2026 World Cup Winner Betting Odds
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Favourites to Win the 2026 World Cup 2026
- Spain with odds 5/1 on William Hill
- England with odds 13/2 on William Hill
- France with odds 13/2 on BetVictor
- Brazil with odds 7/1 on BetVictor
- Argentina with odds 8/1 on William Hill
- Germany with odds 10/1 on William Hill
- Portugal with odds 12/1 on BetVictor
- Netherlands with odds 20/1 on William Hill
- Italy with odds 25/1 on BetVictor
- Belgium with odds 33/1 on William Hill
Probability to Win the 2026 World Cup
With the outright odds, we can calculate the probability that each team will win the 2026 World Cup.
| Team | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| England | 13/2 | 13.33% |
| France | 13/2 | 13.33% |
| Brazil | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Argentina | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Germany | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Portugal | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Netherlands | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Italy | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Belgium | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Uruguay | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Colombia | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| USA | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Croatia | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Denmark | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Mexico | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Japan | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Morocco | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Norway | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Switzerland | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Canada | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Chile | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Ecuador | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Serbia | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Sweden | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Algeria | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Austria | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Czech Republic | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Egypt | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Paraguay | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Poland | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Senegal | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| South Korea | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Turkey | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Bolivia | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Cameroon | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Ghana | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Greece | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Hungary | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Iran | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Scotland | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tunisia | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Ukraine | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Wales | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Australia | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Nigeria | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Slovenia | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Venezuela | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Bulgaria | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| China | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Costa Rica | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Finland | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Honduras | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Israel | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Jamaica | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| New Zealand | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Republic of Ireland | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Saudi Arabia | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Slovakia | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| South Africa | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| UAE | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| DR Congo | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Georgia | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Kazakhstan | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| North Macedonia | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Northern Ireland | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Panama | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Peru | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Qatar | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
| Albania | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Romania | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
| Cyprus | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
| Kosovo | 5000/1 | 0.02% |
| Gibraltar | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| Malta | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
| San Marino | 7500/1 | 0.01% |
Who is the Favourite to Win the 2026 World Cup?
As of 3 September 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to win the 2026 World Cup is Spain, best priced at 5/1 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Spain to be the winner of the World Cup is 16.67%.
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