-value bets.