PDC World Darts Championship: Day 11 Betting Tips - Afternoon Session

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James Hubbard Published: 27/12/2024

Day 11 of the PDC World Championship and this afternoon looks on paper like we have three very interesting and evenly matched ties.

First up ‘Relentless’ Ryan Joyce takes to the stage and he has certainly played very much like his nickname in this tournament after 2 solid displays so far but faces a very tough task today against the always dangerous Ryan Searle.

Next up two players who have had very poor seasons in the Players Championship floor events but both have come alive at Ally Pally.

Scott Williams is into the last 32 for the second year on the bounce and he faces the very solid German Ricardo Pietreczko which for me looks like the tie of the afternoon.

Rounding off the afternoon, Nathan Aspinall continues his comeback from injury and will play former UK Open champion, Andrew Gilding.

James Hubbard's PDC World Darts Championship Day 11 (Afternoon session)

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Ryan Joyce vs Ryan Searle

  • Ryan Searle Most 180s and Win: 7/5 at BoyleSports
  • Over 5.5 Sets: 4/6 at BetVictor

Ryan Joyce has made it to the last 32 for the first time since 2019 after navigating his way through two very tricky matches.

First round he beat Darius Labanauskas 3-1 with a 92.97 average and in the second round he defied eight 180s on his way past the highly fancied Dutchman Danny Noppert, 3-1 with a 93.88 average.

Joyce certainly hasn't had it easy and he’ll need to continue the way he’s been playing to get past Ryan Searle. 

The Geordie in my opinion is one of the most underrated players on tour and always seems to go under the radar.

He had a good end to the season in the TV Majors this year, reaching the Semi-Finals of the World Grand Prix, and last 16 of the Grand Slam and came through his group that featured both Gary Anderson and Michael Van Gerwen.

He also had a quarter-final run in the recent Players Championship Finals and has carried that form to the Ally Pally and has come into this tournament under the radar once again, whilst looking extremely dangerous. 

Ryan Searle made short work of his opening match at this year's World Championship, producing a brilliant performance against Matt Campbell. He beat the Canadian 3-0 with a 99.38 average and only dropped one leg during a dominating performance. 

In my opinion, Ryan Searle is a player made to be in the Premier League, he’s fast, entertaining and scores very heavily when he's on form.

The problem at the moment though is his TV form in the Majors which has been very surprising. ‘Heavy Metal’ has lost in the first round of three Majors this season with his best run being to the last 16 twice, at the Matchplay and European Championships.

There's absolutely no doubting his ability but he needs to get his scoring and finishing working in sync again to start troubling the best players in the World on TV.

This looks to be a very interesting tie with both players looking settled at Ally Pally this year. The stats suggest the 180 market once again is where the value lies.

Ryan Joyce has only managed to hit three 180s in 8 sets this year whilst Ryan Searle hit four 180s in 3 sets in his first game. Equally, the amount of maximums hit on tour this year suggests value as Joyce is 68th with a 0.21 per leg strike rate, whilst Searle remains a big scorer and sits 27th over the season at a 0.27 per leg strike rate.

This indicates to me that Searle will hit more 180s and I expect him to be too strong for ‘Relentless’ here, but it will certainly be a battle and should go 6 sets or possibly more.

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Scott Williams vs Ricardo Pietreczko

  • Scott Williams Over 7.5 180s: 1/1 at William Hill
  • Scott Williams Most 180s & Win Match: 11/10 at BoyleSports

Scott Williams has looked completely at home on that stage again this year and had arguably one of the performances of the first round beating the talented Niko Springer 3-1 with a 96.24 average.

He followed that up with a brilliant win against the world number 5 Rob Cross 3-1 with an 87.90 average.

It wasn't the same performance level as he had in the first round but Cross and Williams are best friends and practice partners away from the oche so it couldn't be easy playing each other.

‘Shaggy’ plays his best darts on that stage when he’s arrogant and conducting the crowd and against Cross he showed him fair too much respect and looked very flat so he will need to change that in this match if he's to get past the solid German.

Ricardo Pietreczko has been so solid in this year’s World Championship which has been a little surprising after his poor season.

First round he came through 3-0 against the very talented Xiao Chen Zong and then beat the highly fancied young Dutchman, Gian van Veen 3-1 with a 91.64 average.

That result was definitely a bit of an upset as Van Veen has been so impressive on TV recently but Pietreczko’s finishing was unbelievable and that’s backed up by his 56% checkout rate.

‘Pikachu’ has always been a better player on the big stage than what he is on the floor and once again this year at Ally Pally he’s proving that.

He reached the final of the Flanders Darts Trophy on the Euro Tour and the Quarter Final of the European Championship but failed to qualify for the Players Championship Finals which highlights the difference of his performance levels from the floor to TV.

This match has the potential to be a really feisty encounter because both players can be fiery and arrogant on that stage.

It’s never a bad thing to be like that but sometimes it can cause a bit of needle which I think Williams would cope with better than Pietreczko.

Scott Williams has hit 13 180s in 2 matches so once again there's value in the maximum market on him especially as I can see this potentially going the distance.

Pietreczko has never been past this stage at the World Championship but Williams has after his magical run to the Semi-Finals last year. I think that will probably be the difference here but it will be a very close match.

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Nathan Aspinall vs Andrew Gilding

  • Andrew Gilding To Win: 9/5 at AKBets
  • Andrew Gilding Most 180s: 16/5 at Betfair

Nathan Aspinall continues his return from injury after a 3-1 second-round victory over the dangerous American, Leonard Gates.

‘The Asp’ looked as if he was still struggling slightly with his rhythm and that's something he really needs to eradicate in order to push on in this tournament.

He only averaged 88.03 but it was enough to get the job done and winning on TV again should do him the world of good. He played great in the Premier League earlier in the season and finished 5th, only just missing out on the Playoffs.

He definitely needs a good run here if he's to be selected for the Premier League again but I don't think that will play on his mind as he’s just trying to get his career back on track.

Aspinall made back-to-back Semi Finals in 2019 and 2020 at Ally Pally and he will need to draw on that experience to get past Gilding.

Andrew Gilding produced another solid performance in the first round, overcoming the recent Grand Slam Finalist Martin Lukeman 3-1.

He looked a little erratic early in the match but settled down and played really well in the last few sets. ‘Goldfinger’ hit six 180s and averaged 92.65 which is very similar to his seasonal average.

He had an impressive run to the Quarter Final of the World Matchplay earlier in the year and is a previous Major winner so has plenty of experience on the big stage.

He hasn't made it past the last 32 in 5 previous appearances at Ally Pally but has another opportunity here to break new ground.

The biggest issue that stands out for me in this match is Aspinall’s consistency. Since his injury and dartitis concerns, he just isn't quite as reliable at the moment so I think Gilding will be too consistent for him.

Gilding also hit six 180s in his first round including four in the last set, whilst Aspinall only had 3. Aspinall when he's on form is a prolific maximum hitter but right now I'm not so sure and the price on Gilding is way too big for me.

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James Hubbard BL style
James Hubbard
Last updated: 27/12/2024

James is a former professional dart player who enjoys writing about darts, golf and football. In 2012, he was crowned the PDC World Youth Champion and these days, he puts his expertise to use with betting tips for BettingLounge readers.