Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 12: Betting Tips and Insight

Fantasy Premier League is one of the biggest football games on the planet, but it can also be a great way to bet, and vice versa. So, we wanted to take a look at some fixtures and also rankings.

Below, you can find a preview of the weekend's fixtures, as well as the players 'most likely' to score, assist and make saves.

Fixture Ranking

It's best to start with the fixtures, and this weekend's are as follows:

• Burnley vs. Chelsea
• Bournemouth vs. West Ham
• Brighton vs. Brentford
• Fulham vs. Sunderland
• Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest
• Wolves vs. Crystal Palace
• Newcastle vs. Manchester City
• Leeds vs. Aston Villa
• Arsenal vs. Spurs
• Manchester United vs. Everton

For what it is worth, we have also got our Super Six predictions ready, if you would like some further insight into the games. However, this is going to be solely based on statistics, rather than personal predictions, really.

From the Official Fantasy Premier League rankings, the following teams have the easiest fixtures:

• BOURNEMOUTH vs. West Ham (H) - 2
• CHELSEA vs. Burnley (A) - 2
• CRYSTAL PALACE vs. Wolves (A) - 2
• FULHAM vs. Sunderland (H) - 2
• LIVERPOOL vs. Nottingham Forest (H) - 2
• MANCHESTER UNITED vs. Everton (H) - 2

Using the odds from the bookmakers, we can find out the 'implied probability' of different results too, so according to the bookies, we have the following 'most likely' results:

1. Arsenal to Win vs. Spurs
2. Liverpool to Win vs. Nottingham Forest
3. Chelsea to Win vs. Burnley
4. Bournemouth to Win vs. West Ham
5. Manchester United to Win vs. Everton

Outcome

Arsenal are fantastic, yes, and whilst I've put them to win in my Super Six predictions. I just don't think there is enough value in the game. So, for me at least, it is a game to steer clear of.

Liverpool also are heavy favourites against Nottingham Forest. However, I'd feel more comfortable backing them, even if they have been hit and miss recently.

Chelsea look a nice price against Burnley as well, in the top three favourites. 1/2 is not a massive price, but that doesn't mean it can't be nice. They should get an easy win this weekend.

Elsewhere, I like Crystal Palace's odds to beat Wolves; they are one of my tips of the week.

On the other hand, Bournemouth against West Ham is one to steer clear of; the odds are not good enough to ignore the recent form of both teams.

Betting recommendations: Liverpool, Chelsea, Crystal Palace

FPL Clubs to target: LIV, CHE, CRY

Clean Sheet Rankings

Whilst a lot of this section is probably similar to the actual fixture rankings, here we're going to be looking at the clubs most likely to keep Clean Sheets. As you would expect, many of the 'easier' fixtures also have lower Clean Sheet Odds.

So, taking the outcome from 'Exact' goals from all 10 Premier League games this weekend, we have found the highest and lowest odds.

The team most likely to keep a clean sheet this weekend, which is maybe a bit shocking, is Arsenal, and their odds are Evens, which feels strange in a game this big. They have a 50% chance of a clean sheet, according to the odds.

Following them, Chelsea have a 46.51% chance of a clean sheet against Burnley, and I am surprised at this price. I expected it to be the favourite.

Liverpool follow, being priced at 11/8 for a clean sheet at the weekend, which is not terrible.

At the other end of the spectrum, it will come as no surprise that Nottingham Forest are the most likely to concede a goal this weekend, with a 12.50% (7/1) likelihood of a clean sheet.

Outcome

Again, with the odds this low, I can't see Arsenal as a 'value' option this weekend. I think the North London Derby will be closer than is being anticipated.

However, I really like the odds for a Chelsea clean sheet, above Evens, it could be a nice bet, and the same goes for Liverpool.

Crystal Palace to get a clean sheet could also be a nice bet, given Wolves' quality. Then, as a bit of a rogue shout, I think Sunderland could be a decent price at 14/5.

FPL Clubs to target: CHE, LIV, CRY

Scorer and Assist Bets

It is probably right for this bit to come last, simply based on the fact that we can take the odds from the results and also the list of Clean Sheet odds. So, we're going to target those teams that are seemingly a little more vulnerable.

Here are the complete odds for a clean sheet in the Premier League this weekend, with teams listed alphabetically:

From this, we can see that there is an 87.50% chance that Liverpool will score vs. Nottingham Forest, whilst Spurs have a 50% chance of scoring against Arsenal. In other words, there are several fixtures worth looking at.

After going through the odds of each player, though, here are the most likely 10 players to score or assist this weekend:

1. Mo Salah (LIV) vs. Nottingham Forest - 65.22% (8/15)
2. Erling Haaland (MCI) vs. Liverpool - 63.64% (4/7)
3. Alexander Isak (LIV) vs. Nottingham Forest - 60% (4/6)
4. Hugo Ekitike (LIV) vs. Nottingham Forest - 57.14% (3/4)
5. Bukayo Saka (ARS) vs. Spurs - 54.55% (5/6)
6. Joao Pedro (CHE) vs. Burnley - 53.49% (20/23)
7. Jean-Philippe Mateta (CRY) vs. Wolves - 52.38% (10/11)
8. Antoine Semenyo (BOU) vs. West Ham - 52.38% (10/11)
9. Viktor Gyokeres (ARS) vs. Spurs - 52.38% (10/11)
10. Enes Unal (BOU) vs. West Ham - 52.38% (10/11)

Outcome

It is difficult to see past Mo Salah getting a contribution this weekend, especially with Nottingham Forest looking a bit poor still in moments. With Erling Haaland, I also think he should score, even if Newcastle are slightly better defensively.

Joao Pedro's odds are decent for a contribution, and he probably will grab one against Burnley, or at least you'd hope so, and the same can be said for Jean Philippe Mateta.

FPL PLAYERS to target: Any CHE attacker, Mateta, Haaland, Salah

FPL PLAYERS to avoid: WOL, WHU, SPU, NEW, NFO

For those looking for the complete list of odds for the games, clean sheets, and contributions, it can be seen below.