Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 16: Betting Tips and Insight

FPL GW16 Insight
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon Published: 12/12/2025

Fantasy Premier League is one of the biggest football games on the planet, but it can also be a great way to bet, and vice versa. So, we wanted to take a look at some fixtures and also rankings.

Below, you can find a preview of the weekend's fixtures, as well as the players 'most likely' to score, assist and make saves.

Fixture Ranking

It's best to start with the fixtures, and this weekend's games are as follows:

  • Chelsea vs. Everton
  • Liverpool vs. Brighton
  • Burnley vs. Fulham
  • Arsenal vs. Wolves
  • Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City
  • Nottingham Forest vs. Spurs
  • Sunderland vs. Newcastle
  • West Ham vs. Aston Villa
  • Brentford vs. Leeds
  • Manchester United vs. Bournemouth

For what it is worth, we have also got our Super Six predictions ready, if you would like some further insight into the games. However, this is going to be solely based on statistics, rather than personal predictions, really.

From the Official Fantasy Premier League rankings, the following teams have the easiest fixtures:

  • ARSENAL vs. Wolves (H) - 2
  • ASTON VILLA vs. West Ham (A) - 2
  • BRENTFORD vs. Leeds (H) - 2
  • BURNLEY vs. Fulham (H) - 2
  • CHELSEA vs. Everton (H) - 2
  • FULHAM vs. Burnley (A) - 2
FPL Rating Example

Using the odds from the bookmakers, we can find out the 'implied probability' of different results too, so according to the bookies, we have the following 'most likely' results:

  1. Arsenal to Win vs. Wolves
  2. Chelsea to Win vs. Everton
  3. Liverpool to Win vs. Brighton
  4. Manchester City to Win vs. Crystal Palace
  5. Manchester United to Win vs. Bournemouth

Outcome

For me, holes can be picked in the odds of our favourites this weekend, and it makes me reluctant to really back any of them. Arsenal are the only case where I'd feel fine backing them, but the price offers so little value.

Chelsea to beat Everton at home is understandable, but they are a really short price for me. If they were closer to Evens, I'd be more willing, indeed. The same can also be said for Liverpool, who are the wrong side of Evens for me.

Manchester City should be fine against Palace, and I'd expect them to get through that game, but below Evens away from home is not fantastic. The same can be said for Manchester United, too, but they are the wrong side of Evens.

Betting recommendations: Arsenal - the only clear choice for me...

FPL Clubs to target: ARS

Clean Sheet Rankings

Whilst a lot of this section is probably similar to the actual fixture rankings, here we're going to be looking at the clubs most likely to keep Clean Sheets. As you would expect, many of the 'easier' fixtures also have lower Clean Sheet Odds.

So, taking the outcome from 'Exact' goals from all 10 Premier League games this weekend, we have found the highest and lowest odds.

The team most likely to keep a clean sheet this weekend is Arsenal (is anyone surprised?), and their odds are 4/9, which is almost 70%.

Following them, Chelsea (vs. Everton) have a 41.67% chance, whilst Fulham (vs. Burnley) have a 38.10% chance each of a clean sheet.

At the other end of the spectrum, it won't come as a surprise that Wolves are the most likely to concede a goal this weekend, with a 7.69% (12/1) likelihood of a clean sheet.

Outcome

Arsenal are the most obvious case for a clean sheet in a long time, and combining it with winning could give a decent odds boost. Fulham have a nice fixture against Burnley, but I would not be so sure of a clean sheet.

I think it'll be another weekend of goals.

FPL Clubs to target: NEW

Scorer and Assist Bets

It is probably right for this bit to come last, simply based on the fact that we can take the odds from the results and also the list of Clean Sheet odds. So, we're going to target those teams that are seemingly a little more vulnerable.

Here are the complete odds for a clean sheet in the Premier League this weekend, with teams listed alphabetically:

FPL GW16 Clean Sheet Statistics

After going through the odds of each player, here are the three most likely players to score or assist for each team this weekend.

The gold shows the highest likelihood of a contribution in the league, whilst the silver and bronze represent second and third. Other highlighted options show the top 10 most likely to contribute across the league:

FPL GW16 Scorer/Assist Statistics

Who should I captain on FPL?

To end things off, let's take a look at the captaincy situation, and it may be one for the outsiders, perhaps.

It is probably the easiest case of a captain in a while. Erling Haaland has a tough fixture, and Mo Salah's situation at Liverpool means he is not a guaranteed starter. So, we head to Arsenal, where Bukayo Saka looks the obvious choice.

The winger has been a little quiet this season, but he should be in a great position for contributions this weekend against a really poor Wolves side. With him classed as a midfielder, the points he would get for contributions will be raised.

So, I think he will get at least an assist and more than the hour needed for points. In this case, we would be looking at least seven points (presuming he gets a bonus too), or 14 with captaincy. I would not be surprised to see him get higher, though.

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For those looking for the complete list of odds for the games, clean sheets, and contributions, it can be seen below.

FPL GW16 Cheat Sheet
Ben Dixon
Ben Dixon
Last updated: 12/12/2025

Ben is an accredited football journalist who follows anything from League One to Serie A, also working for the likes of SempreMilan and Total Italian Football. As an avid punter, he has become the master tester at BettingLounge, refusing to take bookies by their words when it comes to withdrawal times and much more.

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