Below are the latest and best odds for relegation from the English Premier League for the 2024/25 season.
With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that a team will get relegated according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Southampton | 1/16 | 94.12% |
Ipswich | 8/13 | 61.90% |
Leicester | 2/3 | 60.00% |
Wolverhampton | 5/6 | 54.55% |
Everton | 7/2 | 22.22% |
Man City | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Crystal Palace | 12/1 | 7.69% |
West Ham | 20/1 | 4.76% |
Brentford | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Nottingham Forest | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Brighton | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Chelsea | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Fulham | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Bournemouth | 400/1 | 0.25% |
Aston Villa | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Man Utd | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Newcastle | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Tottenham | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Arsenal | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
Liverpool | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
As of 21 December 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to get relegated from the English Premier League is Southampton, best priced at 1/16 with BetVictor.
The odds mean that the probability for Southampton to get relegated is 94.12%.
The relegation picture this season is really tricky to call this season, because there are probably five teams that will be in the picture, and I feel there are two spots to take - which we'll get to.
However, the Premier League often delivers shocks, so perhaps the relegation battle will offer us one.
In my eyes, the dead cert to get relegated is Leicester City, and there are several reasons for this. During last season, there were rumblings about a potential points deduction awaiting the Foxes on their Premier League return, and whilst there hasn't been an update yet, it is expected to be a major one, and I just think it'll be too much for them to deal with, so for me, the drop awaits them.
After Leicester, there's not really a standout in my brain because there are a few teams that could struggle.
Arguments can be made about Ipswich and Southampton, and whether they have the quality in their team to stay up, and you can argue that both have some factors that could see them stay in the division past next season. Both teams have fantastic managers, and they have built upon last season's foundations, rather than starting afresh.
However, in both cases, you have to question if they have enough strength to step up to the top division.
Then, there is Nottingham Forest and Everton. The Reds, I feel, are a team that are still yet to embrace the step up to the Premier League, and I think their team still has weak points.
Looking at Everton, they are a team with seemingly constant problems, but they have a fantastic manager in Sean Dyche. Either way, I think they'll be involved at the bottom end in some capacity.
If you are interested in more PL outright bets, check out my full Premier League outright predictions article for my tips on the winner, top four, top goalscorer and more.
Man City are currently best priced at 16/1 to get relegated from the Premier League in the 2024/25 season and as short as 8/1 with BetVictor. Bear in mind they are also best priced at 6/4 to win the title and as short as 10/11 with some bookies.
So, why are Man City's odds so short for relegation? The bookmakers seem to be protecting themselves from the 115 charges against City. It is not even certain if Man City will be punished or found guilty, but the independent commission's powers are limitless, and they could impose serious punishments.
This includes kicking them out of the Premier League, a huge points deduction, a massive fine, or both. The PSR legal trial is set to start in the Autumn of 2024, but the verdict might not come until Summer 2025. So, really, it should not affect this season's relegation odds. But the bookmakers are taking no risks, and the odds make that very clear.
If they are to get relegated, you would think Pep would leave so maybe there is some value in the next Man City manager odds that are available on a few UK bookmakers.