With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that a team will win the Champions League, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Liverpool | 4/1 | 20.00% |
Arsenal | 6/1 | 14.29% |
Real Madrid | 6/1 | 14.29% |
Barcelona | 13/2 | 13.33% |
Man City | 7/1 | 12.50% |
Bayern Munich | 8/1 | 11.11% |
Inter Milan | 16/1 | 5.88% |
Bayer Leverkusen | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Atalanta | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Aston Villa | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Atletico Madrid | 40/1 | 2.44% |
PSG | 40/1 | 2.44% |
AC Milan | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Juventus | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Borussia Dortmund | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Sporting Lisbon | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Benfica | 125/1 | 0.79% |
Lille | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Monaco | 150/1 | 0.66% |
PSV | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Brest | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Celtic | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Feyenoord | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Vfb Stuttgart | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Club Brugge | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Shakhtar Donetsk | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Girona | 2000/1 | 0.05% |
Bologna | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Dinamo Zagreb | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
SK Sturm Graz | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Salzburg | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Sparta Prague | 2500/1 | 0.04% |
Crvena Zvezda | 4500/1 | 0.02% |
As of 30 December 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win the Champions League 24/25 is Liverpool, best priced at 4/1 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Liverpool to win is 20.00%.
When it comes to betting on the Champions League, there are always numerous considerations to make, and in some ways, it is more difficult than predicting the winner of domestic leagues. However, we can still make some good predictions.
The past two finals sum up perfectly what is meant by the introduction paragraph. In the 2022/23 Champions League final, Inter faced Manchester City and the latter won the tournament, as expected before the season began. Last season, Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund, once again, as expected before the season.
However, neither Inter nor Borussia Dortmund were expected to reach the latter stages of the competition, let alone the final. So this is where predicting things can get difficult - we'll include some of these teams in the 'Top 8' section.
For me, there are only two teams that I could confidently say I could see them winning the Champions League. Yes, they are boring answers, but they are the best two teams in football currently.
That means we're going with Shakhtar Donetsk and Crvena Zvezda. Just kidding, it's Manchester City and Real Madrid.
Starting with City, they were beaten by last year's winners, Real, in the quarter-finals on penalties. Had they won that game, they probably would have gone on to win the tournament for the second year in a row.
Off the pitch, they are beginning their Premier League hearing, but Pep Guardiola will be able to quieten the noise. In his hands, he has one of the best squads that the Premier League has ever seen, led by one of the best strikers that the League has seen.
The other glaringly obvious option is Real Madrid, and after winning it last season, they would be favourites to win it again automatically. Then, they added Kylian Mbappe to the squad, and their chances have increased.
Even before adding the Frenchman, their chances were superb, but they have added further quality, and this is only a good thing for Carlo Ancelotti. Perhaps, we are witnessing the rise of a new era of Galacticos, and another Champions League title would only add to that.
Yes, they are easy picks. Yes, they are boring picks. But they are good picks to win the Champions League, and they would not be the bookies favourites by the margin they are, unless they were that good.
The Champions League remains one of the most prestigious tournaments in the football world, frequently used as a yardstick to determine how big a club is. Powerhouses such as Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain are yet to lift the trophy, while Man City succeeded for the first time in 2022/23 after many years of desperately trying.
In other words, despite the recent talks of a new 'Super League' for top European clubs, the Champions League remains the undisputed frontrunner when it comes to prestige and honour. Not to mention that the winner gets a huge chunk of money for taking it all home, which cannot be said for its little brother the Europa League.
Since all the participating teams - and especially the players - know the meaning of the trophy, it makes for an exciting knockout stage and there are bound to be some surprises this year as well.
Read the latest Champions League betting tips and previews from our expert tipsters below.