Compare the latest odds for the 2025/26 Serie A relegation race below.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
![]() | 4/6 | 60.00% |
![]() | 1/1 | 50.00% |
![]() | 11/10 | 47.62% |
![]() | 7/4 | 36.36% |
![]() | 7/4 | 36.36% |
![]() | 9/4 | 30.77% |
![]() | 7/2 | 22.22% |
![]() | 9/2 | 18.18% |
![]() | 6/1 | 14.29% |
![]() | 6/1 | 14.29% |
![]() | 40/1 | 2.44% |
![]() | 40/1 | 2.44% |
![]() | 40/1 | 2.44% |
![]() | 40/1 | 2.44% |
![]() | 100/1 | 0.99% |
![]() | 250/1 | 0.40% |
![]() | 250/1 | 0.40% |
![]() | 500/1 | 0.20% |
![]() | 500/1 | 0.20% |
![]() | 500/1 | 0.20% |
As of 9 September 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from Serie A is Pisa, best priced at 4/6 with Bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Pisa to be relegated is 60.00%.
With the top end of the table looked at, now we need to look at the bottom side of the division, and there are some interesting teams in the relegation picture, in my eyes.
At the bottom end, we're going to start with Cremonese, who are the favourites to be relegated from Serie A this season. There have been some interesting signings made, including Jari Vandeputte and Federico Baschirotto.
However, whether they will be able to compete with the step up from Serie B is another thing entirely. Unfortunately for them, I just don't think they will be able to, and the drop could be waiting.
A lot of the same could be said for Pisa, who have also joined Cremonese back in the top flight. However, there has already been a managerial change, with Pippo Inzaghi being replaced by Alberto Gilardino.
The step-up to Serie A is only getting bigger and more difficult, and I think that we could possibly see another team yo-yo this season.
The final choice is a bit difficult. Whilst I think Sassuolo will not do superbly, I do not think that they will go down. Last season, the race at the bottom of the division was rather intriguing, and that will probably remain the case this time around, so there could be several teams involved.
Finally, I think that Lecce could struggle, and I am surprised that they are not being linked more heavily with the drop. They were involved in the relegation dog fight last season, and they have not really re-invested the funds that have come into the club in the past 12 months.
There is money there to spend and for some reason, it has not been. So, I think that this could potentially haunt them this season. Francesco Camarda is a nice addition, but putting the faith of safety on his shoulders might be a bit too much too soon, even if he is probably Italian football's next big thing.
The bottom three teams in Serie A at the end of the season are relegated to Serie B, replaced by the top two teams and the play-off winner of the second tier. Serie A recently changed the rules for tiebreakers as well, which apply to both the relegation and title fight. If two teams finish on the same points, it will be decided by a one-off clash instead of going by goal difference or head-to-head.
This actually happened in the 2022/23 season of Serie A, when Hellas Verona and Spezia finished on the same points. The do-or-die clash took place at neutral ground, more specifically at Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium, and Verona prevailed 3-1 after four goals in the first half. The Bentegodi side thus escaped relegation, while Spezia failed to do so.