Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 13: Betting Tips and Insight

Fantasy Premier League is one of the biggest football games on the planet, but it can also be a great way to bet, and vice versa. So, we wanted to take a look at some fixtures and also rankings.

Below, you can find a preview of the weekend's fixtures, as well as the players 'most likely' to score, assist and make saves.

Fixture Ranking

It's best to start with the fixtures, and this weekend's are as follows:

• Brentford vs. Burnley
• Manchester City vs. Leeds
• Sunderland vs. Bournemouth
• Everton vs. Newcastle
• Tottenham vs. Fulham
• Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United
• Aston Villa vs. Wolves
• Forest vs. Brighton
• West Ham vs. Liverpool
• Chelsea vs. Arsenal

For what it is worth, we have also got our Super Six predictions ready, if you would like some further insight into the games. However, this is going to be solely based on statistics, rather than personal predictions, really.

From the Official Fantasy Premier League rankings, the following teams have the easiest fixtures:

• ASTON VILLA vs. Wolves (H) - 2
• BRENTFORD vs. Burnley (H) - 2
• LIVERPOOL vs. West Ham (A) - 2
• MANCHESTER CITY vs. Leeds United (H) - 2
• SPURS vs. Fulham (H) - 2

Using the odds from the bookmakers, we can find out the 'implied probability' of different results too, so according to the bookies, we have the following 'most likely' results:

1. Manchester City to Win vs. Leeds
2. Brentford to Win vs. Burnley
3. Aston Villa to Win vs. Wolves
4. Liverpool to Win vs. West Ham
5. Spurs to Win vs. Fulham

Outcome

Manchester City should win quite convincingly against Leeds this weekend, despite the fact that they lost in midweek. They are a class above the Whites, and there should be no issues at the Etihad.

Brentford should also have no issues against Leeds. The Bees have not been excellent this season, but they have shown some bright sparks. Aston Villa should also get through their game against Wolves quite easily.

I'd be wary of Liverpool and Tottenham's chances, especially at the prices which they are. The Reds look vulnerable, and I don't think Spurs will find it easy against Fulham.

Betting recommendations: Manchester City, Brentford, Aston Villa

FPL Clubs to target: MCI, BRE, AST

Clean Sheet Rankings

Whilst a lot of this section is probably similar to the actual fixture rankings, here we're going to be looking at the clubs most likely to keep Clean Sheets. As you would expect, many of the 'easier' fixtures also have lower Clean Sheet Odds.

So, taking the outcome from 'Exact' goals from all 10 Premier League games this weekend, we have found the highest and lowest odds.

The team most likely to keep a clean sheet this weekend, which is maybe a bit shocking, is Manchester City, and their odds are 17/20, which seems about right, all things considered. They have a 54.05% chance of a clean sheet, according to the odds.

Following them, Brentford have a 46.51% chance of a clean sheet against Burnley. Aston Villa follow, being priced at 6/5 for a clean sheet at the weekend, which is actually higher than I expected.

At the other end of the spectrum, it will come as no surprise that Leeds United are the most likely to concede a goal this weekend, with a 9.09% (10/1) likelihood of a clean sheet.

Outcome

Adding Manchester City to win to Nil against Leeds could be a decent way to boost value, and it should be fairly comfortable for them. Then, I think adding the same market to the Aston Villa game could be interesting, as well.

Barring them, I think it could be a pretty goal-heavy weekend.

FPL Clubs to target: MCI, AST

Scorer and Assist Bets

It is probably right for this bit to come last, simply based on the fact that we can take the odds from the results and also the list of Clean Sheet odds. So, we're going to target those teams that are seemingly a little more vulnerable.

Here are the complete odds for a clean sheet in the Premier League this weekend, with teams listed alphabetically:

From this, we can see that there is a 90.1% chance that Manchester City will score vs. Leeds United, whilst the Whites have a 45.95% chance of scoring against the Sky Blues. In other words, there are several fixtures worth looking at, including the headline one.

After going through the odds of each player, though, here are the most likely 10 players to score or assist this weekend:

1. Erling Haaland (MCI) vs Leeds - 75%
2. Mo Salah (LIV) vs West Ham - 60%
3. Igor Thiago (BRE) vs Burnley - 57.89%
4. Ollie Watkins (AST) vs Wolves - 57.14%
5. Alexander Isak (LIV) vs West Ham - 55.56%
6. Hugo Ekitike (LIV) vs West Ham - 55.56%
7. Jean-Philippe Mateta (CRY) vs Manchester United - 54.55%
8. Phil Foden (MCI) vs Leeds - 50.00%
9. Savio (MCI) vs Leeds - 48.78%
10. Bryan Mbeumo (MUN) vs Crystal Palace - 48.78%

For those looking for the complete list of odds for the games, clean sheets, and contributions, it can be seen below.