Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 23: Betting Tips and Insight

Fantasy Premier League is one of the biggest football games on the planet, but it can also be a great way to bet, and vice versa. So, we wanted to take a look at some fixtures and also rankings.

Below, you can find a preview of the weekend's fixtures, as well as the players 'most likely' to score, assist and make saves.

Fixture Ranking

It's best to start with the fixtures, and this weekend's games are as follows:

• West Ham vs. Sunderland
• Manchester City vs. Wolves
• Fulham vs. Brighton
• Burnley vs. Tottenham
• Bournemouth vs. Liverpool
• Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa
• Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea
• Brentford vs. Forest
• Arsenal vs. Manchester United
• Everton vs. Leeds

For what it is worth, we have also got our Super Six predictions ready, if you would like some further insight into the games. However, this is going to be solely based on statistics, rather than personal predictions, really.

From the Official Fantasy Premier League rankings, the following teams have the easiest fixtures:

• BRENTFORD vs. Nottingham Forest (H) - 2
• EVERTON vs. Leeds (H) - 2
• MANCHESTER CITY vs. Wolves (H) - 2
• SPURS vs. Burnley (A) - 2
• SUNDERLAND vs. West Ham (A) - 2
• WEST HAM vs. Sunderland (H) - 2

Using the odds from the bookmakers, we can find out the 'implied probability' of different results too, so according to the bookies, we have the following 'most likely' results:

1. Manchester City to Win vs. Wolves
2. Arsenal to Win vs. Manchester United
3. Liverpool to Win vs. Bournemouth
4. Brentford to Win vs. Nottingham Forest
5. Newcastle United to Win vs. Aston Villa

Outcome

The most obvious fixture this weekend is Manchester City to beat Wolves, and the odds are certainly nicer than they could have been from a betting perspective. In a multi, it could be a nice boost.

Arsenal against Manchester United is a game that I'll be steering clear of personally, at least in terms of results. The odds are not good enough for the risk of what the Red Devils may be, so for me, it is an avoid.

Similar could be said for the other three favourites this weekend, Liverpool are back on a better track than in recent months, but I'm still wary. Brentford, admittedly, do look quite strong currently, so maybe that is worth a look.

However, I think betting on the Newcastle game may be slightly too risky, at least for me...

With that said, though. I quite like the look of Spurs against Burnley and 28/25 is a nice price. Additionally, Sunderland should be stronger after AFCON's conclusion; 19/10 for them to beat West Ham is quite tempting. Whilst I think Chelsea could also get a big result against a dysfunctional Crystal Palace team...

Betting recommendations: Manchester City, Brentford, Spurs, Chelsea, Sunderland

FPL Clubs to target: MCI, BRE, TOT

Clean Sheet Rankings

Whilst a lot of this section is probably similar to the actual fixture rankings, here we're going to be looking at the clubs most likely to keep Clean Sheets. As you would expect, many of the 'easier' fixtures also have lower Clean Sheet Odds.

So, taking the outcome from 'Exact' goals from all 10 Premier League games this weekend, we have found the highest and lowest odds.

The team most likely to keep a clean sheet this weekend is Manchester City, and their odds are 21/20, which is a 48.78% chance.

Following them, Arsenal (vs. Manchester United) have a 41.67% chance, whilst Brentford (vs. Nottingham Forest) have a 38.10% chance each of a clean sheet.

At the other end of the spectrum, it won't come as a surprise that Wolves are the most likely to concede a goal this weekend, with a 7.69% (12/1) likelihood of a clean sheet.

Outcome

Above Evens for a Manchester City clean sheet this weekend could look like a gift. However, their form makes it understandable why this is the case. A win-to-nil bet could be a nice one, but I'd be dubious.

I'd refer back to my doubts about Arsenal this weekend, so that would be one to steer clear of for me.

Brentford's chances of a clean sheet look really nice, I must say. Forest's recent xG performances look poor, and Brentford have really strengthened their defence, so 13/8 looks solid.

Finally, I think, as bad as Spurs have been recently, you cannot overlook their chances of a clean sheet this weekend. 17/10 looks to be a nice price...

Betting recommendations: Manchester City, Brentford, Spurs

FPL Clubs to target: MCI

Scorer and Assist Bets

It is probably right for this bit to come last, simply based on the fact that we can take the odds from the results and also the list of Clean Sheet odds. So, we're going to target those teams that are seemingly a little more vulnerable.

Here are the complete odds for a clean sheet in the Premier League this weekend, with teams listed alphabetically:

After going through the odds of each player, here are the three most likely players to score or assist for each team this weekend.

The gold shows the highest likelihood of a contribution in the league, whilst the silver and bronze represent second and third. Other highlighted options show the top 10 most likely to contribute across the league:

For those looking for the complete list of odds for the games, clean sheets, and contributions, it can be seen below.