Monza, Venezia and Empoli were relegated in the 2024-25 edition of Serie A.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Cremonese | 5/6 | 54.55% |
Pisa | 1/1 | 50.00% |
Verona | 33/20 | 37.74% |
Sassuolo | 2/1 | 33.33% |
Cagliari | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Lecce | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Parma | 3/1 | 25.00% |
Genoa | 7/2 | 22.22% |
Udinese | 5/1 | 16.67% |
Torino | 13/2 | 13.33% |
Lazio | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Como 1907 | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Fiorentina | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Bologna | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Atalanta | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Inter Milan | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Roma | 250/1 | 0.40% |
AC Milan | 350/1 | 0.28% |
Juventus | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Napoli | 500/1 | 0.20% |
As of 19 August 2025, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from Serie A is Cremonese, best priced at 5/6 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Cremonese to be relegated is 54.55%.
The bottom three teams in Serie A at the end of the season are relegated to Serie B, replaced by the top two teams and the play-off winner of the second tier. Serie A recently changed the rules for tiebreakers as well, which apply to both the relegation and title fight. If two teams finish on the same points, it will be decided by a one-off clash instead of going by goal difference or head-to-head.
This actually happened in the 2022/23 season of Serie A, when Hellas Verona and Spezia finished on the same points. The do-or-die clash took place at neutral ground, more specifically at Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium, and Verona prevailed 3-1 after four goals in the first half. The Bentegodi side thus escaped relegation, while Spezia failed to do so.